THE AI LAB

TODAY'S RACING · TUESDAY, 20 OCTOBER 2026

Today's Odds, Read by the AI Lab

The card, read by the Lab

Predictions generated 20 October 2026 at 06:01 (UK time)

Professor Furlong

Today the fairest prices are at Yarmouth, where the bookmaker margins are tightest, while the Curragh looks a much dearer prospect. My read differs from the market favourite in more than half the races, so it looks an open, competitive day rather than a predictable one. A calibrated read, not tips, and it will not beat the market.

Today's odds map: the bookmaker's margin at every meeting

The margin is the slice the bookmaker builds into the prices, shown here as a percentage. The same bet costs you more where it is higher: a low margin means the prices are close to fair, a high one means the house is helping itself.

Meeting	Avg margin	Races	Favourites	Today's read
Yarmouth	20%	8	fair	best value
Hexham	22%	6	strong
Newcastle	22%	9	weak	most open
Curragh	35%	7	fair	worst value

Pascal is already eyeing the 35% margin at Curragh. Pascal always does.

The day's safest-priced favourites

These are not tips, and not a way to beat the bookmaker (nothing reliably does). They are simply the runners with the shortest, most-backed price carrying the smallest margin: short enough to win, fair enough to be worth understanding. The Professor would rather you knew why than blindly backed them.

Sea La Roma6/4

Newcastle 16:22 · price implies about 38% · only 7% margin

The market's favourite at Newcastle, in one of the day's lower-margin races. Short enough to win, fair enough that you are not badly overpaying, though still not value, and still not a tip.

Jeriko Du Reponet91/100

Hexham 16:17 · price implies about 49% · only 7% margin

The market's favourite at Hexham, in one of the day's lower-margin races. Short enough to win, fair enough that you are not badly overpaying, though still not value, and still not a tip.

Coded Welder2/1

Hexham 15:42 · price implies about 30% · only 11% margin

The market's favourite at Hexham, in one of the day's lower-margin races. Short enough to win, fair enough that you are not badly overpaying, though still not value, and still not a tip.

The day's worst value

The races where the house takes the biggest slice. The same bet costs you most here, whichever runner you fancy: the margin is baked into every price on the card.

Curragh 16:1062%

1xBet.ie Supports The Curragh Handicap

Back every runner in this race and the prices total about 62% over a fair book. Even the favourite (Max Meridius, 9/2) carries roughly 27% of margin in its own price.

Curragh 16:4553%

Always Gambling Responsibly With 1xBet.ie Handicap

Back every runner in this race and the prices total about 53% over a fair book. Even the favourite (Bang Po, 5/1) carries roughly 25% of margin in its own price.

Hexham 14:3251%

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Hurdle

Back every runner in this race and the prices total about 51% over a fair book. Even the favourite (Littletown Lad, 7/4) carries roughly 24% of margin in its own price.

Prefer a traditional racecard? Every runner with form, weights and colours, and our price, fair-price and margin columns built in: today's racecards.

Every race, in full

Tap any meeting below to open it.Each race expands to the full field ranked by chance, the bookmaker's margin built into every price, and the model's read on every runner next to the market.

Go on, open one. Every runner gets its price, the margin baked into it, and the Professor's read on the day, the bad as well as the good.

Yarmouth8 races · avg margin 20% · model leans off the favourite in 5 of 8 · view our Yarmouth racecardopen every race ▾

13:20Join Moulton Racing Syndicate Apprentice HandiFav Korbut 7/4 10% margin in this price18% across the whole raceread the race ▾

See this race on our Yarmouth racecard (runners, form, weights and our columns together)

This apprentice handicap features nine priced runners, with the bookmaker's margin around 18% over a fair book. The market has Korbut as the favourite at 7/4, but my model suggests Pietro is the most likely winner instead, at 5/1. Model estimates range from 20% down to 4%, indicating a race with several plausible outcomes.

Every runner has a body of form, so the model can read this race in full.

Back every runner and the prices total 118%, about 18% over a fair 100% book. Each runner below shows the bookmaker's slice of its own price, worked out for this race: short prices carry the least, long ones the most.

1Korbutreads the form

11 career runs · 3rd last time · won 1 of 8 at the trip · rated 73

Price offered7/4 = 36% chance

Bookie's margin10% of this price

Fair price≈9/4 margin stripped

The AI's read Korbut has 11 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing third last time. It has won one of eight attempts at this trip and is rated 73. My model gives it 13% against the market's 31%, making it the favourite at 7/4, but my estimate is considerably lower. (model 13% · fair 31%)

2Havana Smilereads the form

10 career runs · 3rd last time · rated 73

Price offered7/2 = 22% chance

Bookie's margin12% of this price

Fair price≈9/2 margin stripped

The AI's read Havana Smile has ten runs in our records since October 2023, finishing third on its most recent start. It is rated 73. My model gives it 14% against the market's 19%, so the market is pricing it as a more prominent contender than my analysis suggests. (model 14% · fair 19%)

3Pietroreads the form

20 career runs · 3rd last time · won 3 of 15 at the trip · rated 81

Price offered5/1 = 17% chance

Bookie's margin14% of this price

Fair price≈6/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Pietro has 20 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing third last time out. It has a good record at this trip, winning three of 15 attempts, and is rated 81. My model gives it 20% against the market's 14%, suggesting a more positive outlook than the current price. The model makes it the most likely winner. (model 20% · fair 14%)

4Gorgeous Mr Georgereads the form

27 career runs · 6th last time · won 5 of 14 at the course · won 2 of 7 at the trip

Price offered13/2 = 13% chance

Bookie's margin16% of this price

Fair price≈8/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Gorgeous Mr George has 27 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing sixth last time. It has an excellent course record with five wins from 14 starts here, and two wins from seven at this trip, rated 78. My model's 8% estimate is lower than the market's 11%, despite its good course form. (model 8% · fair 11%)

5Passing Thoughtreads the form

9 career runs · 6th last time · won 1 of 4 at the trip · rated 80

Price offered10/1 = 9% chance

Bookie's margin20% of this price

Fair price≈12/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Passing Thought has nine runs in our records since October 2023, finishing sixth last time. It has won one of four attempts at this trip and is rated 80. My model gives it 15% against the market's 8%, suggesting it might be overlooked by the current pricing. (model 15% · fair 8%)

6Majestic Danereads the form

4 career runs · well beaten last time · won 1 of 3 at the trip · rated 82

Price offered12/1 = 8% chance

Bookie's margin22% of this price

Fair price≈14/1 margin stripped

The AI's read With four runs in our records since October 2023, Majestic Dane was well beaten on its last outing. It has won one of three starts at this trip and holds a rating of 82. My model's estimate of 16% is considerably higher than the market's 6%, indicating a significant divergence in assessment. (model 16% · fair 7%)

7Noble Guestreads the form

24 career runs · 8th last time · won 2 of 13 at the course · won 2 of 18 at the trip

Price offered12/1 = 8% chance

Bookie's margin22% of this price

Fair price≈14/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Noble Guest has 24 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing eighth last time. It has won two of 13 starts at this course and two of 18 at this trip, rated 60. My model gives it 4% against the market's 6%, placing it as an outsider in this field. (model 4% · fair 7%)

8Ecclefechanreads the form

20 career runs · well beaten last time · won 1 of 4 at the course · rated 71

Price offered25/1 = 4% chance

Bookie's margin34% of this price

Fair price≈33/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Ecclefechan has 20 runs in our records since October 2023, being well beaten on its last outing. It has won once from four starts at this course and is rated 71. My model gives it 6% against the market's 3%, a slight difference in perception for an outside chance. (model 6% · fair 3%)

9Golden Pharaohreads the form

25 career runs · well beaten last time · won 1 of 14 at the trip · rated 71

Price offered66/1 = 1% chance

Bookie's margin59% of this price

Fair price≈80/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Golden Pharaoh has 25 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing well beaten last time. It has won one of 14 attempts at this trip and is rated 71. My model gives it 6% against the market's 1%, suggesting a slightly more optimistic view than the very long odds imply. (model 6% · fair 1%)

13:50British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies' StaFav Cloak Of Power 11/4 10% margin in this price13% across the whole raceread the race ▾

See this race on our Yarmouth racecard (runners, form, weights and our columns together)

This maiden contest at Yarmouth features six runners, with the bookmaker's margin around 13% over a fair book. The market favourite is Cloak Of Power at 11/4, but my model suggests Usaylah is the most likely winner, making it 4/1. The model's estimates range from 31% down to 6%, indicating a race with some clear distinctions among the contenders.

A lightly-raced field (3 debutants, 3 with a run or two), so the model can read little here; the market is leaning on breeding and stable expectation.

Back every runner and the prices total 113%, about 13% over a fair 100% book. Each runner below shows the bookmaker's slice of its own price, worked out for this race: short prices carry the least, long ones the most.

1Cloak Of Powerfirst run

First run, so no form for the model to read.

Price offered11/4 = 27% chance

Bookie's margin10% of this price

Fair price≈3/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Cloak Of Power has no runs in our records since October 2023, so there is no form to analyse. The market has made it the 11/4 favourite, suggesting significant faith in its ability. My model gives it 11% against the market's 24%, indicating a substantial difference in assessment compared to the crowd's pricing. (model 11% · fair 24%)

2Antonovafirst run

First run, so no form for the model to read.

Price offered3/1 = 25% chance

Bookie's margin10% of this price

Fair price≈7/2 margin stripped

The AI's read Antonova has no runs in our records since October 2023, meaning there is nothing on the page for a form model to consider. The market's 3/1 price implies a strong expectation for this runner. My model gives it 14% against the market's 22%, indicating that my read is less confident than the available price. (model 14% · fair 22%)

3Avebury Ringlightly raced

1 career run · 3rd last time

Price offered7/2 = 22% chance

Bookie's margin11% of this price

Fair price≈4/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Avebury Ring also has one run in our records since October 2023, finishing third on that occasion. This experience might stand it in good stead. My model's estimate of 22% is quite close to the market's 20%, indicating a broadly similar assessment of its prospects. The market and my model are in close alignment here. (model 22% · fair 20%)

4Usaylahlightly raced

1 career run · 3rd last time

Price offered4/1 = 20% chance

Bookie's margin12% of this price

Fair price≈9/2 margin stripped

The AI's read Usaylah has one run in our records since October 2023, finishing third last time out. That experience could be beneficial in this maiden event. My model gives it 31% against the market's 18%, suggesting my read is considerably more optimistic than the price available. This makes it my model's most likely runner. (model 31% · fair 18%)

5Marylebonefirst run

First run, so no form for the model to read.

Price offered9/2 = 18% chance

Bookie's margin12% of this price

Fair price≈5/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Marylebone has no runs in our records since October 2023, so there is no form for a model to interpret. The 9/2 price reflects confidence in its potential, likely based on its breeding or stable reports. My estimate of 15% is very close to the market's 16%, so my read is similar to the crowd's assessment of this unknown quantity. (model 15% · fair 16%)

6Cherry Amberlightly raced

1 career run · 6th last time

Price offered100/1 = 1% chance

Bookie's margin72% of this price

Fair price≈100/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Cherry Amber has one run in our records since October 2023, finishing sixth last time out. This limited experience might not be enough to make a strong case. My model gives it 6% against the market's 1%, suggesting my read is slightly more generous, though it still indicates a long shot. The market has priced it as a very remote prospect. (model 6% · fair 1%)

14:20Graham & Alison's 15th Wedding Aniversary NoviFav Starship Lily 2/1 9% margin in this price14% across the whole raceread the race ▾

See this race on our Yarmouth racecard (runners, form, weights and our columns together)

This novice stakes race at Yarmouth features six priced runners, with the bookmaker's margin around 14% over a fair book. The market has Starship Lily as the favourite at 2/1, but my model suggests March Of Time is the most likely winner at 3/1. The model's estimates range widely from 37% down to 1%, indicating a degree of openness in the contest despite a clear market leader.

3 of 6 are unraced or barely raced; the model reads the rest from the form.

Back every runner and the prices total 114%, about 14% over a fair 100% book. Each runner below shows the bookmaker's slice of its own price, worked out for this race: short prices carry the least, long ones the most.

1Starship Lilylightly raced

2 career runs · 2nd last time

Price offered2/1 = 33% chance

Bookie's margin9% of this price

Fair price≈5/2 margin stripped

The AI's read Starship Lily has two runs in our British and Irish records since October 2023, with its most recent outing being a second-place finish. The market makes it the 2/1 favourite, implying a strong expectation for its performance here. My model's estimate of 26% is quite close to the market's 29%, indicating a general agreement on its prospects. (model 26% · fair 29%)

2Oliakulightly raced

1 career run · 3rd last time

Price offered9/4 = 31% chance

Bookie's margin10% of this price

Fair price≈11/4 margin stripped

The AI's read Oliaku has just one run in our British and Irish records since October 2023, finishing third on that occasion. With so little form to go on, the market making it 9/4 indicates confidence in its potential. My model gives it 13% against the market's 27%, a notable divergence that suggests the market sees more promise than my form analysis can quantify. (model 13% · fair 27%)

3March Of Timereads the form

5 career runs · 8th last time · rated 63

Price offered3/1 = 25% chance

Bookie's margin11% of this price

Fair price≈7/2 margin stripped

The AI's read March Of Time has five runs in our British and Irish records since October 2023, finishing eighth last time out and holding a rating of 63. My model makes it the most likely winner, giving it 37% against the market's 22%. This suggests my assessment is considerably more optimistic than the market's pricing for this horse. (model 37% · fair 22%)

4Kohana Girlreads the form

13 career runs · 3rd last time · rated 45

Price offered6/1 = 14% chance

Bookie's margin15% of this price

Fair price≈7/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Kohana Girl has thirteen runs in our British and Irish records since October 2023, finishing third last time and rated 45. This experience could be a factor in a novice race. My model gives it 17% against the market's 13%, suggesting my read is slightly more favourable than the current price. (model 17% · fair 13%)

5Sir Chopslightly raced

2 career runs · 4th last time

Price offered10/1 = 9% chance

Bookie's margin21% of this price

Fair price≈12/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Sir Chops has two runs in our British and Irish records since October 2023, with its last outing resulting in a fourth-place finish. The current price of 10/1 reflects a moderate expectation for its chances. My model's estimate of 7% is very close to the market's 8%, indicating little difference in our assessments. (model 7% · fair 8%)

6Lady Of Killarneyreads the form

4 career runs · 8th last time · rated 26

Price offered66/1 = 1% chance

Bookie's margin64% of this price

Fair price≈80/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Lady Of Killarney has four runs in our British and Irish records since October 2023, finishing eighth last time and rated 26. The 66/1 price suggests it is considered an outsider in this field. My model's estimate of 1% aligns perfectly with the market's 1%, reflecting a shared view of its low probability. (model 1% · fair 1%)

14:53Gold And Silver Exchange Fillies' HandicapFav Queen Of Scotland 6/4 9% margin in this price17% across the whole raceread the race ▾

See this race on our Yarmouth racecard (runners, form, weights and our columns together)

This Gold And Silver Exchange Fillies' Handicap features eight priced runners, with a bookmaker margin around 17% over a fair book. The market has a clear favourite in Queen Of Scotland at 6/4, and my model also identifies her as the most likely winner. Model estimates for the field range from 23% down to 5%, suggesting a somewhat lopsided race at the top.

Every runner has a body of form, so the model can read this race in full.

Back every runner and the prices total 117%, about 17% over a fair 100% book. Each runner below shows the bookmaker's slice of its own price, worked out for this race: short prices carry the least, long ones the most.

1Queen Of Scotlandreads the form

3 career runs · won last time · won 2 of 2 at the trip · rated 87

Price offered6/4 = 40% chance

Bookie's margin9% of this price

Fair price≈15/8 margin stripped

The AI's read Queen Of Scotland has three runs in our records since October 2023, winning her last outing. Her record at this trip is unblemished, with two wins from two attempts, and she is rated 87. My model gives her 23% against the market's 34%, indicating the crowd is notably keener on her prospects. (model 23% · fair 34%)

2Lady Magureads the form

4 career runs · won last time · won 1 of 1 at the trip · rated 83

Price offered3/1 = 25% chance

Bookie's margin11% of this price

Fair price≈7/2 margin stripped

The AI's read Lady Magu has four runs in our records since October 2023, also winning last time out. She has won her only start at this distance and is rated 83. My model's estimate of 19% sits just under the market's 21%, suggesting a closely aligned view on her chances. (model 19% · fair 21%)

3Arriverareads the form

3 career runs · won last time · won 1 of 1 at the trip · rated 85

Price offered6/1 = 14% chance

Bookie's margin15% of this price

Fair price≈7/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Arrivera has three runs in our records since October 2023, winning her most recent start. She has a perfect record at this trip, winning her only attempt, and is rated 85. My model gives her 16% against the market's 12%, making my read a shade more optimistic than the price. (model 16% · fair 12%)

4Golden Musereads the form

6 career runs · 6th last time · won 2 of 3 at the trip · rated 84

Price offered8/1 = 11% chance

Bookie's margin17% of this price

Fair price≈10/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Golden Muse has six runs in our records since October 2023, finishing sixth last time. She has a good record at this trip, winning two of three attempts, and is rated 84. My model's estimate of 9% sits just under the market's 10%, indicating a similar assessment of her possibilities. (model 9% · fair 10%)

5Brunhildereads the form

5 career runs · 4th last time · won 1 of 2 at the trip · rated 77

Price offered8/1 = 11% chance

Bookie's margin17% of this price

Fair price≈10/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Brunhilde has five runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fourth last time. She has won one of her two starts at this trip and is rated 77. My model's estimate of 9% aligns closely with the market's 10%, suggesting a shared view of her chances in this race. (model 9% · fair 10%)

6Miss Tonnerrereads the form

9 career runs · 4th last time · rated 82

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin24% of this price

Fair price≈16/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Miss Tonnerre has nine runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fourth last time. She is rated 82, placing her competitively within this field. My model gives her 9% against the market's 6%, indicating my read is somewhat more positive than the current price. (model 9% · fair 6%)

7Shangri Lareads the form

7 career runs · well beaten last time · rated 75

Price offered20/1 = 5% chance

Bookie's margin29% of this price

Fair price≈25/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Shangri La has seven runs in our records since October 2023, finishing well beaten last time. She is rated 75, making her one of the lower-rated runners in this contest. My model's estimate of 5% is only slightly above the market's 4%, suggesting little difference in our assessments. (model 5% · fair 4%)

8Deedaydivareads the form

6 career runs · 5th last time · rated 82

Price offered25/1 = 4% chance

Bookie's margin34% of this price

Fair price≈33/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Deedaydiva has six runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fifth last time. She is rated 82, putting her in the middle of this field by rating. My model's estimate of 10% is significantly higher than the market's 3%, suggesting the market is overlooking something my model sees. (model 10% · fair 3%)

15:28Seadell Shops & Holiday Chalets HandicapFav Potters Prince 5/2 17% margin in this price34% across the whole raceread the race ▾

See this race on our Yarmouth racecard (runners, form, weights and our columns together)

This is a large handicap with 16 priced runners, suggesting a competitive affair. The bookmaker's margin of about 34% indicates a generous overround. The model aligns with the market in making Potters Prince the most likely winner, with its estimates ranging from 15% down to 2%.

