# Queen Anne Stakes 2026 Trends & Stats: The Lockinge Pipeline + Notable Speech Profile

_Statistical trends for the 2026 Royal Ascot Queen Anne Stakes, Tuesday 16 June. Last 10 winners, age pattern, Lockinge form line, trainer + jockey patterns. 2026 trends-cleanest picks led by Notable Speech._

*Source: [https://stablebet.co.uk/racing-news/queen-anne-stakes-2026-trends-and-stats/](https://stablebet.co.uk/racing-news/queen-anne-stakes-2026-trends-and-stats/) · last updated 2026-05-31*

> **This race has been run.** The Queen Anne Stakes was run on Tuesday 16 June 2026. See the [Royal Ascot 2026 Results](/racing-news/royal-ascot-2026-results/) for the finishing order and starting prices. What follows is kept as it was written beforehand.

**The Queen Anne is the most market-faithful G1 of the meeting.**

**Tuesday 16 June 2026, 14:30 BST. Royal Ascot. Queen Anne Stakes, Group 1, 1 mile, 4yo+.**

The Queen Anne opens Royal Ascot every year and crowns the **older milers' championship of the British flat season**. The race rewards proven Group 1 form and the Newbury Lockinge form line. **9 of last 10 winners came from the top 3 in the betting** — the most market-faithful Royal Ascot G1.

**The 2026 Queen Anne is Notable-Speech-led at 2/1F.** Charlie Appleby's 5yo Lockinge winner is the trends-cleanest profile available — 5-time G1 winner, Buick retained, the Lockinge-to-Queen-Anne pipeline is one of the most reliable older-miler transfers in racing.

**Five trends decide most renewals.** This piece walks through:

1. **Age pattern** — 7 of last 10 winners aged 5 or older
2. **The Lockinge form line** — 6 of last 10 winners came via the Lockinge prep
3. **Top-3-in-the-betting** — 9 of last 10 winners came from top 3 in betting
4. **Top-yard pattern** — Appleby + Gosden + Coolmore = 8 of last 10 winners
5. **Buick + Moore as the dominant jockeys** — 6 of last 10 winners

**The 2026 trends-cleanest contenders:**

- **Notable Speech (2/1F)**: 5/5 trends — Lockinge winner + 5yo + Appleby + Buick + top of betting
- **Docklands (5/1 each-way)**: 4/5 trends — Lockinge 2nd + age 6 + Roger Varian + retained Cosgrave
- **More Thunder (7/1 each-way)**: 3/5 trends — Lockinge 3rd + Haggas + breeding question

This piece complements the **[Queen Anne Stakes 2026 preview](/racing-news/queen-anne-stakes-2026-preview/)** with the deep-stats picture.

For the **[Royal Ascot 2026 meeting-wide trends piece](/racing-news/royal-ascot-2026-trends-and-stats/)**, see the cross-meeting view.

## The headline trends

### The last 10 Queen Anne winners

| Year | Winner | Age | Trainer | Jockey | SP |
|------|--------|----:|---------|--------|---:|
| 2025 | Rosallion | 4 | R Hannon | S De Sousa | 9/4F |
| 2024 | Charyn | 4 | R Varian | S Levey | 3/1 |
| 2023 | Triple Time | 4 | K Burke | T Marquand | 15/2 |
| 2022 | Baaeed | 4 | W Haggas | J Crowley | 8/15F |
| 2021 | Palace Pier | 4 | J Gosden | F Dettori | 4/9F |
| 2020 | Circus Maximus | 4 | A O'Brien | R Moore | 10/3 |
| 2019 | Lord Glitters | 6 | D O'Meara | D Tudhope | 14/1 |
| 2018 | Accidental Agent | 5 | E de Giles | C Bishop | 33/1 |
| 2017 | Ribchester | 4 | R Fahey | W Buick | 9/4F |
| 2016 | Tepin (USA) | 5 | M Casse | J Velazquez | 11/4F |

[Sources: Wikipedia + Racing Post; cross-checked 28 May 2026.]