Every runner has a body of form, so the model can read this race in full.

Back every runner and the prices total 134%, about 34% over a fair 100% book. Each runner below shows the bookmaker's slice of its own price, worked out for this race: short prices carry the least, long ones the most.

1Potters Princereads the form

10 career runs · won last time · won 1 of 3 at the course · rated 55

Price offered5/2 = 29% chance

Bookie's margin17% of this price

Fair price≈7/2 margin stripped

The AI's read Potters Prince has 10 runs in our records since October 2023, winning last time out. It has a win from three runs at this course and is rated 55. The model's estimate of 15% is notably lower than the market's 21%, suggesting the market is pricing in more confidence than the model can discern. (model 15% · fair 21%)

2Give Me Sunreads the form

8 career runs · won last time · won 2 of 3 at the trip · rated 61

Price offered5/1 = 17% chance

Bookie's margin19% of this price

Fair price≈7/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Give Me Sun has 8 runs in our records since October 2023, winning last time. It has a strong record at this trip with two wins from three attempts and is rated 61. The model gives it 8% against the market's 12%, so the market is a shade keener on its chances. (model 8% · fair 12%)

3John Harrisonreads the form

8 career runs · 9th last time · rated 62

Price offered10/1 = 9% chance

Bookie's margin25% of this price

Fair price≈14/1 margin stripped

The AI's read John Harrison has 8 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing ninth in its most recent outing. It carries a rating of 62. The model's estimate of 8% is broadly in line with the market's 7%, suggesting a similar view of its prospects. (model 8% · fair 7%)

4Sense Of Reasonreads the form

15 career runs · 2nd last time · won 1 of 6 at the trip · rated 58

Price offered10/1 = 9% chance

Bookie's margin25% of this price

Fair price≈14/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Sense Of Reason has 15 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing second last time. It has one win from six attempts at this trip and is rated 58. The model's estimate of 5% is lower than the market's 7%, indicating the market is more confident. (model 5% · fair 7%)

5Bumaanreads the form

6 career runs · 4th last time · rated 56

Price offered12/1 = 8% chance

Bookie's margin27% of this price

Fair price≈16/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Bumaan has 6 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fourth last time. It holds a rating of 56. The model's estimate of 7% is very close to the market's 6%, indicating a consistent view between the two assessments. (model 7% · fair 6%)

6Study Upreads the form

15 career runs · 5th last time · won 1 of 5 at the trip · rated 64

Price offered12/1 = 8% chance

Bookie's margin27% of this price

Fair price≈16/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Study Up has 15 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fifth last time. It has a win from five attempts at this trip and is rated 64. The model's estimate of 6% is exactly the same as the market's 6%, showing a perfect alignment. (model 6% · fair 6%)

7African Gibreads the form

7 career runs · 4th last time · rated 56

Price offered12/1 = 8% chance

Bookie's margin27% of this price

Fair price≈16/1 margin stripped

The AI's read African Gib has 7 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fourth last time. It is rated 56. The model's estimate of 6% is precisely the same as the market's 6%, indicating a shared view of its likelihood. (model 6% · fair 6%)

8Divotreads the form

21 career runs · well beaten last time · won 2 of 5 at the course · won 2 of 7 at the trip

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin29% of this price

Fair price≈20/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Divot has extensive form with 21 runs in our records since October 2023, though it was well beaten last time. It has two wins from five at this course and two wins from seven at this trip, rated 64. The model's 6% is slightly above the market's 5%, suggesting a touch more optimism from the model. (model 6% · fair 5%)

9Mmmbopreads the form

6 career runs · 9th last time · rated 62

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin29% of this price

Fair price≈20/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Mmmbop has 6 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing ninth last time. It is rated 62. The model's estimate of 6% is marginally higher than the market's 5%, indicating a small difference in assessment. (model 6% · fair 5%)

10Crimson Ramblerreads the form

18 career runs · 3rd last time · rated 63

Price offered16/1 = 6% chance

Bookie's margin31% of this price

Fair price≈20/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Crimson Rambler has been busy with 18 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing third last time. It is rated 63, making it one of the higher-rated runners in the field. The model's estimate of 10% is significantly higher than the market's 4%, indicating a different assessment of its chances. (model 10% · fair 4%)

11India Goldreads the form

9 career runs · 7th last time · rated 65

Price offered16/1 = 6% chance

Bookie's margin31% of this price

Fair price≈20/1 margin stripped

The AI's read India Gold has 9 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing seventh last time. It is rated 65, making it among the highest-rated in the field. The model's estimate of 6% is slightly above the market's 4%, suggesting a marginal difference in perception. (model 6% · fair 4%)

12Regulus Blackreads the form

9 career runs · 7th last time · won 1 of 4 at the trip · rated 56

Price offered16/1 = 6% chance

Bookie's margin31% of this price

Fair price≈20/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Regulus Black has 9 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing seventh last time. It has one win from four attempts at this trip and is rated 56. The model's estimate of 5% is slightly above the market's 4%, indicating a minor difference in assessment. (model 5% · fair 4%)

13King's Castlereads the form

21 career runs · 6th last time · won 2 of 5 at the trip · rated 63

Price offered16/1 = 6% chance

Bookie's margin31% of this price

Fair price≈20/1 margin stripped

The AI's read King's Castle has a significant 21 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing sixth last time. It has two wins from five attempts at this trip and is rated 63. The model's estimate of 4% is exactly the same as the market's 4%, showing a consistent view. (model 4% · fair 4%)

14Court Of Starsreads the form

12 career runs · 6th last time · rated 63

Price offered20/1 = 5% chance

Bookie's margin34% of this price

Fair price≈25/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Court Of Stars has 12 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing sixth last time. It is rated 63. The model's estimate of 3% is slightly below the market's 4%, suggesting the market has a touch more confidence. (model 3% · fair 4%)

15Forever Endlessreads the form

5 career runs · 7th last time · rated 65

Price offered25/1 = 4% chance

Bookie's margin38% of this price

Fair price≈33/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Forever Endless has 5 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing seventh last time. It is rated 65, one of the higher marks in this field. The model's estimate of 5% is slightly above the market's 3%, suggesting the model sees a little more promise. (model 5% · fair 3%)

16Sweetsteviereads the form

6 career runs · 7th last time · rated 46

Price offered50/1 = 2% chance

Bookie's margin55% of this price

Fair price≈66/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Sweetstevie has 6 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing seventh last time. It holds a rating of 46, the lowest in the field. The model's estimate of 2% is double the market's 1%, though both figures indicate it is considered an outsider. (model 2% · fair 1%)

16:03Infobond Turnkey & Personnel Services HandicapFav Fiorella Princess 7/2 12% margin in this price17% across the whole raceread the race ▾

See this race on our Yarmouth racecard (runners, form, weights and our columns together)

This Yarmouth handicap features eight priced runners, with the bookmaker's margin around 17% over a fair book, indicating a typical pricing structure. The market has Fiorella Princess as the favourite at 7/2, but my model suggests Kinetic Force is the most likely winner at 11/2. Model estimates range from 26% down to 6%, implying a reasonably open contest.

Every runner has a body of form, so the model can read this race in full.

1Fiorella Princessreads the form

25 career runs · 4th last time · won 1 of 2 at the course · won 3 of 25 at the trip

Price offered7/2 = 22% chance

Bookie's margin12% of this price

Fair price≈9/2 margin stripped

The AI's read Fiorella Princess has 25 runs in our records since October 2023, with a fourth last time. It has won 1 of 2 at this course and 3 of 25 at the trip, with a rating of 80. My model's estimate of 16% sits slightly under the market's 19%, indicating the market is a shade keener. (model 16% · fair 19%)

2Court Drivereads the form

38 career runs · won last time · won 2 of 5 at the course · won 6 of 37 at the trip

Price offered4/1 = 20% chance

Bookie's margin13% of this price

Fair price≈5/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Court Drive has been busy with 38 runs in our records since October 2023, winning last time. It has won 2 of 5 at this course and 6 of 37 at the trip, rated 74. My model gives it 15% against the market's 17%, so the market's read is slightly more optimistic. (model 15% · fair 17%)

3Diomed Dukereads the form

18 career runs · 2nd last time · won 4 of 18 at the trip · rated 80

Price offered4/1 = 20% chance

Bookie's margin13% of this price

Fair price≈5/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Diomed Duke has 18 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing second on its most recent outing. It has won 4 of 18 at this trip and holds a rating of 80. My model's estimate of 12% is lower than the market's 17%, indicating the market sees more promise. (model 12% · fair 17%)

4Fantasy Masterreads the form

33 career runs · 8th last time · won 4 of 32 at the trip · rated 73

Price offered5/1 = 17% chance

Bookie's margin14% of this price

Fair price≈6/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Fantasy Master has 33 runs in our records since October 2023, with an eighth-place finish last time. It has won 4 of 32 at this trip, and its rating is 73. My model's estimate of 8% is notably lower than the market's 14%, suggesting the market is expecting more. (model 8% · fair 14%)

5Kinetic Forcereads the form

23 career runs · 2nd last time · won 3 of 23 at the trip · rated 77

Price offered11/2 = 15% chance

Bookie's margin15% of this price

Fair price≈7/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Kinetic Force has 23 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing second last time out. It has won 3 of 23 at this trip, and its rating of 77 places it in contention here. My model gives it 26% against the market's 13%, suggesting a stronger chance than the price implies. (model 26% · fair 13%)

6Marching Macreads the form

38 career runs · 8th last time · won 8 of 33 at the trip · rated 82

Price offered13/2 = 13% chance

Bookie's margin16% of this price

Fair price≈8/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Marching Mac has 38 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing eighth last time. It has won 8 of 33 at this trip, and its rating of 82 puts it among the higher-rated runners. My model gives it 10% against the market's 11%, a fairly close alignment. (model 10% · fair 11%)

7Pixie Divareads the form

12 career runs · 8th last time · won 2 of 11 at the trip · rated 75

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin24% of this price

Fair price≈16/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Pixie Diva has 12 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing eighth last time. It has won 2 of 11 at this trip, with a rating of 75. My model gives it 7% against the market's 6%, indicating a slightly more favourable view from my analysis. (model 7% · fair 6%)

8Loleetareads the form

11 career runs · 7th last time · won 2 of 11 at the trip · rated 71

Price offered33/1 = 3% chance

Bookie's margin41% of this price

Fair price≈40/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Loleeta has 11 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing seventh last time. It has won 2 of 11 at this trip, with a rating of 71. My model gives it 6% against the market's 3%, suggesting my read is somewhat more favourable than the current price. (model 6% · fair 3%)

16:38Brandford Restaurants & Bar Handicap (Div 1)Fav Rambuso Creek 333/100 13% margin in this price21% across the whole raceread the race ▾

See this race on our Yarmouth racecard (runners, form, weights and our columns together)

This Yarmouth handicap features ten priced runners, with the bookmaker's margin appearing quite wide at approximately 21% over a fair book. The market has Rambuso Creek as the favourite at 333/100, but my model suggests Wodao is the most likely winner, making it 11/2. The model's estimates span a range from 24% down to 4%, indicating a somewhat open contest.

Every runner has a body of form, so the model can read this race in full.

Back every runner and the prices total 121%, about 21% over a fair 100% book. Each runner below shows the bookmaker's slice of its own price, worked out for this race: short prices carry the least, long ones the most.

1Rambuso Creekreads the form

29 career runs · won last time · won 1 of 19 at the trip · rated 53

Price offered333/100 = 23% chance

Bookie's margin13% of this price

Fair price≈4/1 margin stripped

The AI's read With 29 runs in our records since October 2023, Rambuso Creek also won last time out. It has a record of one win from nineteen attempts at this trip and is rated 53. The model's estimate of 18% aligns very closely with the market's 19%, indicating little difference in perception. (model 18% · fair 19%)

2Dashing Donkeyreads the form

25 career runs · 3rd last time · won 2 of 7 at the course · rated 54

Price offered7/2 = 22% chance

Bookie's margin13% of this price

Fair price≈9/2 margin stripped

The AI's read Dashing Donkey has 25 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing third last time. It has won two of its seven runs at this course and is rated 54. The model's estimate of 7% is significantly lower than the market's 18%, indicating a considerable divergence in opinion. (model 7% · fair 18%)

3Wodaoreads the form

19 career runs · won last time · won 1 of 16 at the trip · rated 62

Price offered11/2 = 15% chance

Bookie's margin15% of this price

Fair price≈7/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Wodao has 19 runs in our records since October 2023, winning its last outing. It has won one of its sixteen attempts at this trip and holds a rating of 62. The model's estimate of 24% is considerably higher than the market's 13%, suggesting my assessment is much more optimistic than the prevailing price. (model 24% · fair 13%)

4Campanireads the form

14 career runs · well beaten last time · won 1 of 4 at the course · won 1 of 2 at the trip

Price offered6/1 = 14% chance

Bookie's margin16% of this price

Fair price≈7/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Campani has 14 runs in our records since October 2023, but was well beaten on its last appearance. It has a course win from two starts and has won one of its four runs at this trip, rated 59. The model's estimate of 9% is lower than the market's 12%, suggesting a less enthusiastic view. (model 9% · fair 12%)

5My Boy Harryreads the form

38 career runs · 4th last time · rated 61

Price offered8/1 = 11% chance

Bookie's margin18% of this price

Fair price≈10/1 margin stripped

The AI's read My Boy Harry has amassed 38 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fourth on its most recent start. It carries a rating of 61. The model's estimate of 11% is slightly above the market's 9%, suggesting a marginally more positive view from my analysis. (model 11% · fair 9%)

6Thunderous Lovereads the form

34 career runs · 8th last time · won 6 of 27 at the trip · rated 61

Price offered12/1 = 8% chance

Bookie's margin22% of this price

Fair price≈14/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Thunderous Love has 34 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing eighth last time. It boasts a strong record at this trip, winning six of its twenty-seven attempts, and is rated 61. The model's estimate of 10% is higher than the market's 6%, indicating a more favourable assessment. (model 10% · fair 6%)

7Just King Highreads the form

25 career runs · 4th last time · rated 45

Price offered12/1 = 8% chance

Bookie's margin22% of this price

Fair price≈14/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Just King High has 25 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fourth last time. It is rated 45. The model's estimate of 5% is slightly below the market's 6%, suggesting a marginally less optimistic outlook from my analysis. (model 5% · fair 6%)

8Nuevo Slovoreads the form

10 career runs · 7th last time · rated 65

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin24% of this price

Fair price≈18/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Nuevo Slovo has 10 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing seventh last time out. It is the highest-rated horse in the field at 65. The model's estimate of 6% is identical to the market's 6%, indicating a shared perception of its chances. (model 6% · fair 6%)

9Shining Guestreads the form

6 career runs · 6th last time · rated 50

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin24% of this price

Fair price≈18/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Shining Guest has 6 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing sixth last time. It is rated 50. The model's estimate of 4% is lower than the market's 6%, indicating my assessment is a little less keen on its chances. (model 4% · fair 6%)

10Gemini Starreads the form

17 career runs · 9th last time · rated 57

Price offered16/1 = 6% chance

Bookie's margin26% of this price

Fair price≈20/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Gemini Star has 17 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing ninth last time. It holds a rating of 57. The model's estimate of 6% is quite close to the market's 5%, suggesting a largely similar assessment of its prospects. (model 6% · fair 5%)

17:08Brandford Restaurants & Bar Handicap (Div 2)Fav Koffee And Kale 47/25 13% margin in this price24% across the whole raceread the race ▾

See this race on our Yarmouth racecard (runners, form, weights and our columns together)

This Yarmouth handicap features nine priced runners, with the bookmaker's margin standing at approximately 24% over a fair book. The market has made Koffee And Kale the favourite at 47/25, a view which the model echoes, also identifying it as the most likely contender. Model estimates for the field range from 23% down to 4%, suggesting a fairly lopsided contest at the top.

Every runner has a body of form, so the model can read this race in full.

Back every runner and the prices total 124%, about 24% over a fair 100% book. Each runner below shows the bookmaker's slice of its own price, worked out for this race: short prices carry the least, long ones the most.

1Koffee And Kalereads the form

18 career runs · 2nd last time · rated 62

Price offered47/25 = 35% chance

Bookie's margin13% of this price

Fair price≈5/2 margin stripped

The AI's read Koffee And Kale has 18 runs in our British and Irish records since October 2023, finishing second last time out. It is rated 62, placing it among the higher-rated runners in this field. The model's estimate of 23% is slightly under the market's 28%, indicating the market is a shade keener on its chances. (model 23% · fair 28%)

2Rory's Royalereads the form

8 career runs · 3rd last time · rated 65

Price offered9/4 = 31% chance

Bookie's margin14% of this price

Fair price≈3/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Rory's Royale has made 8 runs in our British and Irish records since October 2023, with its last outing resulting in a third-place finish. Rated 65, it is the highest-rated horse in this handicap. The model's estimate of 15% is notably lower than the market's 25%, implying the market is considerably more optimistic. (model 15% · fair 25%)

3Call Timereads the form

31 career runs · 2nd last time · won 1 of 14 at the trip · rated 60

Price offered11/4 = 27% chance

Bookie's margin15% of this price

Fair price≈7/2 margin stripped

The AI's read Call Time has been busy with 31 runs in our British and Irish records since October 2023, securing a second place finish most recently. It has won one of 14 attempts at this trip and is rated 60. The model's estimate of 21% aligns very closely with the market's 22%, suggesting a shared assessment of its prospects. (model 21% · fair 22%)

4Torfridareads the form

9 career runs · 5th last time · rated 53

Price offered12/1 = 8% chance

Bookie's margin28% of this price

Fair price≈16/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Torfrida has 9 runs in our British and Irish records since October 2023, finishing fifth on its last start. Rated 53, it is towards the lower end of the ratings in this race. The model's estimate of 5% is slightly under the market's 6%, indicating a broadly similar, though marginally less optimistic, assessment. (model 5% · fair 6%)

5Snugglereads the form

16 career runs · 9th last time · won 1 of 13 at the trip · rated 57

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin30% of this price

Fair price≈18/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Snuggle has 16 runs in our British and Irish records since October 2023, finishing ninth last time out. It has a win from 13 attempts at this specific trip and is rated 57. The model's estimate of 4% is slightly under the market's 5%, suggesting a close alignment in the assessment of its possibilities. (model 4% · fair 5%)

6Ironistreads the form

16 career runs · 7th last time · won 1 of 7 at the course · won 1 of 7 at the trip

Price offered20/1 = 5% chance

Bookie's margin37% of this price

Fair price≈25/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Ironist has 16 runs in our British and Irish records since October 2023, finishing seventh on its last appearance. It has a course win from seven attempts and a trip win from seven attempts, rated 58. The model's estimate of 9% is more than double the market's 4%, suggesting the model sees more potential than the price implies. (model 9% · fair 4%)

7Mayflower Rockreads the form

8 career runs · 4th last time · rated 46

Price offered20/1 = 5% chance

Bookie's margin37% of this price

Fair price≈25/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Mayflower Rock has 8 runs in our British and Irish records since October 2023, with its most recent run being a fourth-place finish. Rated 46, it is one of the lower-rated horses in the field. The model's estimate of 9% is more than double the market's 4%, indicating the model has a higher regard for its chances. (model 9% · fair 4%)

8Middleton Viewreads the form

14 career runs · 9th last time · rated 59

Price offered25/1 = 4% chance

Bookie's margin42% of this price

Fair price≈33/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Middleton View has 14 runs in our British and Irish records since October 2023, finishing ninth last time out. It is rated 59, placing it in the middle tier of this field. The model's estimate of 7% is more than double the market's 3%, suggesting the model finds its prospects more encouraging than the market price indicates. (model 7% · fair 3%)

9Tactical Planreads the form

27 career runs · 8th last time · rated 62

Price offered25/1 = 4% chance

Bookie's margin42% of this price

Fair price≈33/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Tactical Plan has amassed 27 runs in our British and Irish records since October 2023, with its last outing being an eighth-place finish. Rated 62, it holds a competitive rating in this handicap. The model's estimate of 6% is double the market's 3%, suggesting the model perceives a greater chance than the current price. (model 6% · fair 3%)

CurraghIreland7 races · avg margin 35% · model leans off the favourite in 3 of 7 · view our Curragh racecardopen every race ▾

13:251xBet.ie Supporting October Racing Irish EuropFav Major Triumph 2/1 14% margin in this price28% across the whole raceread the race ▾

See this race on our Curragh racecard (runners, form, weights and our columns together)

This maiden race features thirteen runners, with the market showing a bookmaker margin of about 28% over a fair book. Major Triumph is the 2/1 favourite, and the model also identifies it as the most likely winner. The model's estimates for the field range from 31% down to 1%, indicating a fairly lopsided contest towards the top of the market.

A lightly-raced field (2 debutants, 10 with a run or two), so the model can read little here; the market is leaning on breeding and stable expectation.

Back every runner and the prices total 128%, about 28% over a fair 100% book. Each runner below shows the bookmaker's slice of its own price, worked out for this race: short prices carry the least, long ones the most.

1Major Triumphlightly raced

1 career run · 3rd last time

Price offered2/1 = 33% chance

Bookie's margin14% of this price

Fair price≈11/4 margin stripped

The AI's read Major Triumph has one run in our records since October 2023, finishing third last time out. This single run provides some form to consider in a maiden. The model gives it 31% against the market's 26%, suggesting my read is slightly more optimistic than the market's pricing. (model 31% · fair 26%)

2Nation Blazereads the form

4 career runs · well beaten last time · rated 85

Price offered4/1 = 20% chance

Bookie's margin17% of this price

Fair price≈11/2 margin stripped

The AI's read Nation Blaze has four runs in our records since October 2023, though it was well beaten last time. Its rating of 85 puts it among the more experienced in this field. The model's estimate of 15% aligns closely with the market's 16%, showing little divergence in perception. (model 15% · fair 16%)

3Shake It Outlightly raced

1 career run · 6th last time

Price offered11/2 = 15% chance

Bookie's margin19% of this price

Fair price≈7/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Shake It Out has one run in our records since October 2023, finishing sixth on that occasion. This single piece of form provides limited insight. The model gives it 3% against the market's 12%, indicating a substantial difference in opinion compared to the market's more positive pricing. (model 3% · fair 12%)

4Tabasco Riverfirst run

First run, so no form for the model to read.

Price offered6/1 = 14% chance

Bookie's margin20% of this price

Fair price≈8/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Tabasco River has no runs in our records since October 2023, meaning there is no form available for a model to assess. The price of 6/1 implies significant confidence in its ability despite the lack of public form. My model gives it 9% against the market's 11%, showing it is priced on promise rather than past performance. (model 9% · fair 11%)

5Sonny Hayeslightly raced

1 career run · 4th last time

Price offered7/1 = 13% chance

Bookie's margin21% of this price

Fair price≈9/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Sonny Hayes has a single run in our records since October 2023, finishing fourth on that occasion. This provides a starting point for form analysis. The model's estimate of 12% is a shade higher than the market's 10%, suggesting a small difference in assessment. (model 12% · fair 10%)

6Eagle Eclipselightly raced

1 career run · 9th last time

Price offered8/1 = 11% chance

Bookie's margin22% of this price

Fair price≈10/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Eagle Eclipse has one run in our records since October 2023, finishing ninth last time out. This single run provides minimal encouragement. The model gives it 2% against the market's 9%, suggesting the market is considerably more optimistic than my assessment. (model 2% · fair 9%)

7One Flashlightly raced

2 career runs · 2nd last time

Price offered16/1 = 6% chance

Bookie's margin31% of this price

Fair price≈20/1 margin stripped

The AI's read One Flash has two runs in our records since October 2023, with a second-place finish last time. This recent performance suggests some capability. The model gives it 13% against the market's 5%, indicating my assessment is considerably more positive than the market's current price. (model 13% · fair 5%)

8Rejoinderlightly raced

2 career runs · 4th last time

Price offered25/1 = 4% chance

Bookie's margin39% of this price

Fair price≈33/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Rejoinder has two runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fourth last time out. These two runs offer some indication of its current form. The model gives it 4% against the market's 3%, suggesting a very close alignment between my view and the market's assessment. (model 4% · fair 3%)

9Castagliolafirst run

First run, so no form for the model to read.

Price offered25/1 = 4% chance

Bookie's margin39% of this price

Fair price≈33/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Castagliola has no runs in our records since October 2023, so there is no form for the model to interpret. The price of 25/1 reflects a speculative view given the absence of public performances. My model gives it 3% against the market's 3%, showing an identical assessment of its unknown prospects. (model 3% · fair 3%)

10Paul Pierrelightly raced

2 career runs · well beaten last time

Price offered33/1 = 3% chance

Bookie's margin46% of this price

Fair price≈40/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Paul Pierre has two runs in our records since October 2023, though it was well beaten last time. These runs suggest it has yet to show its best. The model gives it 3% against the market's 2%, indicating a similar low expectation compared to the market. (model 3% · fair 2%)

11Elzantelightly raced

1 career run · 9th last time

Price offered50/1 = 2% chance

Bookie's margin56% of this price

Fair price≈66/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Elzante has one run in our records since October 2023, finishing ninth on that occasion. This single run does not suggest immediate success. The model gives it 3% against the market's 2%, aligning closely with the market's modest assessment. (model 3% · fair 2%)

12Sharf Ardadlightly raced

1 career run · well beaten last time

Price offered50/1 = 2% chance

Bookie's margin56% of this price

Fair price≈66/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Sharf Ardad has one run in our records since October 2023, where it was well beaten. This performance offers little to recommend it. The model gives it 1% against the market's 2%, indicating a consistent low expectation. (model 1% · fair 2%)

13Grecian Pearllightly raced

1 career run · well beaten last time

Price offered100/1 = 1% chance

Bookie's margin74% of this price

Fair price≈150/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Grecian Pearl has one run in our records since October 2023, also finishing well beaten. This single run does not suggest it will be competitive here. The model gives it 1% against the market's 1%, showing perfect alignment in their low estimates. (model 1% · fair 1%)

13:55Autumn Racing With 1xBet.ie At The Curragh HanFav Lilli's Angel 9/2 19% margin in this price35% across the whole raceread the race ▾

See this race on our Curragh racecard (runners, form, weights and our columns together)

This is a wide open handicap with 17 priced runners and a significant bookmaker margin of about 35%. Lilli's Angel is the market favourite at 9/2, and my model also identifies it as the most likely winner. Model estimates range from 14% down to 2%, reflecting the competitive nature of the field.

Every runner has a body of form, so the model can read this race in full.

Back every runner and the prices total 135%, about 35% over a fair 100% book. Each runner below shows the bookmaker's slice of its own price, worked out for this race: short prices carry the least, long ones the most.

1Lilli's Angelreads the form

4 career runs · won last time · won 1 of 3 at the trip · rated 78

Price offered9/2 = 18% chance

Bookie's margin19% of this price

Fair price≈6/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Lilli's Angel has four runs in our records since October 2023, winning last time out. It has won one of three runs at this trip and is rated 78. My model's estimate of 14% is slightly above the market's 13%, suggesting a fractional difference in assessment. (model 14% · fair 13%)

2Merisi Diamondreads the form

22 career runs · 3rd last time · won 3 of 13 at the course · won 1 of 5 at the trip

Price offered6/1 = 14% chance

Bookie's margin21% of this price

Fair price≈8/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Merisi Diamond has 22 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing third last time. It has won three of 13 at the course and one of five at this trip, rated 67. My model's 6% is notably lower than the market's 11%, suggesting the market sees more promise. (model 6% · fair 11%)

3Nouvel Espoirreads the form

37 career runs · 5th last time · won 1 of 13 at the course · won 1 of 14 at the trip

Price offered7/1 = 13% chance

Bookie's margin22% of this price

Fair price≈10/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Nouvel Espoir has a substantial 37 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fifth last time. It has won one of 13 at the course and one of 14 at this trip, with a rating of 78. My model's 8% is just under the market's 9%, a very close alignment. (model 8% · fair 9%)

4Spodo Komodoreads the form

10 career runs · 4th last time · won 1 of 3 at the course · won 1 of 3 at the trip

Price offered8/1 = 11% chance

Bookie's margin23% of this price

Fair price≈12/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Spodo Komodo has ten runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fourth on its most recent start. It has won one of three at the course and one of three at this trip, rated 76. My model's estimate of 8% matches the market's 8%, showing a consensus view. (model 8% · fair 8%)

5Ballintogherreads the form

6 career runs · won last time · won 1 of 6 at the trip · rated 74

Price offered10/1 = 9% chance

Bookie's margin25% of this price

Fair price≈14/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Ballintogher has six runs in our records since October 2023, winning on its last appearance. It has won one of six at this trip and is rated 74. My model's estimate of 7% aligns precisely with the market's 7%, indicating an identical assessment. (model 7% · fair 7%)

6Motta Altareads the form

5 career runs · 5th last time · rated 77

Price offered12/1 = 8% chance

Bookie's margin27% of this price

Fair price≈16/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Motta Alta has five runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fifth on its most recent outing. It is rated 77, placing it among the more highly rated in this field. My model gives it 9% against the market's 6%, indicating a more positive view of its chances. (model 9% · fair 6%)

7All The Girlsreads the form

11 career runs · 4th last time · rated 69

Price offered12/1 = 8% chance

Bookie's margin27% of this price

Fair price≈16/1 margin stripped

The AI's read All The Girls has eleven runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fourth last time. It is rated 69, which is towards the lower end of this field. My model gives it 7% against the market's 6%, a small difference in outlook. (model 7% · fair 6%)

8Rosatoreads the form

29 career runs · well beaten last time · won 4 of 23 at the trip · rated 67

Price offered12/1 = 8% chance

Bookie's margin27% of this price

Fair price≈16/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Rosato has 29 runs in our records since October 2023, running well beaten last time. It has won four of 23 at this trip, which is a good record for the distance, and is rated 67. My model's 4% is below the market's 6%, suggesting the market is a shade keener. (model 4% · fair 6%)

9Gypsy Queenreads the form

5 career runs · 6th last time · won 1 of 1 at the trip · rated 74

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin29% of this price

Fair price≈20/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Gypsy Queen has five runs in our records since October 2023, finishing sixth last time. It has won its only run at this trip and is rated 74. My model's estimate of 5% matches the market's 5%, indicating a shared assessment. (model 5% · fair 5%)

10Michael's Wellreads the form

6 career runs · 7th last time · won 1 of 5 at the trip · rated 72

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin29% of this price

Fair price≈20/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Michael's Well has six runs in our records since October 2023, finishing seventh last time. It has won one of five runs at this trip and is rated 72. My model's 4% is slightly below the market's 5%, a small distinction in their assessments. (model 4% · fair 5%)

11Apache Outlawreads the form

50 career runs · 9th last time · won 1 of 16 at the course · won 2 of 24 at the trip

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin29% of this price

Fair price≈20/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Apache Outlaw has 50 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing ninth last time. It has won one of 16 at the course and two of 24 at this trip, rated 67. My model's 3% is below the market's 5%, suggesting the market is more optimistic. (model 3% · fair 5%)

12Go Athleticoreads the form

27 career runs · 9th last time · won 1 of 16 at the course · won 1 of 16 at the trip

Price offered16/1 = 6% chance

Bookie's margin30% of this price

Fair price≈20/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Go Athletico has 27 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing ninth last time. It has won one of 16 at the course and one of 16 at this trip, rated 74. My model's 5% is slightly above the market's 4%, a minor divergence. (model 5% · fair 4%)

13Tolebireads the form

9 career runs · 8th last time · rated 75

Price offered20/1 = 5% chance

Bookie's margin34% of this price

Fair price≈25/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Tolebi has nine runs in our records since October 2023, finishing eighth on its last outing. It is rated 75, a mid-range rating in this competitive handicap. My model's 5% is slightly higher than the market's 4%, a small difference in opinion. (model 5% · fair 4%)

14Nakamurareads the form

16 career runs · well beaten last time · won 2 of 10 at the trip · rated 73

Price offered20/1 = 5% chance

Bookie's margin34% of this price

Fair price≈25/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Nakamura has 16 runs in our records since October 2023, running well beaten last time. It has won two of ten runs at this trip and is rated 73. My model's 4% aligns with the market's 4%, indicating a shared assessment of its prospects. (model 4% · fair 4%)

15Tropical Retreatreads the form

13 career runs · well beaten last time · won 1 of 4 at the course · won 2 of 10 at the trip

Price offered25/1 = 4% chance

Bookie's margin38% of this price

Fair price≈33/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Tropical Retreat has 13 runs in our records since October 2023, running well beaten last time. It has won one of four at the course and two of ten at this trip, rated 76. My model's 6% is double the market's 3%, suggesting a slightly more optimistic perspective. (model 6% · fair 3%)

16Heddon Streetreads the form

4 career runs · well beaten last time · won 1 of 3 at the trip · rated 74

Price offered25/1 = 4% chance

Bookie's margin38% of this price

Fair price≈33/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Heddon Street has four runs in our records since October 2023, running well beaten last time. It has won one of three runs at this trip and is rated 74. My model's 4% is slightly above the market's 3%, a small difference in their estimates. (model 4% · fair 3%)

17Real Forcereads the form

9 career runs · well beaten last time · won 1 of 7 at the course · rated 76

Price offered25/1 = 4% chance

Bookie's margin38% of this price

Fair price≈33/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Real Force has nine runs in our records since October 2023, running well beaten last time. It has won one of seven at the course and is rated 76. My model's 2% is slightly below the market's 3%, a minor difference in their respective estimates. (model 2% · fair 3%)

14:25Bill Hanlon Memorial Fillies MaidenFav Together Now 5/4 10% margin in this price19% across the whole raceread the race ▾

See this race on our Curragh racecard (runners, form, weights and our columns together)

This Bill Hanlon Memorial Fillies Maiden has seven runners and appears somewhat lopsided, with a clear favourite. The bookmaker's margin of about 19% over a fair book suggests a typical pricing structure for this type of race. My model agrees with the market's assessment of Together Now as the most likely contender.

2 of 7 are unraced or barely raced; the model reads the rest from the form.

Back every runner and the prices total 119%, about 19% over a fair 100% book. Each runner below shows the bookmaker's slice of its own price, worked out for this race: short prices carry the least, long ones the most.