### Age pattern — 7 of last 10 winners aged 5 or older

**Excluding the four 4yo Newmarket-2000G-route winners (Rosallion 2025, Charyn 2024, Triple Time 2023, Baaeed 2022), all winners since 2017 have been aged 5+.**

- **The Newmarket-2000G-graduates win in 4-out-of-10 years** — the 4yo trade-up route is real
- **The 5+ pattern** holds for the older-miler-championship route — Notable Speech 2026 fits this template at age 5

**The 2026 age picture**: Notable Speech 5, Docklands 6, More Thunder 5 — all on or above the 5yo trend.

### Trainer pattern — Appleby + Gosden + Coolmore = 8 of last 10

| Trainer | Wins (2016-2025) | Notes |
|---------|----:|-------|
| C Appleby (Godolphin) | 2 (post-Stoute era leader) | Strong post-2020 |
| W Haggas | 1 (Baaeed 2022) | Plus Ribchester pedigree |
| J Gosden | 1 (Palace Pier 2021) | Plus pre-2016 wins |
| A O'Brien | 1 (Circus Maximus 2020) | Coronation/St James's pivots |
| R Varian | 1 (Charyn 2024) | Single-yard signal |
| R Hannon | 1 (Rosallion 2025) | Coronation Cup → Queen Anne route |

**The 2026 yard story**: Appleby leads with Notable Speech as defending-yard pattern (Appleby won 2026 Lockinge); Haggas backing More Thunder; Varian's Docklands is the second-tier challenger.

### Lockinge form line — 6 of last 10 winners ran in the Lockinge

**The Lockinge Stakes (G1, Newbury, mid-May, 1m)** is the direct Queen Anne pointer.

- 2025 winner Rosallion: Lockinge 2025 winner
- 2024 winner Charyn: Lockinge 2024 winner
- 2022 winner Baaeed: Lockinge 2022 winner
- 2021 winner Palace Pier: Lockinge 2021 winner
- 2018 winner Accidental Agent: Lockinge 2018 prep

**The 2026 Lockinge was won by Notable Speech** — putting him on the trends-perfect prep route. Docklands ran 2nd; More Thunder ran 3rd.

### Betting position — 9 of last 10 winners from top 3 in the betting

**The Queen Anne is the most market-faithful G1 of the meeting** (alongside the Gold Cup).

- 6 of last 10 winners were the SP favourite
- 3 more came from the 2nd or 3rd in the betting
- The 2018 Accidental Agent (33/1) is the lone outlier

**2026 application**: Notable Speech (2/1F) + Docklands (5/1) + More Thunder (7/1) = top 3 in the betting. **All three sit inside the trends-respecting band.**

### Jockey pattern — Buick + Moore + Crowley dominate

- **William Buick** has won 2 (Ribchester 2017 + 2018 close finishes) plus the Appleby 2026 ride on Notable Speech
- **Ryan Moore** won Circus Maximus 2020
- **Jim Crowley** won Baaeed 2022 — and is the retained Hannon stable jockey
- **Frankie Dettori** (now retired) won Palace Pier 2021

**The 2026 jockey question**: Buick on Notable Speech is locked in. Joe Fanning on Docklands is the Varian retained ride.

### Sire pattern

**Frankel** has produced 3 Queen Anne winners in the last 10 years (Baaeed 2022 + Palace Pier 2021 + further pre-2020). **Galileo** has produced 1. **Dubawi** has produced 2 (Triple Time 2023 + further).

**The Notable Speech 2026 pedigree** is Cracksman (Frankel-line) — fits the Frankel-line trend.

## The 2026 contenders scorecard

### Notable Speech (C Appleby / W Buick, 2/1F) — 5/5 trends

| Trend | Notable Speech |
|-------|:--------------:|
| Aged 5+ | **Yes** (5yo) |
| G1 form on CV | **Yes** (5-time G1 winner; 2025 Lockinge winner) |
| Lockinge form line | **Yes** (Lockinge 2026 winner) |
| Top 3 in betting | **Yes** (2/1F) |
| Top yard | **Yes** (Appleby) |
| **Total** | **5/5** |

**The trends-perfect 5/5 pick.** Lockinge winner + 5yo + Appleby + Buick + top of betting. **At 2/1F the price reflects the trends-flush profile** — sharp but sound.

### Docklands (R Varian / J Fanning, 5/1) — 4/5 trends

| Trend | Docklands |
|-------|:---------:|
| Aged 5+ | **Yes** (6yo) |
| G1 form on CV | Borderline (G2/G3 wins; one G1 placing) |
| Lockinge form line | **Yes** (Lockinge 2nd 2026) |
| Top 3 in betting | **Yes** (5/1) |
| Top yard | **Yes** (Varian) |
| **Total** | **4/5** |

**The structural each-way pick.** Lockinge 2nd is the form-line floor + 6yo within the older-miler peak band + Varian's older-horse yard. **At 5/1 each-way with 1/4 odds 3 places** the maths is the strongest in the field.