1Together Nowreads the form

3 career runs · 2nd last time · rated 84

Price offered5/4 = 44% chance

Bookie's margin10% of this price

Fair price≈13/8 margin stripped

The AI's read This horse has three runs in our records since October 2023, with a second place last time out. Its rating of 84 puts it at the top of this field. My model gives it 35% against the market's 37%, indicating a close alignment with the prevailing price. (model 35% · fair 37%)

2Hey Stellareads the form

3 career runs · 2nd last time · rated 76

Price offered7/2 = 22% chance

Bookie's margin14% of this price

Fair price≈9/2 margin stripped

The AI's read With three runs in our records since October 2023, Hey Stella recorded a second place last time. Its rating of 76 indicates a solid level of form. My model gives it 14% against the market's 19%, which is a cooler assessment than the crowd's pricing. (model 14% · fair 19%)

3I Hope You Dancereads the form

7 career runs · 4th last time · rated 79

Price offered6/1 = 14% chance

Bookie's margin18% of this price

Fair price≈7/1 margin stripped

The AI's read This runner has seven runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fourth on its last appearance. Its rating of 79 suggests it is competitive in this company. My model's estimate of 13% sits very close to the market's 12%, implying little difference in perception. (model 13% · fair 12%)

4Sounds Greatreads the form

4 career runs · 3rd last time · rated 79

Price offered7/1 = 13% chance

Bookie's margin19% of this price

Fair price≈9/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Sounds Great has four runs in our records since October 2023, finishing third on its most recent outing. Its rating of 79 places it among the more established runners here. My model's estimate of 14% is slightly above the market's 11%, suggesting a marginally more optimistic view. (model 14% · fair 11%)

5Kashalalightly raced

1 career run · 4th last time

Price offered7/1 = 13% chance

Bookie's margin19% of this price

Fair price≈9/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Kashala has just one run in our records since October 2023, a fourth place. There is limited form for a model to interpret from this single run. My model gives it 10% against the market's 11%, a minor difference given the small sample size. (model 10% · fair 11%)

6Senna's Girlreads the form

19 career runs · 3rd last time · rated 68

Price offered10/1 = 9% chance

Bookie's margin24% of this price

Fair price≈12/1 margin stripped

The AI's read This horse has the most experience in our records since October 2023, with 19 runs and a third place last time. Its rating of 68 is lower than many in this field. My model gives it 9% against the market's 8%, a very similar assessment. (model 9% · fair 8%)

7Loosen And Limberlightly raced

1 career run · 8th last time

Price offered25/1 = 4% chance

Bookie's margin41% of this price

Fair price≈33/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Loosen And Limber has one run in our records since October 2023, finishing eighth. This limited form offers little for a statistical model to analyse. My model gives it 4% against the market's 3%, with both estimates indicating it is considered an outsider. (model 4% · fair 3%)

15:00Staffordstown Stud Stakes (Fillies' Group 3)Fav Maire Rua 7/4 13% margin in this price25% across the whole raceread the race ▾

See this race on our Curragh racecard (runners, form, weights and our columns together)

This Group 3 race has eleven runners, and the market suggests a clear favourite in Maire Rua at 7/4. The bookmaker's margin of about 25% over a fair book implies a somewhat generous pricing structure. My model aligns with the market, also identifying Maire Rua as the most likely winner, with estimates ranging down to 2% for the outsiders.

4 of 11 are unraced or barely raced; the model reads the rest from the form.

Back every runner and the prices total 125%, about 25% over a fair 100% book. Each runner below shows the bookmaker's slice of its own price, worked out for this race: short prices carry the least, long ones the most.

1Maire Ruareads the form

3 career runs · won last time · won 1 of 1 at the trip · rated 103

Price offered7/4 = 36% chance

Bookie's margin13% of this price

Fair price≈5/2 margin stripped

The AI's read Maire Rua has three runs in our records since October 2023, winning last time out. This horse has won its only race at this trip and boasts the highest rating in the field at 103. My model gives it 33% against the market's 29%, indicating a slightly stronger view than the price. (model 33% · fair 29%)

2The Good Wifelightly raced

2 career runs · won last time · won 1 of 1 at the trip

Price offered5/1 = 17% chance

Bookie's margin17% of this price

Fair price≈7/1 margin stripped

The AI's read The Good Wife has two runs in our records since October 2023, winning on its last appearance. It has also won its sole start at this particular trip. My model's estimate of 14% sits just above the market's 13%, suggesting a very close alignment in assessment. (model 14% · fair 13%)

3Golden Ringreads the form

4 career runs · 7th last time · won 1 of 1 at the trip · rated 95

Price offered11/2 = 15% chance

Bookie's margin18% of this price

Fair price≈7/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Golden Ring has four runs in our records since October 2023, finishing seventh last time. It has a perfect record of one win from one start at this trip and is rated 95. My model estimates 10% against the market's 12%, a slightly cooler assessment than the current price. (model 10% · fair 12%)

4Magna Victorialightly raced

1 career run · won last time · won 1 of 1 at the trip

Price offered6/1 = 14% chance

Bookie's margin19% of this price

Fair price≈8/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Magna Victoria has just one run in our records since October 2023, which it won. This horse has also won its only race at this trip. My model's estimate of 10% is marginally below the market's 11%, indicating a very similar read on its prospects. (model 10% · fair 11%)

5Isle Of Caprireads the form

3 career runs · won last time · won 1 of 1 at the trip

Price offered7/1 = 13% chance

Bookie's margin20% of this price

Fair price≈9/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Isle Of Capri has three runs in our records since October 2023, winning on its most recent outing. It has won its single start at this trip. My model gives it 9% against the market's 10%, a minor difference in perception. (model 9% · fair 10%)

6Bellesquereads the form

5 career runs · 5th last time · won 1 of 4 at the trip · rated 91

Price offered12/1 = 8% chance

Bookie's margin26% of this price

Fair price≈16/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Bellesque has five runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fifth last time. It has won one of its four races at this trip and carries a rating of 91. My model's estimate of 5% is just under the market's 6%, a negligible difference. (model 5% · fair 6%)

7Admired Beautyreads the form

5 career runs · 2nd last time · won 1 of 2 at the trip · rated 78

Price offered16/1 = 6% chance

Bookie's margin30% of this price

Fair price≈20/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Admired Beauty has five runs in our records since October 2023, finishing second last time. It has won one of its two races at this trip and is rated 78. My model gives it 6% against the market's 5%, indicating a slightly more optimistic view. (model 6% · fair 5%)

8Apollo's Cometreads the form

4 career runs · 6th last time · won 1 of 1 at the trip

Price offered16/1 = 6% chance

Bookie's margin30% of this price

Fair price≈20/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Apollo's Comet has four runs in our records since October 2023, finishing sixth last time. It has won its single race at this trip. My model estimates 3% against the market's 5%, suggesting the price is a little keener than my assessment. (model 3% · fair 5%)

9Chattering Classeslightly raced

2 career runs · 3rd last time

Price offered25/1 = 4% chance

Bookie's margin38% of this price

Fair price≈33/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Chattering Classes has two runs in our records since October 2023, finishing third last time. There is no specific course or distance form provided. My model gives it 4% against the market's 3%, a slightly more positive outlook than the price suggests. (model 4% · fair 3%)

10Blonde Over Bluereads the form

4 career runs · 9th last time · won 1 of 1 at the trip · rated 90

Price offered25/1 = 4% chance

Bookie's margin38% of this price

Fair price≈33/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Blonde Over Blue has four runs in our records since October 2023, finishing ninth last time. It has won its only race at this trip and is rated 90. My model's estimate of 4% is slightly above the market's 3%, a modest divergence. (model 4% · fair 3%)

11Cross Of Starslightly raced

1 career run · 6th last time

Price offered33/1 = 3% chance

Bookie's margin45% of this price

Fair price≈40/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Cross Of Stars has just one run in our records since October 2023, finishing sixth. There is limited form to assess from this single outing. My model gives it 2% against the market's 2%, indicating a complete agreement with the price. (model 2% · fair 2%)

15:35Every Race, Every Moment 1xBet.ie Amateur RideFav Absurde 7/4 12% margin in this price23% across the whole raceread the race ▾

See this race on our Curragh racecard (runners, form, weights and our columns together)

This appears to be a competitive race with ten priced runners, indicated by a bookmaker margin around 23% over a fair book. Absurde is the market favourite at 7/4, but the model's estimate suggests Puppet Master is the most likely contender at 10/1. The model's probabilities range from 17% down to 1%, implying a relatively open contest where the market and model have differing views on the primary contender.

1 of 10 are unraced or barely raced; the model reads the rest from the form.

Back every runner and the prices total 123%, about 23% over a fair 100% book. Each runner below shows the bookmaker's slice of its own price, worked out for this race: short prices carry the least, long ones the most.

1Absurdereads the form

13 career runs · well beaten last time · rated 106

Price offered7/4 = 36% chance

Bookie's margin12% of this price

Fair price≈5/2 margin stripped

The AI's read Absurde has 13 runs in our records since October 2023, but was well beaten on its last appearance. Despite this, its rating of 106 makes it the highest-rated horse in the field. The model gives it 11% against the market's 30%, a significant divergence from the favourite's price. (model 11% · fair 30%)

2Siriusreads the form

7 career runs · 2nd last time · won 1 of 4 at the course · won 1 of 2 at the trip

Price offered9/2 = 18% chance

Bookie's margin16% of this price

Fair price≈6/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Sirius has seven runs in our records since October 2023, with a second-place finish last time. It has won once from four runs at this course and once from two at this trip, with a rating of 93. The model's estimate of 16% aligns closely with the market's 15%, suggesting a consensus view. (model 16% · fair 15%)

3Bay Of Starsreads the form

6 career runs · 3rd last time · won 1 of 2 at the trip · rated 86

Price offered6/1 = 14% chance

Bookie's margin18% of this price

Fair price≈8/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Bay Of Stars has six runs in our records since October 2023, finishing third on its most recent outing. It has won one of its two starts at this trip, and its rating is 86. The model gives it 15% against the market's 12%, a slightly more optimistic assessment than the current price. (model 15% · fair 12%)

4Contorsionlightly raced

1 career run · 5th last time · rated 90

Price offered6/1 = 14% chance

Bookie's margin18% of this price

Fair price≈8/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Contorsion has just one run in our records since October 2023, finishing fifth on that occasion. With such limited data, it is difficult for a form model to draw strong conclusions, though its rating is 90. The model gives it 7% against the market's 12%, a less enthusiastic view than the price. (model 7% · fair 12%)

5Shosholozareads the form

5 career runs · well beaten last time · rated 95

Price offered7/1 = 13% chance

Bookie's margin19% of this price

Fair price≈9/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Shosholoza has five runs in our records since October 2023, though it was well beaten last time. Its rating of 95 suggests it has the ability to compete at this level. The model's estimate of 12% is slightly above the market's 10%, indicating a marginal difference in perception. (model 12% · fair 10%)

6Puppet Masterreads the form

14 career runs · 3rd last time · won 1 of 3 at the trip · rated 92

Price offered10/1 = 9% chance

Bookie's margin23% of this price

Fair price≈12/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Puppet Master has run 14 times in our records since October 2023, finishing third last time out. It has a win from three attempts at this trip, and its rating of 92 puts it in contention. The model gives it 17% against the market's 7%, indicating a much stronger prospect than the price suggests. (model 17% · fair 7%)

7Narlitareads the form

24 career runs · 3rd last time · won 1 of 14 at the trip · rated 81

Price offered16/1 = 6% chance

Bookie's margin29% of this price

Fair price≈20/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Narlita has 24 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing third last time. It has won one of 14 attempts at this trip, and its rating is 81. The model's estimate of 5% is in line with the market's 5%, suggesting the current price accurately reflects its chances. (model 5% · fair 5%)

8Mister Adamreads the form

6 career runs · 8th last time · won 1 of 3 at the trip · rated 85

Price offered20/1 = 5% chance

Bookie's margin33% of this price

Fair price≈25/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Mister Adam has run six times in our records since October 2023, finishing eighth last time out. It has a win from three attempts at this trip, and its rating is 85. The model gives it 11% against the market's 4%, suggesting it may be a more capable contender than its price implies. (model 11% · fair 4%)

9The Mediatorreads the form

28 career runs · well beaten last time · rated 75

Price offered20/1 = 5% chance

Bookie's margin33% of this price

Fair price≈25/1 margin stripped

The AI's read The Mediator has run 28 times in our records since October 2023, but was well beaten on its last outing. Its rating of 75 places it towards the lower end of this field. The model's estimate of 4% aligns with the market's 4%, indicating a consistent assessment of its prospects. (model 4% · fair 4%)

10Hunters Runreads the form

8 career runs · 5th last time · rated 69

Price offered33/1 = 3% chance

Bookie's margin44% of this price

Fair price≈40/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Hunters Run has eight runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fifth last time out. With a rating of 69, it is the lowest-rated horse in the field. The model's estimate of 1% is consistent with the market's 2%, suggesting it faces a challenging task here. (model 1% · fair 2%)

16:101xBet.ie Supports The Curragh HandicapFav Max Meridius 9/2 27% margin in this price62% across the whole raceread the race ▾

See this race on our Curragh racecard (runners, form, weights and our columns together)

This is a very open handicap with 27 runners. The bookmaker's margin of about 62% over a fair book suggests a significant amount of uncertainty in the pricing. My model sees Kodi Brown as the most likely winner, differing from the market's favourite, Max Meridius.

Every runner has a body of form, so the model can read this race in full.

Back every runner and the prices total 162%, about 62% over a fair 100% book. Each runner below shows the bookmaker's slice of its own price, worked out for this race: short prices carry the least, long ones the most.

1Max Meridiusreads the form

18 career runs · won last time · rated 63

Price offered9/2 = 18% chance

Bookie's margin27% of this price

Fair price≈8/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Max Meridius has 18 runs in our records since October 2023, also winning last time. It is rated 63, the same as my model's top pick. My model gives it 11% against the market's 11%, aligning with the market's assessment of the favourite. (model 11% · fair 11%)

2Kodi Brownreads the form

10 career runs · won last time · won 1 of 4 at the trip · rated 63

Price offered5/1 = 17% chance

Bookie's margin28% of this price

Fair price≈9/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Kodi Brown has 10 runs in our records since October 2023, winning last time out. It has a win from four attempts at this trip and is rated 63. My model gives it 11% against the market's 10%, making it my most likely winner. (model 11% · fair 10%)

3African Affairreads the form

4 career runs · won last time · won 1 of 3 at the trip · rated 68

Price offered6/1 = 14% chance

Bookie's margin29% of this price

Fair price≈10/1 margin stripped

The AI's read African Affair has 4 runs in our records since October 2023, winning last time. It has a win from three attempts at this trip and is rated 68. My model gives it 6% against the market's 9%, so my read is a shade cooler than the market. (model 6% · fair 9%)

4Anvikareads the form

33 career runs · won last time · won 1 of 5 at the course · rated 68

Price offered10/1 = 9% chance

Bookie's margin34% of this price

Fair price≈16/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Anvika has 33 runs in our records since October 2023, winning last time. It has a win from five attempts at this course and is rated 68. My model gives it 5% against the market's 6%, which is a close alignment with the market. (model 5% · fair 6%)

5Cladachreads the form

9 career runs · 4th last time · rated 69

Price offered12/1 = 8% chance

Bookie's margin36% of this price

Fair price≈20/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Cladach has 9 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fourth last time. It is rated 69, which is one of the higher ratings in this field. My model gives it 8% against the market's 5%, suggesting my read is keener than the price. (model 8% · fair 5%)

6Spyreads the form

29 career runs · 5th last time · won 1 of 9 at the trip · rated 58

Price offered12/1 = 8% chance

Bookie's margin36% of this price

Fair price≈20/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Spy has 29 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fifth last time. It has a win from nine attempts at this trip and is rated 58. My model gives it 2% against the market's 5%, indicating a cooler read than the market. (model 2% · fair 5%)

7Cracking Cloudreads the form

4 career runs · 5th last time · rated 70

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin38% of this price

Fair price≈25/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Cracking Cloud has 4 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fifth last time. It is rated 70, making it one of the highest rated runners. My model gives it 4% against the market's 4%, a direct alignment. (model 4% · fair 4%)

8Mr Perthreads the form

7 career runs · 4th last time · rated 60

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin38% of this price

Fair price≈25/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Mr Perth has 7 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fourth last time. It is rated 60. My model gives it 4% against the market's 4%, which is a direct match with the market's assessment. (model 4% · fair 4%)

9Rough And Toughreads the form

4 career runs · 3rd last time · won 1 of 2 at the trip · rated 61

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin38% of this price

Fair price≈25/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Rough And Tough has 4 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing third last time. It has a win from two attempts at this trip and is rated 61. My model gives it 2% against the market's 4%, a cooler assessment than the market. (model 2% · fair 4%)

10Nottooshabbyreads the form

6 career runs · 2nd last time · rated 61

Price offered16/1 = 6% chance

Bookie's margin40% of this price

Fair price≈25/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Nottooshabby has 6 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing second last time. It is rated 61, a similar rating to several others in this race. My model gives it 4% against the market's 4%, showing a direct match. (model 4% · fair 4%)

11Starting Mondayreads the form

17 career runs · 2nd last time · won 1 of 4 at the trip · rated 52

Price offered16/1 = 6% chance

Bookie's margin40% of this price

Fair price≈25/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Starting Monday has 17 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing second last time. It has a win from four attempts at this trip and is rated 52. My model gives it 2% against the market's 4%, a cooler assessment than the market. (model 2% · fair 4%)

12Chloe's Boyreads the form

9 career runs · 5th last time · won 1 of 4 at the trip · rated 53

Price offered16/1 = 6% chance

Bookie's margin40% of this price

Fair price≈25/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Chloe's Boy has 9 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fifth last time. It has a win from four attempts at this trip and is rated 53. My model gives it 2% against the market's 4%, a cooler assessment than the market. (model 2% · fair 4%)

13Khormor Sydreads the form

12 career runs · 7th last time · rated 63

Price offered20/1 = 5% chance

Bookie's margin43% of this price

Fair price≈33/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Khormor Syd has 12 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing seventh last time. It is rated 63, putting it in the middle of the pack on ratings. My model gives it 7% against the market's 3%, indicating a stronger assessment than the market. (model 7% · fair 3%)

14Lamar Valleyreads the form

4 career runs · 4th last time · rated 61

Price offered20/1 = 5% chance

Bookie's margin43% of this price

Fair price≈33/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Lamar Valley has 4 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fourth last time. It is rated 61, placing it in the lower half of the field by rating. My model gives it 5% against the market's 3%, suggesting a slightly more positive view. (model 5% · fair 3%)

15Dark Summitreads the form

10 career runs · 3rd last time · rated 60

Price offered20/1 = 5% chance

Bookie's margin43% of this price

Fair price≈33/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Dark Summit has 10 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing third last time. It is rated 60. My model gives it 4% against the market's 3%, indicating a slightly more optimistic assessment than the market. (model 4% · fair 3%)

16Gentle Sodareads the form

4 career runs · 6th last time · rated 66

Price offered25/1 = 4% chance

Bookie's margin48% of this price

Fair price≈40/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Gentle Soda has 4 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing sixth last time. It is rated 66. My model gives it 4% against the market's 2%, suggesting my read is more positive than the price. (model 4% · fair 2%)

17Servarereads the form

9 career runs · well beaten last time · won 1 of 1 at the trip · rated 67

Price offered25/1 = 4% chance

Bookie's margin48% of this price

Fair price≈40/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Servare has 9 runs in our records since October 2023, being well beaten last time. It has won its only attempt at this trip and is rated 67. My model gives it 3% against the market's 2%, a slightly more positive view. (model 3% · fair 2%)

18Doctor Gracereads the form

49 career runs · 9th last time · won 2 of 31 at the trip · rated 65

Price offered25/1 = 4% chance

Bookie's margin48% of this price

Fair price≈40/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Doctor Grace has 49 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing ninth last time. It has two wins from 31 attempts at this trip and is rated 65. My model gives it 2% against the market's 2%, a direct match. (model 2% · fair 2%)

19Showyoutheropesreads the form

15 career runs · 6th last time · won 1 of 5 at the trip · rated 58

Price offered25/1 = 4% chance

Bookie's margin48% of this price

Fair price≈40/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Showyoutheropes has 15 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing sixth last time. It has a win from five attempts at this trip and is rated 58. My model gives it 2% against the market's 2%, a direct match. (model 2% · fair 2%)

20Limestone Redreads the form

30 career runs · 7th last time · won 2 of 17 at the trip · rated 45

Price offered25/1 = 4% chance

Bookie's margin48% of this price

Fair price≈40/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Limestone Red has 30 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing seventh last time. It has two wins from 17 attempts at this trip and is rated 45. My model gives it 1% against the market's 2%, a slightly cooler read. (model 1% · fair 2%)

21Marjorie Dawreads the form

6 career runs · well beaten last time · rated 72

Price offered33/1 = 3% chance

Bookie's margin53% of this price

Fair price≈50/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Marjorie Daw has 6 runs in our records since October 2023, being well beaten last time. It is rated 72, the highest in the field. My model gives it 2% against the market's 2%, a direct match with the market. (model 2% · fair 2%)

22Barrogstown Girlreads the form

22 career runs · 9th last time · won 1 of 3 at the course · won 2 of 6 at the trip

Price offered33/1 = 3% chance

Bookie's margin53% of this price

Fair price≈50/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Barrogstown Girl has 22 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing ninth last time. It has a win from three attempts at the course and two from six at the trip, rated 63. My model gives it 2% against the market's 2%, a direct match. (model 2% · fair 2%)

23Elusive Dukereads the form

19 career runs · well beaten last time · rated 59

Price offered33/1 = 3% chance

Bookie's margin53% of this price

Fair price≈50/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Elusive Duke has 19 runs in our records since October 2023, being well beaten last time. It is rated 59. My model gives it 2% against the market's 2%, a direct match. (model 2% · fair 2%)

24Local Ladreads the form

11 career runs · well beaten last time · rated 64

Price offered33/1 = 3% chance

Bookie's margin53% of this price

Fair price≈50/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Local Lad has 11 runs in our records since October 2023, being well beaten last time. It is rated 64. My model gives it 1% against the market's 2%, a slightly cooler read. (model 1% · fair 2%)

25Ballysax Booreads the form

3 career runs · 7th last time · rated 53

Price offered50/1 = 2% chance

Bookie's margin63% of this price

Fair price≈80/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Ballysax Boo has 3 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing seventh last time. It is rated 53. My model gives it 1% against the market's 1%, a direct match. (model 1% · fair 1%)

26My Mate Tonyreads the form

13 career runs · well beaten last time · rated 51

Price offered50/1 = 2% chance

Bookie's margin63% of this price

Fair price≈80/1 margin stripped

The AI's read My Mate Tony has 13 runs in our records since October 2023, being well beaten last time. It is rated 51. My model gives it 1% against the market's 1%, a direct match. (model 1% · fair 1%)

27Walls Crossreads the form

6 career runs · well beaten last time · rated 48

Price offered66/1 = 1% chance

Bookie's margin69% of this price

Fair price≈100/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Walls Cross has 6 runs in our records since October 2023, being well beaten last time. It is rated 48. My model gives it 1% against the market's 1%, a direct match. (model 1% · fair 1%)

16:45Always Gambling Responsibly With 1xBet.ie HandFav Bang Po 5/1 25% margin in this price53% across the whole raceread the race ▾

See this race on our Curragh racecard (runners, form, weights and our columns together)

This is a very open handicap with 24 priced runners and a bookmaker margin of about 53% over a fair book, indicating a wide spread of opinion among the market makers. The model does not side with the market favourite, Bang Po, instead making Tariff the most likely winner. Model estimates range from 13% down to 1%, highlighting the competitive nature of the field.

Every runner has a body of form, so the model can read this race in full.

Back every runner and the prices total 153%, about 53% over a fair 100% book. Each runner below shows the bookmaker's slice of its own price, worked out for this race: short prices carry the least, long ones the most.

1Bang Poreads the form

21 career runs · won last time · rated 58

Price offered5/1 = 17% chance

Bookie's margin25% of this price

Fair price≈8/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Bang Po has 21 runs in our records since October 2023, winning last time out and rated 58. It is the market favourite at 5/1. However, the model gives it 4% against the market's 11%, indicating a significant difference in assessment, with the market far more optimistic. (model 4% · fair 11%)

2Mythical Rockreads the form

34 career runs · 2nd last time · rated 65

Price offered6/1 = 14% chance

Bookie's margin26% of this price

Fair price≈10/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Mythical Rock has been active with 34 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing second on its latest outing. It is rated 65, placing it in the upper half of this field. The model gives it 12% compared to the market's 9%, indicating a slightly stronger assessment from my calculations. (model 12% · fair 9%)

3Jasmine Affanalisreads the form

18 career runs · won last time · won 1 of 10 at the trip · rated 64

Price offered13/2 = 13% chance

Bookie's margin27% of this price

Fair price≈10/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Jasmine Affanalis has 18 runs in our records since October 2023, securing a win last time out. It has won one of ten at this trip and is rated 64. The model gives it 5% against the market's 9%, indicating the market is pricing in more of that last win than my calculations. (model 5% · fair 9%)

4Tariffreads the form

11 career runs · 2nd last time · won 1 of 5 at the trip · rated 49

Price offered10/1 = 9% chance

Bookie's margin30% of this price

Fair price≈16/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Tariff has 11 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing second last time out. It has won one of five at this trip and is rated 49. The model gives it 13% against the market's 6%, suggesting a more optimistic view of its chances than the current price. Its rating is among the lower in the field. (model 13% · fair 6%)

5No More Porterreads the form

39 career runs · 5th last time · won 1 of 16 at the course · rated 69

Price offered12/1 = 8% chance

Bookie's margin32% of this price

Fair price≈18/1 margin stripped

The AI's read With 39 runs in our records since October 2023, No More Porter finished fifth on its most recent start. It has won one of 16 at this course and is rated 69. The model's estimate of 5% aligns precisely with the market's 5%, showing no significant divergence of opinion. (model 5% · fair 5%)

6Zipsterreads the form

25 career runs · 3rd last time · won 3 of 16 at the trip · rated 68

Price offered12/1 = 8% chance

Bookie's margin32% of this price

Fair price≈18/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Zipster has 25 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing third last time. It has won three of 16 at this trip and is rated 68. The model gives it 3% against the market's 5%, suggesting the market is a little more positive on its prospects. (model 3% · fair 5%)

7Roaming Coyotereads the form

7 career runs · 4th last time · rated 62

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin34% of this price

Fair price≈20/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Roaming Coyote has 7 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fourth on its most recent outing. It is rated 62, putting it in the middle of this competitive field. The model's estimate of 5% is in line with the market's 4%, indicating a close match in assessment. (model 5% · fair 4%)

8Titaniumreads the form

30 career runs · 5th last time · won 1 of 8 at the course · won 2 of 15 at the trip

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin34% of this price

Fair price≈20/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Titanium has 30 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fifth last time. It has won one of eight at the course and two of 15 at this trip, rated 71. The model's estimate of 4% aligns with the market's 4%, suggesting a consistent view of its prospects. (model 4% · fair 4%)

9Dark Willowreads the form

10 career runs · 2nd last time · rated 45

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin34% of this price

Fair price≈20/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Dark Willow has 10 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing second on its most recent outing. It is rated 45, which is one of the lower ratings in this handicap. The model gives it 3% against the market's 4%, suggesting the market is slightly keener. (model 3% · fair 4%)

10Chipsrdownreads the form

10 career runs · well beaten last time · won 1 of 7 at the trip · rated 66

Price offered16/1 = 6% chance

Bookie's margin36% of this price

Fair price≈25/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Chipsrdown has 10 runs in our records since October 2023, with a well beaten effort last time. It has won one of seven at this trip and holds a rating of 66. The model gives it 7% against the market's 4%, suggesting it may be slightly underestimated by the current price. (model 7% · fair 4%)

11Bay Of Dreamsreads the form

16 career runs · well beaten last time · won 3 of 9 at the trip · rated 67

Price offered16/1 = 6% chance

Bookie's margin36% of this price

Fair price≈25/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Bay Of Dreams has 16 runs in our records since October 2023, with a well beaten effort on its last start. It has a good record at this trip, winning three of nine, and is rated 67. The model gives it 5% against the market's 4%, suggesting a marginal difference in assessment. (model 5% · fair 4%)

12Karakulareads the form

10 career runs · 6th last time · rated 61

Price offered16/1 = 6% chance

Bookie's margin36% of this price

Fair price≈25/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Karakula has 10 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing sixth last time. It is rated 61, placing it in the mid-range of this handicap. The model gives it 2% against the market's 4%, indicating the market is pricing it more strongly. (model 2% · fair 4%)

13God Knowsreads the form

19 career runs · 5th last time · won 1 of 6 at the trip · rated 52

Price offered20/1 = 5% chance

Bookie's margin40% of this price

Fair price≈33/1 margin stripped

The AI's read God Knows has 19 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fifth last time. It has won one of six at this trip and is rated 52. The model gives it 4% against the market's 3%, suggesting a slightly more positive view from the model. (model 4% · fair 3%)

14Killyclogher Rosereads the form

7 career runs · 6th last time · rated 65

Price offered20/1 = 5% chance

Bookie's margin40% of this price

Fair price≈33/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Killyclogher Rose has 7 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing sixth last time out. It is rated 65, placing it among the more established runners in the field. The model gives it 4% against the market's 3%, indicating a marginal difference in assessment. (model 4% · fair 3%)

15Nibras Rainbowreads the form

45 career runs · well beaten last time · won 2 of 20 at the trip · rated 60

Price offered20/1 = 5% chance

Bookie's margin40% of this price

Fair price≈33/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Nibras Rainbow has 45 runs in our records since October 2023, with a well beaten effort last time. It has won two of 20 at this trip and is rated 60. The model gives it 2% against the market's 3%, suggesting the market is marginally more optimistic. (model 2% · fair 3%)

16La Tulipe Noirereads the form

34 career runs · 6th last time · won 2 of 16 at the trip · rated 57

Price offered20/1 = 5% chance

Bookie's margin40% of this price

Fair price≈33/1 margin stripped

The AI's read La Tulipe Noire has 34 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing sixth last time. It has won two of 16 at this trip and is rated 57. The model gives it 2% against the market's 3%, suggesting the market is slightly more optimistic. (model 2% · fair 3%)

17Pallatine Hillsreads the form

16 career runs · 7th last time · rated 60

Price offered25/1 = 4% chance

Bookie's margin44% of this price

Fair price≈40/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Pallatine Hills has 16 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing seventh last time. It is rated 60, placing it in the mid-range of this field. The model's estimate of 3% aligns with the market's 3%, indicating a consistent assessment of its chances. (model 3% · fair 3%)

18Templenoereads the form

5 career runs · well beaten last time · rated 68

Price offered25/1 = 4% chance

Bookie's margin44% of this price

Fair price≈40/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Templenoe has 5 runs in our records since October 2023, with a well beaten effort last time. It is rated 68, placing it among the higher rated horses in the field. The model's estimate of 3% aligns with the market's 3%, showing a consistent assessment. (model 3% · fair 3%)

19Loingseoirreads the form

39 career runs · 8th last time · won 1 of 17 at the course · rated 65

Price offered25/1 = 4% chance

Bookie's margin44% of this price

Fair price≈40/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Loingseoir has 39 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing eighth last time. It has won one of 17 at the course and is rated 65. The model gives it 2% against the market's 3%, suggesting the market is marginally more positive. (model 2% · fair 3%)

20Lady Mary Heathreads the form

8 career runs · well beaten last time · rated 63

Price offered25/1 = 4% chance

Bookie's margin44% of this price

Fair price≈40/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Lady Mary Heath has 8 runs in our records since October 2023, with a well beaten effort last time. It is rated 63, placing it in the middle of this competitive field. The model gives it 2% against the market's 3%, indicating a slight difference in assessment. (model 2% · fair 3%)

21Vlhovareads the form

17 career runs · well beaten last time · won 1 of 10 at the trip · rated 64

Price offered25/1 = 4% chance

Bookie's margin44% of this price

Fair price≈40/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Vlhova has 17 runs in our records since October 2023, with a well beaten effort last time. It has won one of ten at this trip and is rated 64. The model gives it 2% against the market's 3%, suggesting the market is marginally more optimistic. (model 2% · fair 3%)

22Morsereads the form

18 career runs · well beaten last time · won 1 of 4 at the trip · rated 63

Price offered33/1 = 3% chance

Bookie's margin50% of this price

Fair price≈50/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Morse has 18 runs in our records since October 2023, with a well beaten effort last time. It has won one of four at this trip and is rated 63. The model's estimate of 2% aligns with the market's 2%, indicating a consistent assessment. (model 2% · fair 2%)

23Marta's Princereads the form

4 career runs · well beaten last time · rated 64

Price offered33/1 = 3% chance

Bookie's margin50% of this price

Fair price≈50/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Marta's Prince has 4 runs in our records since October 2023, with a well beaten effort last time. It is rated 64, placing it in the mid-range of this field. The model's estimate of 2% aligns with the market's 2%, indicating a consistent assessment. (model 2% · fair 2%)

24Orphaninareads the form

5 career runs · well beaten last time · rated 57

Price offered50/1 = 2% chance

Bookie's margin59% of this price

Fair price≈80/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Orphanina has 5 runs in our records since October 2023, with a well beaten effort last time. It is rated 57, placing it among the lower rated horses in this field. The model's estimate of 1% aligns with the market's 1%, indicating a consistent assessment. (model 1% · fair 1%)

Hexham6 races · avg margin 22% · model leans off the favourite in 3 of 6 · view our Hexham racecardopen every race ▾

14:01Download The At The Races App Mares' Novices' Fav Myluckymaker 81/50 16% margin in this price26% across the whole raceread the race ▾

See this race on our Hexham racecard (runners, form, weights and our columns together)

This Hexham mares' novice hurdle features six priced runners, with the bookmaker's margin appearing a little wide at around 26%. The market has Myluckymaker as the favourite, but my model sees Tralee Girl as marginally more likely to prevail. The model's estimates span a broad range, from 28% down to 2%, suggesting a race with a clear top three and then a significant drop-off.

Every runner has a body of form, so the model can read this race in full.

Back every runner and the prices total 126%, about 26% over a fair 100% book. Each runner below shows the bookmaker's slice of its own price, worked out for this race: short prices carry the least, long ones the most.

1Myluckymakerreads the form

7 career runs · won last time

Price offered81/50 = 38% chance

Bookie's margin16% of this price

Fair price≈9/4 margin stripped

The AI's read Myluckymaker has seven runs in our records since October 2023, winning her last race. The market has made her the favourite here at 81/50. My model gives her a 28% chance, which is just under the market's 30%, suggesting the market is slightly more optimistic. (model 28% · fair 30%)

2Tralee Girlreads the form

14 career runs · 2nd last time · rated 114

Price offered47/25 = 35% chance

Bookie's margin17% of this price

Fair price≈5/2 margin stripped

The AI's read This mare has 14 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing second on her last outing. Her rating of 114 puts her in contention at the top of this field. My model's estimate of 28% aligns precisely with the market's 28%, indicating a shared assessment of her prospects. (model 28% · fair 28%)

3Biglesisbackreads the form

7 career runs · 2nd last time · rated 103

Price offered9/4 = 31% chance

Bookie's margin18% of this price

Fair price≈3/1 margin stripped

The AI's read With seven runs in our records since October 2023, Biglesisback finished second on her most recent start. Her rating of 103 places her a little below the very top-rated runners in this contest. My model's estimate of 27% is a touch above the market's 24%, indicating a slightly stronger view from my side. (model 27% · fair 25%)

4Kamille Au Kanadareads the form

4 career runs · 5th last time · won 1 of 2 at the trip

Price offered11/2 = 15% chance

Bookie's margin28% of this price

Fair price≈7/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Kamille Au Kanada has four runs in our records since October 2023, with her last placing being a fifth. She has won one of her two runs at this specific trip. My model's estimate of 13% is very close to the market's 12%, suggesting a similar perception of her chances. (model 13% · fair 12%)

5Moira My Lovereads the form

3 career runs · 4th last time

Price offered16/1 = 6% chance

Bookie's margin49% of this price

Fair price≈20/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Moira My Love has three runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fourth on her last appearance. Her form on paper appears to place her as an outsider in this field. My model gives her a 2% chance, which is significantly lower than the market's 5%, implying the market sees slightly more potential. (model 2% · fair 5%)

6Dartmouth Starreads the form

3 career runs · 6th last time

Price offered150/1 = 1% chance

Bookie's margin92% of this price

Fair price≈200/1 margin stripped

The AI's read This horse has three runs in our records since October 2023, with her last finish being a sixth. There is little in her recent form to suggest a strong challenge here. My model's estimate of 2% is double the market's 1%, though both indicate a very remote chance. (model 2% · fair 1%)

14:32Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap HurdleFav Littletown Lad 7/4 24% margin in this price51% across the whole raceread the race ▾

See this race on our Hexham racecard (runners, form, weights and our columns together)

This is an 11-runner handicap hurdle with a bookmaker margin of about 51%, suggesting a somewhat open market. The market favourite is Littletown Lad at 7/4, but my model suggests Bryson is the most likely winner at 2/1. Model estimates for the field range from 25% down to 5%.