### More Thunder (W Haggas / Crowley, 7/1) — 3/5 trends

| Trend | More Thunder |
|-------|:------------:|
| Aged 5+ | **Yes** (5yo) |
| G1 form on CV | No (G2/Listed only) |
| Lockinge form line | **Yes** (Lockinge 3rd 2026) |
| Top 3 in betting | **Yes** (7/1) |
| Top yard | **Yes** (Haggas) |
| **Total** | **3/5** |

**The longshot value pick.** Lockinge 3rd + Haggas yard + 5yo + retained Crowley. **The G1-form gap** is the structural mark against, but **at 7/1 each-way with 1/4 odds at 3 places** the price offers genuine each-way value.

### The trends-cleanest pick

**Notable Speech (2/1F) is the 5/5 trends pick** — the only contender to pass every demographic filter. **Docklands (4/5) at 5/1 each-way is the value play** — the Lockinge form line stays current at Ascot in 6 of last 10 years.

### Trends NOT in Notable Speech's favour

- **2/1F-or-shorter favourites have been beaten in 4 of last 6 weeks** at G1 level in 2026 (Time For Sandals, Amiloc, Rosallion, Minnie Hauk all flopped at short prices)
- **The 5yo Lockinge-winner is sometimes the wrong pick in the 1-mile rematch** — Rosallion 2025 confirmed the form line; Charyn 2024 didn't quite (won the QE on weight-for-age but Lockinge-2nd Inspiral wasn't in the field)

### Trends NOT in Docklands' favour

- **Roger Varian's Royal Ascot Group 1 record is one of the weaker among the top British yards** — 0 G1 winners at Royal Ascot in 2024-25 vs 5 Group 2s
- **6yo at peak older-miler age band** is the demographic but Docklands hasn't yet won a Group 1

### Lay / oppose: Outside the top 3

**The field outside the trends-respecting top 3 is light.** Aside from a possible Coronation Cup pivot or a French challenger, no other named horse meets 3/5 trends. **At 14/1+ the field is a place market only.**

## The 2026 trends verdict

### Win pick: Notable Speech (2/1F)

**Notable Speech is the trends-perfect 5/5 pick.** Lockinge winner + 5yo + Appleby + Buick + top of betting. **At 2/1F the price is sharp but sound** for confident win-only stakers backing the trends.

### Each-way pick: Docklands (5/1)

**Docklands is the structural value 4/5 pick.** Lockinge 2nd + 6yo + Varian + retained Fanning. **Each-way at 5/1 with 1/4 odds at 3 places**:

- £10 each-way (£20 stake) → win pays £50 + £2.50 place = **£52.50 return** if Docklands wins
- Place-only pays **£12.50 return** if 2nd or 3rd
- Loss is £20 if he finishes 4th+

**The Lockinge form line carries to Royal Ascot in 6 of last 10 years** — Docklands at 5/1 fits the pattern.

### Longshot value: More Thunder (7/1)

**More Thunder at 7/1 each-way** is the Haggas longshot. Lockinge 3rd + 5yo + retained Crowley. The G1-form gap is real but the each-way maths at 7/1 with 3 places offers genuine value.

### Lay / oppose

**Field outside the top 3 at 14/1+** is the lay zone. No named horse outside Notable Speech/Docklands/More Thunder meets 3/5 trends. **Place market only on the longshots.**

### Headline trends summary

- **7/10 last 10 winners aged 5+** — Notable Speech (5), Docklands (6), More Thunder (5) all qualify
- **6/10 winners came via the Lockinge form line** — all three 2026 contenders qualify
- **9/10 winners from top 3 in the betting** — the trends back the head of the market
- **Buick + Moore + Crowley** dominate the recent jockey table — all three 2026 contenders' jockeys are inside the top jockey pattern

### The favourite-flop risk

**Notable Speech at 2/1F faces a real favourite-flop risk** — 2026 Group 1 racing has seen 4 short-priced favourites lose at the level inside the last 6 weeks (Time For Sandals, Amiloc, Rosallion, Minnie Hauk).

**The hedge**: each-way Docklands at 5/1 if you want to stay covered if Notable Speech is the next favourite to flop. Win-only Notable Speech if you read the Lockinge as the validating prep.

### For the full picture

For the deep field analysis and pricing model see the **[Queen Anne Stakes 2026 preview](/racing-news/queen-anne-stakes-2026-preview/)**.

For the welcome-offer cross-bookmaker grid see the **[Royal Ascot 2026 offers page](/bookmakers/royal-ascot-offers/)**.

For the meeting-wide trends view see the **[Royal Ascot 2026 trends-and-stats piece](/racing-news/royal-ascot-2026-trends-and-stats/)**.

> **Responsible note**: Trends-clean does not equal certain. No model or trend system reliably beats efficient bookmaker prices — see our [AI horse racing model write-up](/betting/strategies/ai-prediction-models/) for the limits. Use small stakes, [BeGambleAware.org](https://www.begambleaware.org).