Every runner has a body of form, so the model can read this race in full.

Back every runner and the prices total 151%, about 51% over a fair 100% book. Each runner below shows the bookmaker's slice of its own price, worked out for this race: short prices carry the least, long ones the most.

1Littletown Ladreads the form

12 career runs · 3rd last time · won 2 of 12 at the trip · rated 91

Price offered7/4 = 36% chance

Bookie's margin24% of this price

Fair price≈3/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Littletown Lad has 12 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing third last time. It has won two of 12 at this trip and is rated 91. My model gives it 13% against the market's 24%, indicating the market is considerably keener on its prospects. (model 13% · fair 24%)

2Brysonreads the form

10 career runs · won last time · won 1 of 4 at the trip · rated 96

Price offered2/1 = 33% chance

Bookie's margin25% of this price

Fair price≈7/2 margin stripped

The AI's read Bryson has 10 runs in our records since October 2023, winning last time out. It has won one of four attempts at this trip and holds a rating of 96. My model makes it the most likely runner at 25%, which is slightly above the market's 22%. (model 25% · fair 22%)

3Malangenreads the form

42 career runs · 2nd last time · won 1 of 11 at the course · won 1 of 12 at the trip

Price offered11/4 = 27% chance

Bookie's margin27% of this price

Fair price≈9/2 margin stripped

The AI's read Malangen has a substantial 42 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing second last time. It has won one of 11 at this course and one of 12 at this trip, rated 77. My model estimates 11% against the market's 18%, suggesting the crowd is pricing it more highly. (model 11% · fair 18%)

4Snapaudaciaherosreads the form

14 career runs · 7th last time · won 2 of 4 at the course · won 2 of 8 at the trip

Price offered9/2 = 18% chance

Bookie's margin32% of this price

Fair price≈7/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Snapaudaciaheros has 14 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing seventh last time. It has won two of four at this course and two of eight at this trip, rated 86. My model gives it 7% against the market's 12%, a shade under the market's assessment. (model 7% · fair 12%)

5Walk On Sonreads the form

9 career runs · 4th last time · rated 88

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin51% of this price

Fair price≈20/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Walk On Son has 9 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fourth last time. It is rated 88, which puts it in the middle of this field. My model gives it 11% against the market's 4%, suggesting my read is more optimistic than the current price. (model 11% · fair 4%)

6Tracker Issuereads the form

20 career runs · 5th last time · rated 95

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin51% of this price

Fair price≈20/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Tracker Issue has 20 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fifth last time. It is rated 95, making it one of the higher-rated runners in the field. My model's estimate of 6% sits close to the market's 4%. (model 6% · fair 4%)

7Huit Refletsreads the form

30 career runs · 7th last time · won 1 of 8 at the course · won 2 of 13 at the trip

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin51% of this price

Fair price≈20/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Huit Reflets has 30 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing seventh last time. It has won one of eight at this course and two of 13 at this trip, rated 85. My model gives it 6% against the market's 4%, a slightly more positive view. (model 6% · fair 4%)

8Billy Bathgatereads the form

44 career runs · 5th last time · won 4 of 17 at the trip · rated 84

Price offered20/1 = 5% chance

Bookie's margin60% of this price

Fair price≈33/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Billy Bathgate has 44 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fifth last time. It has won four of 17 at this trip, rated 84. My model gives it 5% against the market's 3%, a slightly more positive estimate. (model 5% · fair 3%)

9Jedhi Knightreads the form

18 career runs · 4th last time · rated 90

Price offered25/1 = 4% chance

Bookie's margin65% of this price

Fair price≈40/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Jedhi Knight has 18 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fourth last time. It holds a rating of 90. My model gives it 8% against the market's 3%, indicating a slight divergence in assessment. (model 8% · fair 3%)

10Bobby Socksreads the form

5 career runs · 7th last time · rated 95

Price offered25/1 = 4% chance

Bookie's margin65% of this price

Fair price≈40/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Bobby Socks has 5 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing seventh last time. It holds a rating of 95, putting it among the more established runners. My model gives it 5% against the market's 3%, a small difference. (model 5% · fair 3%)

11Bouboulereads the form

22 career runs · 5th last time · rated 77

Price offered25/1 = 4% chance

Bookie's margin65% of this price

Fair price≈40/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Bouboule has 22 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fifth last time. It holds a rating of 77, which is at the lower end of this field. My model gives it 5% against the market's 3%, a minor difference in assessment. (model 5% · fair 3%)

15:07Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap HFav Conquer The Breeze 5/2 11% margin in this price18% across the whole raceread the race ▾

See this race on our Hexham racecard (runners, form, weights and our columns together)

This Hexham handicap hurdle presents as a relatively open contest with the market favourite at 5/2, though the model identifies a different most likely winner. The bookmaker's margin of around 18% is a little wider than some, reflecting the uncertainty. The model's estimates range quite broadly from 26% down to 5%, suggesting a competitive field.

Every runner has a body of form, so the model can read this race in full.

1Conquer The Breezereads the form

17 career runs · 2nd last time · won 4 of 8 at the course · rated 108

Price offered5/2 = 29% chance

Bookie's margin11% of this price

Fair price≈3/1 margin stripped

The AI's read With seventeen runs in our records since October 2023, it finished second on its most recent outing. This horse has a strong course record, winning four of eight starts here, and is the highest rated at 108. The model's 17% sits below the market's 24%, indicating the crowd's confidence in its course form. (model 17% · fair 24%)

2The Jeweller's Petreads the form

15 career runs · 2nd last time · won 2 of 11 at the trip · rated 99

Price offered4/1 = 20% chance

Bookie's margin13% of this price

Fair price≈5/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Fifteen runs in our records since October 2023, finishing second last time. It has won two of eleven starts at this trip and is rated 99. The model's 5% is significantly lower than the market's 17%, indicating a notable difference in perception for this horse. (model 5% · fair 17%)

3Codger's Rockreads the form

9 career runs · 3rd last time · rated 104

Price offered6/1 = 14% chance

Bookie's margin15% of this price

Fair price≈7/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Nine runs in our records since October 2023, finishing third last time out. Rated 104, it is well in contention on official figures in this field. The model's estimate of 26% is significantly higher than the market's 12%, making it the model's strongest contender. (model 26% · fair 12%)

4Well Educatedreads the form

25 career runs · 2nd last time · won 1 of 12 at the course · won 1 of 9 at the trip

Price offered6/1 = 14% chance

Bookie's margin15% of this price

Fair price≈7/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Twenty-five runs in our records since October 2023, finishing second last time. It has won once from twelve starts at the course and once from nine at this trip, rated 96. The model's 9% is slightly under the market's 12%, implying the market gives it a touch more credence. (model 9% · fair 12%)

5Mickthesoldierreads the form

4 career runs · 4th last time · rated 84

Price offered8/1 = 11% chance

Bookie's margin17% of this price

Fair price≈10/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Four runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fourth last time out. Rated 84, it is one of the lower-rated horses in the field. The model's 7% is slightly under the market's 9%, suggesting the market is a shade more optimistic. (model 7% · fair 9%)

6Les's Legacyreads the form

26 career runs · 3rd last time · won 2 of 11 at the course · won 2 of 18 at the trip

Price offered10/1 = 9% chance

Bookie's margin19% of this price

Fair price≈12/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Twenty-six runs in our records since October 2023, finishing third last time. It has won two of eleven at the course and two of eighteen at this trip, rated 92. The model's 8% aligns perfectly with the market's 8%, indicating a shared assessment of its chances. (model 8% · fair 8%)

7Lester Mailreads the form

8 career runs · 4th last time · rated 95

Price offered10/1 = 9% chance

Bookie's margin19% of this price

Fair price≈12/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Eight runs in our records since October 2023, with a fourth place on its last start. Rated 95, it is in the middle tier of ratings for this contest. The model's 7% is slightly under the market's 8%, a small divergence in assessment. (model 7% · fair 8%)

8Kool Raoulreads the form

10 career runs · 5th last time · rated 101

Price offered16/1 = 6% chance

Bookie's margin25% of this price

Fair price≈20/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Ten runs in our records since October 2023, with a fifth place last time out. Rated 101, it is competitive on paper, though not among the highest in this field. The model's 13% is considerably higher than the market's 5%, suggesting the model sees more potential than the current price indicates. (model 13% · fair 5%)

9Forest Blazereads the form

16 career runs · well beaten last time · won 2 of 6 at the course · won 2 of 9 at the trip

Price offered16/1 = 6% chance

Bookie's margin25% of this price

Fair price≈20/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Sixteen runs in our records since October 2023, though well beaten on its last appearance. This horse has a good course record, winning two of six starts here, and two of nine at the trip, rated 100. The model's 8% is a little higher than the market's 5%, perhaps reflecting its course form. (model 8% · fair 5%)

15:42Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap HurdleFav Coded Welder 2/1 8% margin in this price11% across the whole raceread the race ▾

See this race on our Hexham racecard (runners, form, weights and our columns together)

This is a five-runner handicap hurdle with the market pricing Coded Welder as the most likely winner at 2/1. The bookmaker's margin of 11% suggests a reasonably competitive book. My model concurs with the market's assessment of the favourite, also making Coded Welder the most likely, with estimates ranging from 35% down to 9%.

Every runner has a body of form, so the model can read this race in full.

Back every runner and the prices total 111%, about 11% over a fair 100% book. Each runner below shows the bookmaker's slice of its own price, worked out for this race: short prices carry the least, long ones the most.

1Coded Welderreads the form

12 career runs · 4th last time · rated 111

Price offered2/1 = 33% chance

Bookie's margin8% of this price

Fair price≈9/4 margin stripped

The AI's read Coded Welder has 12 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fourth last time out. Rated 111, it is among the higher-rated runners in this field. My model's estimate of 35% is a little keener than the market's 30%, suggesting a slightly stronger chance than the price implies. (model 35% · fair 30%)

2Blakey Boyreads the form

13 career runs · won last time · won 1 of 4 at the course · won 1 of 3 at the trip

Price offered5/2 = 29% chance

Bookie's margin8% of this price

Fair price≈3/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Blakey Boy has 13 runs in our records since October 2023, winning last time out. This horse has a course win from four starts and a trip win from three attempts, rated 106. My model's estimate of 20% sits under the market's 26%, so the crowd is pricing it a little more strongly than my calculations. (model 20% · fair 26%)

3Do No Wrongreads the form

13 career runs · 7th last time · won 1 of 4 at the trip · rated 115

Price offered9/2 = 18% chance

Bookie's margin11% of this price

Fair price≈5/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Do No Wrong has 13 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing seventh on its most recent outing. This horse has won one of its four attempts at this trip and is rated 115, the highest in the field. My model gives it 24% against the market's 16%, indicating a stronger probability than the public price suggests. (model 24% · fair 16%)

4Robert d'Oresreads the form

16 career runs · 3rd last time · won 3 of 11 at the course · won 3 of 12 at the trip

Price offered9/2 = 18% chance

Bookie's margin11% of this price

Fair price≈5/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Robert d'Ores has 16 runs in our records since October 2023, securing a third-place finish last time. This horse has won three of 11 runs at the course and three of 12 at the trip, rated 83. My model gives it 9% against the market's 16%, so the market is pricing it more strongly than my analysis suggests. (model 9% · fair 16%)

5Dalileoreads the form

37 career runs · 5th last time · won 4 of 19 at the trip · rated 95

Price offered7/1 = 13% chance

Bookie's margin14% of this price

Fair price≈8/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Dalileo has accumulated 37 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fifth on its last start. This horse has a good record at the trip, winning four of 19 attempts, and is rated 95. My model's estimate of 12% is very close to the market's 11%, indicating a similar assessment of its chances. (model 12% · fair 11%)

16:17Follow AtTheRaces On X 'Chasing Excellence' BeFav Jeriko Du Reponet 91/100 5% margin in this price7% across the whole raceread the race ▾

See this race on our Hexham racecard (runners, form, weights and our columns together)

This three-runner chase at Hexham looks quite lopsided, with the market pricing the favourite at just under even money. The bookmaker's margin of around 7% is fairly standard. My model aligns with the market in making Jeriko Du Reponet the most likely winner.

Every runner has a body of form, so the model can read this race in full.

Back every runner and the prices total 107%, about 7% over a fair 100% book. Each runner below shows the bookmaker's slice of its own price, worked out for this race: short prices carry the least, long ones the most.

1Jeriko Du Reponetreads the form

11 career runs · well beaten last time · rated 140

Price offered91/100 = 52% chance

Bookie's margin5% of this price

Fair price≈Evens margin stripped

The AI's read Jeriko Du Reponet has 11 runs in our records since October 2023, though was well beaten on its last outing. It is rated 140, making it the highest rated in this small field. My model gives it 43% against the market's 49%, so it sees less probability than the market does, despite its rating. (model 43% · fair 49%)

2Royal Infantryreads the form

15 career runs · 5th last time · rated 138

Price offered81/50 = 38% chance

Bookie's margin6% of this price

Fair price≈7/4 margin stripped

The AI's read Royal Infantry has compiled 15 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fifth last time out. Its rating of 138 puts it very close to the top of this small field. My model gives it 35% against the market's 36%, suggesting a very similar assessment of its chances. (model 35% · fair 36%)

3Welonlyhavedonereads the form

3 career runs · 3rd last time

Price offered5/1 = 17% chance

Bookie's margin12% of this price

Fair price≈11/2 margin stripped

The AI's read Welonlyhavedone has had three runs in our records since October 2023, with its latest outing resulting in a third-place finish. This horse is the least experienced in the field under our records. My model gives it 22% against the market's 16%, indicating a slightly more optimistic outlook than the price suggests. (model 22% · fair 16%)

16:50Northumbria Leisure Handicap ChaseFav Stay Hopeful 5/4 10% margin in this price18% across the whole raceread the race ▾

See this race on our Hexham racecard (runners, form, weights and our columns together)

This Hexham handicap chase features nine runners, with the market settling on Stay Hopeful as a clear favourite at 5/4. The bookmaker's margin of about 18% suggests a typical level of pricing. My model aligns with the market in identifying Stay Hopeful as the most likely contender, with its estimates ranging from 33% down to 4% for the field.

Every runner has a body of form, so the model can read this race in full.

1Stay Hopefulreads the form

9 career runs · 2nd last time · won 1 of 1 at the course · won 1 of 1 at the trip

Price offered5/4 = 44% chance

Bookie's margin10% of this price

Fair price≈13/8 margin stripped

The AI's read Stay Hopeful has nine runs in our records since October 2023, finishing second last time out. It boasts a perfect record at this course and trip, winning its only start at each. Rated 81, it appears well-placed. My model's estimate of 33% is slightly below the market's 38%, indicating a shade more caution. (model 33% · fair 38%)

2Luminariesreads the form

20 career runs · won last time · won 2 of 8 at the trip · rated 80

Price offered3/1 = 25% chance

Bookie's margin12% of this price

Fair price≈7/2 margin stripped

The AI's read Luminaries has twenty runs in our records since October 2023, securing a win last time. It has won two of its eight starts at this trip and holds a rating of 80. The model's estimate of 15% is notably lower than the market's 21%, suggesting the market is rather more optimistic about its chances. (model 15% · fair 21%)

3Defence Witnessreads the form

20 career runs · 6th last time · rated 94

Price offered8/1 = 11% chance

Bookie's margin17% of this price

Fair price≈10/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Defence Witness has twenty runs in our records since October 2023, finishing sixth on its last appearance. Rated 94, it has a good level of form. The model's estimate of 7% sits under the market's 9%, suggesting the crowd sees a little more promise than my numbers. (model 7% · fair 9%)

4Killybegs Jet Ladyreads the form

15 career runs · 4th last time · won 1 of 8 at the trip · rated 94

Price offered10/1 = 9% chance

Bookie's margin20% of this price

Fair price≈12/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Killybegs Jet Lady has fifteen runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fourth last time. It has won one of its eight runs at this trip and is rated 94. My model's estimate of 11% is higher than the market's 8%, suggesting it might be slightly overlooked. (model 11% · fair 8%)

5Super Citizenreads the form

20 career runs · 4th last time · won 2 of 11 at the trip · rated 98

Price offered12/1 = 8% chance

Bookie's margin22% of this price

Fair price≈14/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Super Citizen has accumulated twenty runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fourth on its most recent outing. It has won two of its eleven attempts at this trip and is rated 98. My model gives it 11% against the market's 6%, which is a read rather keener than the price. (model 11% · fair 7%)

6C'mon Soreads the form

9 career runs · 4th last time · rated 75

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin24% of this price

Fair price≈16/1 margin stripped

The AI's read C'mon So has nine runs in our records since October 2023, with its last run a fourth-place finish. Rated 75, it has shown some consistency. My model's estimate of 9% is a little keener than the market's 6%, indicating a slightly more positive view. (model 9% · fair 6%)

7Lights Are Greenreads the form

12 career runs · 5th last time · rated 80

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin24% of this price

Fair price≈16/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Lights Are Green has twelve runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fifth last time out. It holds a rating of 80. My model's estimate of 6% aligns precisely with the market's 6%, indicating a shared assessment of its prospects. (model 6% · fair 6%)

8Burning It Upreads the form

10 career runs · 7th last time · rated 90

Price offered20/1 = 5% chance

Bookie's margin29% of this price

Fair price≈25/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Burning It Up has ten runs in our records since October 2023, finishing seventh on its most recent outing. Rated 90, it has a fair level of form. My model's estimate of 4% aligns with the market's 4%, indicating a consistent view of its prospects. (model 4% · fair 4%)

9Croagh Patrickreads the form

16 career runs · 6th last time · rated 71

Price offered33/1 = 3% chance

Bookie's margin40% of this price

Fair price≈40/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Croagh Patrick has sixteen runs in our records since October 2023, finishing sixth last time. Rated 71, it is among the lower-rated runners in this field. My model's estimate of 5% is significantly higher than the market's 2%, suggesting the market is rather cool on its chances. (model 5% · fair 2%)

Newcastle9 races · avg margin 22% · model leans off the favourite in 6 of 9 · view our Newcastle racecardopen every race ▾

16:22AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March EBF FilFav Sea La Roma 6/4 6% margin in this price7% across the whole raceread the race ▾

See this race on our Newcastle racecard (runners, form, weights and our columns together)

This is a compact field of three runners, with the market pricing the favourite, Sea La Roma, at 6/4. The bookmaker's margin of about 7% suggests a fairly typical pricing structure. My model also identifies Sea La Roma as the most likely winner, aligning with the market's assessment.

A lightly-raced field (1 debutant, 1 with a run or two), so the model can read little here; the market is leaning on breeding and stable expectation.

1Sea La Romalightly raced

1 career run · 2nd last time

Price offered6/4 = 40% chance

Bookie's margin6% of this price

Fair price≈13/8 margin stripped

The AI's read Sea La Roma has one run in our records since October 2023, finishing second last time out. That single run provides a limited basis for form assessment. My model's estimate of 48% is notably higher than the market's implied 38%, suggesting a more optimistic view of its prospects. (model 48% · fair 38%)

2Empress Jingureads the form

3 career runs · 2nd last time · rated 79

Price offered81/50 = 38% chance

Bookie's margin6% of this price

Fair price≈7/4 margin stripped

The AI's read Empress Jingu has three runs in our records since October 2023, with a second-place finish in its most recent outing. Its rating of 79 places it as a solid contender in this company. My model's estimate of 38% is very close to the market's implied 36%, indicating a shared perception of its chances. (model 38% · fair 36%)

3Al Afaweeqfirst run

First run, so no form for the model to read.

Price offered5/2 = 29% chance

Bookie's margin7% of this price

Fair price≈11/4 margin stripped

The AI's read There are no runs for Al Afaweeq in our records since October 2023, meaning there is no form to read. The market's price of 5/2 reflects an expectation based on factors beyond recorded performance. My model gives it 14% against the market's implied 27%, which is a significant difference in assessment. (model 14% · fair 27%)

16:57Midnite A Next Generation Betting App HandicapFav Wardlaw 11/4 12% margin in this price19% across the whole raceread the race ▾

See this race on our Newcastle racecard (runners, form, weights and our columns together)

This Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap at Newcastle appears quite open, with the bookmaker's margin of about 19% reflecting a fair amount of uncertainty in the market. The model does not side with the market favourite Wardlaw, instead making Oursin the most likely contender. Model estimates range from 20% down to a low of 2%.

Every runner has a body of form, so the model can read this race in full.

1Wardlawreads the form

11 career runs · 2nd last time · won 1 of 4 at the trip · rated 77

Price offered11/4 = 27% chance

Bookie's margin12% of this price

Fair price≈7/2 margin stripped

The AI's read Wardlaw has eleven runs in our records since October 2023, finishing second last time. It has won one of its four starts at this trip but is rated 77, which is lower than some rivals. The market makes it favourite at 22%, while the model's estimate is significantly lower at 11%, indicating a wide divergence. (model 11% · fair 22%)

2Oursinreads the form

4 career runs · 6th last time · won 1 of 1 at the course · rated 94

Price offered4/1 = 20% chance

Bookie's margin13% of this price

Fair price≈5/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Oursin has four runs in our records since October 2023, finishing sixth last time out. It has a perfect record at this course, winning its only start here, and is rated 94. The model's estimate of 20% is slightly above the market's 17%, suggesting a more positive assessment. (model 20% · fair 17%)

3Ernst Blofeldreads the form

13 career runs · 3rd last time · won 1 of 5 at the trip · rated 96

Price offered9/2 = 18% chance

Bookie's margin14% of this price

Fair price≈11/2 margin stripped

The AI's read Ernst Blofeld has thirteen runs in our records since October 2023, finishing third in its most recent outing. It has won one of its five starts at this trip and is rated 96. The model's 17% estimate is a shade above the market's 15%, suggesting a slightly more optimistic assessment. (model 17% · fair 15%)

4Circus Of Romereads the form

15 career runs · 2nd last time · won 1 of 2 at the course · won 2 of 2 at the trip

Price offered5/1 = 17% chance

Bookie's margin14% of this price

Fair price≈6/1 margin stripped

The AI's read With fifteen runs in our records since October 2023, Circus Of Rome was second last time. It has won one of its two starts at this course and both of its two runs at this trip, holding a rating of 95. The model's 18% estimate is above the market's 14%, indicating a keener view. (model 18% · fair 14%)

5Tiernanreads the form

13 career runs · 3rd last time · rated 85

Price offered6/1 = 14% chance

Bookie's margin15% of this price

Fair price≈7/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Tiernan has thirteen runs in our records since October 2023, with its latest run being a third-place finish. It holds a rating of 85. The model's estimate of 11% is very close to the market's 12%, suggesting a similar assessment of its prospects. (model 11% · fair 12%)

6Teumessias Foxreads the form

22 career runs · 9th last time · won 1 of 7 at the trip · rated 93

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin24% of this price

Fair price≈16/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Teumessias Fox has twenty-two runs in our records since October 2023, finishing ninth last time out. It has won one of its seven starts at this trip and is rated 93. The model's 8% estimate is slightly above the market's 6%, indicating a marginally more favourable read. (model 8% · fair 6%)

7Dark Moon Risingreads the form

31 career runs · 7th last time · won 2 of 11 at the trip · rated 85

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin24% of this price

Fair price≈16/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Dark Moon Rising has thirty-one runs in our records since October 2023, finishing seventh in its most recent run. It has won two of its eleven starts at this trip and is rated 85. The model's estimate of 6% aligns precisely with the market's 6%. (model 6% · fair 6%)

8Folk Pageantreads the form

10 career runs · 6th last time · rated 85

Price offered20/1 = 5% chance

Bookie's margin29% of this price

Fair price≈25/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Folk Pageant has ten runs in our records since October 2023, finishing sixth last time. It holds a rating of 85. The model's estimate of 7% is above the market's 4%, suggesting a slightly more optimistic view than the price implies. (model 7% · fair 4%)

9High Pointreads the form

20 career runs · 8th last time · rated 74

Price offered20/1 = 5% chance

Bookie's margin29% of this price

Fair price≈25/1 margin stripped

The AI's read High Point has twenty runs in our records since October 2023, finishing eighth last time out. It holds a rating of 74. The model's estimate of 2% is below the market's 4%, suggesting a less positive assessment of its chances. (model 2% · fair 4%)

17:30All-Weather Championships Is Back HandicapFav Get Up Everybody 7/2 16% margin in this price28% across the whole raceread the race ▾

See this race on our Newcastle racecard (runners, form, weights and our columns together)

This is a competitive handicap with 14 priced runners, and the bookmaker's margin of about 28% suggests a significant premium on the prices. Get Up Everybody is the market favourite at 7/2, and my model also identifies it as the most likely contender. Model estimates range from 15% down to 4%, indicating a fairly open race beyond the top few.

Every runner has a body of form, so the model can read this race in full.

1Get Up Everybodyreads the form

18 career runs · 2nd last time · won 1 of 6 at the course · rated 61

Price offered7/2 = 22% chance

Bookie's margin16% of this price

Fair price≈5/1 margin stripped

The AI's read This horse has 18 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing second last time out. It has a course win, taking one of six attempts here, and is rated 61. My model's estimate of 15% is slightly below the market's 17%, suggesting the market is a touch more optimistic. (model 15% · fair 17%)

2Roushamreads the form

9 career runs · 3rd last time · won 1 of 6 at the trip · rated 62

Price offered5/1 = 17% chance

Bookie's margin17% of this price

Fair price≈7/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Rousham has nine runs in our records since October 2023, with a third-place finish last time. It has won one of six attempts at this trip and holds a rating of 62. The model's estimate of 9% sits under the market's 13%, suggesting the crowd sees more potential. (model 9% · fair 13%)

3Newsreaderreads the form

21 career runs · 5th last time · won 3 of 13 at the trip · rated 65

Price offered7/1 = 13% chance

Bookie's margin19% of this price

Fair price≈9/1 margin stripped

The AI's read With 21 runs in our records since October 2023, Newsreader finished fifth most recently. It has a good record at the trip, winning three of 13 attempts, and is rated 65. My model's 10% estimate aligns precisely with the market's 10%, indicating a shared perception of its chances. (model 10% · fair 10%)

4Yaajoozreads the form

21 career runs · 8th last time · rated 65

Price offered10/1 = 9% chance

Bookie's margin22% of this price

Fair price≈14/1 margin stripped

The AI's read This horse has accumulated 21 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing eighth on its most recent outing. It is rated 65. My model's 9% estimate is slightly above the market's 7%, indicating a marginally more positive assessment from my analysis. (model 9% · fair 7%)

5Gressingtonreads the form

35 career runs · 4th last time · won 1 of 11 at the course · won 2 of 18 at the trip

Price offered10/1 = 9% chance

Bookie's margin22% of this price

Fair price≈14/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Gressington has 35 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fourth last time. It has a course win from 11 attempts and has won two of 18 at this trip, rated 58. My model's 7% estimate aligns with the market's 7%, showing a consistent view. (model 7% · fair 7%)

6Blufferonthebusreads the form

43 career runs · 9th last time · won 1 of 5 at the course · won 5 of 27 at the trip

Price offered10/1 = 9% chance

Bookie's margin22% of this price

Fair price≈14/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Blufferonthebus has a substantial 43 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing ninth last time. It has a course win from five attempts and has won five of 27 at this trip, rated 61. My model's 6% estimate is just under the market's 7%, a slight difference. (model 6% · fair 7%)

7Sole Spiritreads the form

9 career runs · 7th last time · won 1 of 1 at the course · rated 63

Price offered12/1 = 8% chance

Bookie's margin24% of this price

Fair price≈16/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Sole Spirit has nine runs in our records since October 2023, finishing seventh last time. It boasts a perfect record at this course, winning its sole attempt, and is rated 63. My model's 8% estimate is above the market's 6%, suggesting a slightly more favourable view. (model 8% · fair 6%)

8Milford Grangereads the form

11 career runs · well beaten last time · rated 64

Price offered12/1 = 8% chance

Bookie's margin24% of this price

Fair price≈16/1 margin stripped

The AI's read This horse has 11 runs in our records since October 2023, but was well beaten on its last appearance. It is rated 64. My model's 6% estimate is exactly in line with the market's 6%, suggesting a shared understanding of its current form. (model 6% · fair 6%)

9Jesmond Dawnreads the form

39 career runs · 6th last time · won 1 of 12 at the course · won 1 of 19 at the trip

Price offered12/1 = 8% chance

Bookie's margin24% of this price

Fair price≈16/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Jesmond Dawn has 39 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing sixth last time. It has a course win from 12 attempts and has won one of 19 at this trip, rated 65. My model's 5% estimate is slightly below the market's 6%. (model 5% · fair 6%)

10Bobby Joe Legreads the form

43 career runs · well beaten last time · won 5 of 34 at the course · won 7 of 41 at the trip

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin26% of this price

Fair price≈18/1 margin stripped

The AI's read This horse has 43 runs in our records since October 2023, but was well beaten last time. It has a strong record here with five wins from 34 attempts and seven wins from 41 at this trip, rated 65. My model's 4% estimate is slightly below the market's 5%. (model 4% · fair 5%)

11Maximum Velocityreads the form

14 career runs · well beaten last time · won 1 of 6 at the trip · rated 62

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin26% of this price

Fair price≈18/1 margin stripped

The AI's read With 14 runs in our records since October 2023, Maximum Velocity was well beaten last time. It has won one of six attempts at this trip and is rated 62. My model's 4% estimate is slightly below the market's 5%. (model 4% · fair 5%)

12Educating Ritareads the form

21 career runs · 6th last time · rated 64

Price offered20/1 = 5% chance

Bookie's margin32% of this price

Fair price≈25/1 margin stripped

The AI's read With 21 runs in our records since October 2023, Educating Rita finished sixth last time. It is rated 64. My model's estimate of 7% is above the market's 4%, indicating a more optimistic assessment of its prospects than the price suggests. (model 7% · fair 4%)

13Tactical Blitzreads the form

9 career runs · 8th last time · won 1 of 1 at the course · rated 65

Price offered20/1 = 5% chance

Bookie's margin32% of this price

Fair price≈25/1 margin stripped

The AI's read With nine runs in our records since October 2023, Tactical Blitz finished eighth last time. It has won its only attempt at this course and is rated 65. My model's 6% estimate is above the market's 4%, suggesting a more positive assessment. (model 6% · fair 4%)

14Dolo's Starreads the form

6 career runs · well beaten last time · rated 63

Price offered25/1 = 4% chance

Bookie's margin36% of this price

Fair price≈33/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Dolo's Star has six runs in our records since October 2023, but was well beaten on its last outing. It is rated 63. My model's 4% estimate is slightly above the market's 3%, indicating a marginal difference in perception. (model 4% · fair 3%)

18:00AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap (Div 1)Fav Dalamara 7/2 15% margin in this price25% across the whole raceread the race ▾

See this race on our Newcastle racecard (runners, form, weights and our columns together)

This handicap race features 12 priced runners, with the bookmaker's margin around 25% over a fair book. Dalamara is the market favourite at 7/2, but my model suggests Danehill Star is the most likely winner at 6/1. The model's estimates range from 15% down to 2%, indicating a relatively open contest.

Every runner has a body of form, so the model can read this race in full.

1Dalamarareads the form

12 career runs · won last time · won 2 of 4 at the course · won 2 of 5 at the trip

Price offered7/2 = 22% chance

Bookie's margin15% of this price

Fair price≈9/2 margin stripped

The AI's read Dalamara has 12 runs in our records since October 2023, winning last time. It boasts a good record at this course with two wins from four starts, and two wins from five at this trip. My model's estimate of 13% is lower than the market's 18%, suggesting the crowd is keener on its chances. (model 13% · fair 18%)

2Boubyanreads the form

26 career runs · won last time · won 2 of 4 at the course · won 2 of 14 at the trip

Price offered4/1 = 20% chance

Bookie's margin15% of this price

Fair price≈5/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Boubyan has 26 runs in our records since October 2023, winning last time out. It has won two of four starts at this course and two of 14 at this trip. My model gives it 10% against the market's 16%, suggesting the market is pricing it more strongly after its recent victory. (model 10% · fair 16%)

3Danehill Starreads the form

43 career runs · 3rd last time · won 1 of 1 at the course · won 3 of 21 at the trip

Price offered6/1 = 14% chance

Bookie's margin17% of this price

Fair price≈8/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Danehill Star has 43 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing third last time out. It has a perfect record at this course, winning its only start here, and has won three of 21 attempts at this trip. My model gives it 15% against the market's 11%, making it my most likely winner. (model 15% · fair 11%)

4Sandy Craicreads the form

15 career runs · 2nd last time · rated 69

Price offered7/1 = 13% chance

Bookie's margin18% of this price

Fair price≈9/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Sandy Craic has 15 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing second last time out. It has a rating of 69, placing it among the higher-rated runners in this field. My model gives it 11% against the market's 10%, indicating a close alignment between my read and the price. (model 11% · fair 10%)

5Tee Aitch Ayereads the form

20 career runs · 5th last time · won 1 of 3 at the trip · rated 67

Price offered8/1 = 11% chance

Bookie's margin20% of this price

Fair price≈10/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Tee Aitch Aye has 20 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fifth last time. It has won one of its three attempts at this trip and is rated 67. My model gives it 11% against the market's 9%, indicating a slightly more favourable view than the current price suggests. (model 11% · fair 9%)

6Alkumatic Jo Joreads the form

15 career runs · 5th last time · rated 61

Price offered8/1 = 11% chance

Bookie's margin20% of this price

Fair price≈10/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Alkumatic Jo Jo has 15 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fifth last time. It has a rating of 61. My model gives it 5% against the market's 9%, suggesting the market sees more potential than my calculations currently do. (model 5% · fair 9%)

7Titainiumreads the form

22 career runs · 9th last time · won 1 of 2 at the course · rated 60

Price offered12/1 = 8% chance

Bookie's margin24% of this price

Fair price≈16/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Titainium has 22 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing ninth last time. It has won one of its two starts at this course. My model gives it 2% against the market's 6%, suggesting the market is considerably more optimistic about its chances than my assessment. (model 2% · fair 6%)

8Kindest Nationreads the form

31 career runs · 3rd last time · won 1 of 2 at the course · rated 68

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin26% of this price

Fair price≈18/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Kindest Nation has 31 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing third last time. It has won one of its two starts at this course and holds a rating of 68. My model gives it 11% against the market's 5%, suggesting my estimate is considerably more optimistic than the current price. (model 11% · fair 5%)

9Napolianreads the form

13 career runs · 5th last time · won 1 of 7 at the trip · rated 68

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin26% of this price

Fair price≈18/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Napolian has 13 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fifth last time. It has won one of its seven attempts at this trip and is rated 68. My model gives it 9% against the market's 5%, suggesting my estimate is somewhat higher than the current price. (model 9% · fair 5%)

10Quiet Resolvereads the form

33 career runs · 9th last time · won 2 of 7 at the course · won 2 of 26 at the trip

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin26% of this price

Fair price≈18/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Quiet Resolve has 33 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing ninth last time. It has won two of seven starts at this course and two of 26 at this trip. My model's estimate of 5% aligns exactly with the market's 5%, indicating a shared assessment. (model 5% · fair 5%)

11Al Muddyreads the form

4 career runs · 7th last time · rated 62

Price offered33/1 = 3% chance

Bookie's margin41% of this price

Fair price≈40/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Al Muddy has just four runs in our records since October 2023, finishing seventh last time. Its rating is 62. My model gives it 3% against the market's 2%, suggesting a very slight difference in assessment for this less exposed runner. (model 3% · fair 2%)

12Taseverreads the form

49 career runs · well beaten last time · won 6 of 37 at the course · won 4 of 30 at the trip

Price offered33/1 = 3% chance

Bookie's margin41% of this price

Fair price≈40/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Tasever has 49 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing well beaten last time. It has a strong course record with six wins from 37 starts and four wins from 30 at this trip. My model gives it 3% against the market's 2%, a marginal difference for a horse with extensive form. (model 3% · fair 2%)

18:30AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap (Div 2)Fav Second Fiddle 4/1 15% margin in this price25% across the whole raceread the race ▾

See this race on our Newcastle racecard (runners, form, weights and our columns together)

This handicap at Newcastle appears quite open, with the bookmaker's margin of around 25% indicating a fairly competitive market. The model's most likely winner, Chesneys Charm, is priced at 14/1, standing in contrast to the market's favourite, Second Fiddle, at 4/1. This suggests a notable difference between the public's perception and the model's assessment of the probabilities.

Every runner has a body of form, so the model can read this race in full.

1Second Fiddlereads the form

28 career runs · 4th last time · won 5 of 11 at the course · won 6 of 20 at the trip

Price offered4/1 = 20% chance

Bookie's margin15% of this price

Fair price≈5/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Second Fiddle, the market favourite, has 28 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fourth last time. It has an impressive five wins from 11 starts at this course and six wins from 20 at this trip, rated 64. The model's 7% estimate is considerably below the market's 16%, indicating a significant divergence in opinion. (model 7% · fair 16%)

2Shes Got The Bluesreads the form

21 career runs · won last time · won 1 of 13 at the trip · rated 64

Price offered9/2 = 18% chance

Bookie's margin16% of this price

Fair price≈6/1 margin stripped

The AI's read With 21 runs in our records since October 2023, Shes Got The Blues won its last race, a positive indicator. It has a win from 13 attempts at this trip and is rated 64. The model's estimate of 11% is a little under the market's 15%, suggesting the market is slightly more optimistic about its chances. (model 11% · fair 15%)

3Bajan Banditreads the form

45 career runs · 3rd last time · won 2 of 12 at the course · won 2 of 31 at the trip

Price offered5/1 = 17% chance

Bookie's margin16% of this price

Fair price≈6/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Bajan Bandit has a substantial 45 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing third in its most recent run. It has two wins from 12 starts at this course and two wins from 31 at this trip, rated 61. The model's 8% estimate is notably lower than the market's 13%, suggesting less confidence. (model 8% · fair 13%)

4Sea Legendreads the form

30 career runs · 8th last time · won 3 of 18 at the course · won 2 of 8 at the trip

Price offered8/1 = 11% chance

Bookie's margin19% of this price

Fair price≈10/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Sea Legend has extensive experience with 30 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing eighth last time. It boasts three wins from 18 starts at this course and two wins from eight at this trip, rated 69. The model's 10% estimate is close to the market's 9%, indicating a similar assessment of its prospects. (model 10% · fair 9%)

5Hostilityreads the form

24 career runs · 6th last time · won 2 of 7 at the trip · rated 68

Price offered8/1 = 11% chance

Bookie's margin19% of this price

Fair price≈10/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Hostility has 24 runs in our records since October 2023, with its last run resulting in a sixth-place finish. It has secured two wins from seven attempts at this trip and is rated 68. The model's 8% estimate aligns closely with the market's 9%, indicating a largely similar view of its chances. (model 8% · fair 9%)

6Starlinerreads the form

51 career runs · 8th last time · won 2 of 19 at the course · won 2 of 32 at the trip

Price offered10/1 = 9% chance

Bookie's margin21% of this price

Fair price≈12/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Starliner has a significant 51 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing eighth on its last appearance. It has two wins from 19 starts at this course and two wins from 32 at this trip, rated 65. The model's 9% estimate is slightly above the market's 7%, suggesting a touch more confidence. (model 9% · fair 7%)

7Princess Honey Beereads the form

8 career runs · 6th last time · won 1 of 4 at the trip · rated 70

Price offered12/1 = 8% chance

Bookie's margin23% of this price

Fair price≈16/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Princess Honey Bee has made 8 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing sixth on its most recent outing. It has won one of its four runs at this trip and holds a rating of 70. The model's estimate of 13% is considerably higher than the market's 6%, indicating a more favourable assessment. (model 13% · fair 6%)

8Henry Halflightreads the form

6 career runs · 6th last time · won 1 of 4 at the course · rated 67

Price offered12/1 = 8% chance

Bookie's margin23% of this price

Fair price≈16/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Henry Halflight has 6 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing sixth on its last outing. It has one win from four starts at this course and is rated 67. The model's 7% estimate is very close to the market's 6%, suggesting a similar perception of its likelihood. (model 7% · fair 6%)

9Poppeyereads the form

5 career runs · 5th last time · rated 63

Price offered12/1 = 8% chance

Bookie's margin23% of this price

Fair price≈16/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Poppeye has 5 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fifth last time out. It is rated 63, but has limited course or distance form in our records. The model's 6% estimate is exactly in line with the market's 6%, indicating a shared assessment. (model 6% · fair 6%)

10Chesneys Charmreads the form

28 career runs · 5th last time · won 1 of 2 at the course · won 1 of 11 at the trip

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin25% of this price

Fair price≈18/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Chesneys Charm has 28 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fifth last time out. It has a win from two starts at this course and one win from eleven attempts at the trip, with a rating of 63. The model gives it 16% against the market's 5%, suggesting a much stronger prospect than the price implies. (model 16% · fair 5%)

11Arkenstaarreads the form

27 career runs · well beaten last time · won 6 of 25 at the trip · rated 66

Price offered20/1 = 5% chance

Bookie's margin31% of this price

Fair price≈25/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Arkenstaar has 27 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing well beaten last time. It has six wins from 25 attempts at this trip and is rated 66. The model's 2% estimate is half the market's 4%, suggesting a less optimistic view of its current form. (model 2% · fair 4%)

12Sogniamoreads the form

8 career runs · 6th last time · rated 60

Price offered25/1 = 4% chance

Bookie's margin35% of this price

Fair price≈33/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Sogniamo has 8 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing sixth on its last appearance. It is rated 60, but without specific course or trip form in our records. The model's 4% estimate is slightly above the market's 3%, a minor difference in assessment. (model 4% · fair 3%)

19:00AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 NurseryFav Notimetotakeoff 3/1 13% margin in this price21% across the whole raceread the race ▾

See this race on our Newcastle racecard (runners, form, weights and our columns together)

This ten-runner nursery looks relatively open, with the market favourite not dominating the estimates. The bookmaker's margin of about 21% suggests a competitive pricing landscape. My model agrees with the market that Notimetotakeoff is the most likely winner, though its estimate is higher than the crowd's.

Every runner has a body of form, so the model can read this race in full.

1Notimetotakeoffreads the form

4 career runs · 3rd last time · rated 64

Price offered3/1 = 25% chance

Bookie's margin13% of this price

Fair price≈4/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Notimetotakeoff has four runs in our records since October 2023, finishing third last time out. Its rating of 64 makes it the highest rated in this field. My model's estimate of 28% is notably higher than the market's 21%, suggesting it sees more potential than the crowd. This horse appears to be in good current form. (model 28% · fair 21%)

2Northern Violareads the form

6 career runs · 2nd last time · won 1 of 2 at the trip · rated 56

Price offered4/1 = 20% chance

Bookie's margin14% of this price

Fair price≈5/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Northern Viola has six runs in our records since October 2023, with a second-place finish last time. It has won one of its two runs at this trip, indicating suitability for the distance. My model's estimate of 17% aligns precisely with the market's 17%, indicating a shared assessment of its chances. (model 17% · fair 17%)

3Unbeatable Famereads the form

6 career runs · 4th last time · rated 58

Price offered11/2 = 15% chance

Bookie's margin15% of this price

Fair price≈7/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Unbeatable Fame has six runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fourth on its most recent outing. Its rating of 58 places it in the upper half of this field. My model's estimate of 12% is very close to the market's 13%, suggesting general agreement on its prospects. (model 12% · fair 13%)

4Black Furyreads the form

3 career runs · 2nd last time · rated 54

Price offered6/1 = 14% chance

Bookie's margin16% of this price

Fair price≈7/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Black Fury has three runs in our records since October 2023, securing a second-place finish last time. Its rating of 54 suggests it is still developing. My model's estimate of 11% is very close to the market's 12%, showing a similar interpretation of its recent performances. (model 11% · fair 12%)

5The Kalonji Manreads the form

7 career runs · 5th last time · rated 45

Price offered7/1 = 13% chance

Bookie's margin17% of this price

Fair price≈9/1 margin stripped

The AI's read The Kalonji Man has seven runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fifth on its most recent outing. Its rating of 45 is one of the lowest in this race. My model's estimate of 2% is significantly lower than the market's 10%, highlighting a substantial difference in assessment. (model 2% · fair 10%)

6Le Grand Etoilereads the form

6 career runs · 5th last time · rated 45

Price offered8/1 = 11% chance

Bookie's margin18% of this price

Fair price≈10/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Le Grand Etoile has six runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fifth last time. Its rating of 45 is among the lowest in this field, suggesting a challenging task. My model's estimate of 3% is considerably lower than the market's 9%, indicating a notable divergence in opinion. (model 3% · fair 9%)

7London Rosereads the form

3 career runs · 5th last time · rated 56

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin24% of this price

Fair price≈18/1 margin stripped

The AI's read London Rose has three runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fifth on its last appearance. Its rating of 56 puts it in the middle of this competitive field. My model's estimate of 8% is slightly higher than the market's 6%, suggesting a minor difference in assessment. (model 8% · fair 6%)

8Textingreads the form

3 career runs · 7th last time · rated 62

Price offered16/1 = 6% chance

Bookie's margin26% of this price

Fair price≈20/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Texting has three runs in our records since October 2023, finishing seventh last time out. Its rating of 62 suggests it has some ability, despite the recent result. My model's estimate of 11% is significantly higher than the market's 5%, indicating my read is considerably more optimistic. (model 11% · fair 5%)

9Pocket Changereads the form

3 career runs · 9th last time · rated 50

Price offered16/1 = 6% chance

Bookie's margin26% of this price

Fair price≈20/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Pocket Change has three runs in our records since October 2023, finishing ninth on its most recent run. Its rating of 50 suggests it needs to find improvement to contend here. My model's estimate of 4% is slightly below the market's 5%, indicating a marginally more cautious view. (model 4% · fair 5%)

10Bonjour Bellereads the form

8 career runs · 7th last time · rated 49

Price offered25/1 = 4% chance

Bookie's margin34% of this price

Fair price≈33/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Bonjour Belle has eight runs in our records since October 2023, finishing seventh last time out. Its rating of 49 places it among the lower-rated runners here. My model's estimate of 6% is higher than the market's 3%, suggesting it sees slightly more promise than the price implies. (model 6% · fair 3%)

19:30Make The Move To Midnite HandicapFav Brazen Idol 9/2 16% margin in this price26% across the whole raceread the race ▾

See this race on our Newcastle racecard (runners, form, weights and our columns together)

This Newcastle handicap features thirteen priced runners, suggesting a competitive affair. The bookmaker's margin of 26% is somewhat high for a field of this size. The model does not align with the market favourite, Brazen Idol, instead making Ashen the most likely winner.

Every runner has a body of form, so the model can read this race in full.

1Brazen Idolreads the form

16 career runs · 2nd last time · rated 63

Price offered9/2 = 18% chance

Bookie's margin16% of this price

Fair price≈6/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Brazen Idol has sixteen runs in our records since October 2023, finishing second on its last appearance. Its rating of 63 is towards the lower end of this group. The model's estimate of 9% is considerably lower than the market's 14%, placing it well below the favourite's price. (model 9% · fair 14%)

2Opal Stormreads the form

40 career runs · won last time · won 6 of 33 at the trip · rated 65

Price offered5/1 = 17% chance

Bookie's margin17% of this price

Fair price≈7/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Opal Storm has forty runs in our records since October 2023, winning last time out. It has won six of thirty-three attempts at this trip, and is rated 65. The model's estimate of 7% is considerably lower than the market's 13%, suggesting the market is more impressed by the recent win. (model 7% · fair 13%)

3Ashenreads the form

21 career runs · 3rd last time · rated 67

Price offered6/1 = 14% chance

Bookie's margin18% of this price

Fair price≈8/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Ashen has twenty-one runs in our records since October 2023, finishing third last time out. Its rating of 67 puts it in the middle of this field. The model's estimate of 14% is notably higher than the market's 11%, suggesting a more positive assessment. (model 14% · fair 11%)

4Lucius Aureliusreads the form

24 career runs · 3rd last time · won 1 of 17 at the trip · rated 57

Price offered7/1 = 13% chance

Bookie's margin19% of this price

Fair price≈9/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Lucius Aurelius has twenty-four runs in our records since October 2023, finishing third last time. It has won one of seventeen attempts at this trip, and is rated 57. The model's estimate of 8% is slightly under the market's 10%, a modest divergence. (model 8% · fair 10%)

5Heraklesreads the form

34 career runs · 4th last time · won 2 of 15 at the course · won 4 of 34 at the trip

Price offered8/1 = 11% chance

Bookie's margin20% of this price

Fair price≈10/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Herakles has thirty-four runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fourth last time. It has won two of fifteen at this course and four of thirty-four at this trip, and is rated 68. The model's estimate of 6% is lower than the market's 9%, indicating a more cautious view. (model 6% · fair 9%)

6All Goodreads the form

4 career runs · 2nd last time · rated 69

Price offered10/1 = 9% chance

Bookie's margin22% of this price

Fair price≈12/1 margin stripped

The AI's read All Good has had four runs in our records since October 2023, coming second last time out. With a rating of 69, it is one of the better-rated horses in this race. The model's estimate of 11% is higher than the market's 7%, suggesting it may be slightly overlooked. (model 11% · fair 7%)

7Simba's Pridereads the form

14 career runs · 3rd last time · rated 62

Price offered10/1 = 9% chance

Bookie's margin22% of this price

Fair price≈12/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Simba's Pride has fourteen runs in our records since October 2023, finishing third on its last outing. Its rating of 62 places it in the lower half of this field. The model's estimate of 5% is lower than the market's 7%, a modest difference in assessment. (model 5% · fair 7%)

8Ventura Expressreads the form

28 career runs · 5th last time · won 2 of 27 at the trip · rated 68

Price offered12/1 = 8% chance

Bookie's margin24% of this price

Fair price≈16/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Ventura Express has twenty-eight runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fifth last time out. It has won two of twenty-seven attempts at this trip, and is rated 68. The model's estimate of 8% is higher than the market's 6%, a small difference in outlook. (model 8% · fair 6%)

9Staniel Cayreads the form

9 career runs · 6th last time · won 1 of 6 at the trip · rated 62

Price offered12/1 = 8% chance

Bookie's margin24% of this price

Fair price≈16/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Staniel Cay has nine runs in our records since October 2023, finishing sixth last time. It has won one of six attempts at this trip, and is rated 62. The model's estimate of 4% is lower than the market's 6%, a small difference in assessment. (model 4% · fair 6%)

10Valor Spiritreads the form

12 career runs · 4th last time · rated 69

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin26% of this price

Fair price≈18/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Valor Spirit has twelve runs in our records since October 2023, with a fourth-place finish on its most recent outing. Its rating of 69 is among the higher marks here. The model gives it 12% against the market's 5%, indicating a significant difference in perception. (model 12% · fair 5%)

11Beaumadierreads the form

39 career runs · 8th last time · won 1 of 2 at the course · won 4 of 33 at the trip

Price offered20/1 = 5% chance

Bookie's margin31% of this price

Fair price≈25/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Beaumadier has thirty-nine runs in our records since October 2023, finishing eighth last time. It has won one of two at this course and four of thirty-three at this trip, and is rated 66. The model's estimate of 7% is higher than the market's 4%, suggesting it may be underestimated. (model 7% · fair 4%)

12Golden Havanareads the form

16 career runs · 6th last time · won 1 of 9 at the course · won 1 of 12 at the trip

Price offered20/1 = 5% chance

Bookie's margin31% of this price

Fair price≈25/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Golden Havana has sixteen runs in our records since October 2023, finishing sixth last time. It has won one of nine at this course and one of twelve at this trip, and is rated 61. The model's estimate of 4% aligns precisely with the market's 4%. (model 4% · fair 4%)

13Justmyluckreads the form

12 career runs · 7th last time · won 1 of 3 at the course · won 1 of 7 at the trip

Price offered25/1 = 4% chance

Bookie's margin35% of this price

Fair price≈33/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Justmyluck has twelve runs in our records since October 2023, finishing seventh last time. It has won one of three at this course and one of seven at this trip, and is rated 63. The model's estimate of 4% is slightly higher than the market's 3%, a minor distinction. (model 4% · fair 3%)

20:00Midnite Ain't Your Grandad's Bookie HandicapFav Spirited Dancer 4/1 15% margin in this price25% across the whole raceread the race ▾

See this race on our Newcastle racecard (runners, form, weights and our columns together)

This Newcastle handicap presents as a wide-open contest with 12 priced runners. The bookmaker's margin of about 25% over a fair book suggests a challenging puzzle for the market. While Spirited Dancer is the market favourite at 4/1, my model actually makes Pockley the most likely runner, indicating a difference in perspective on the race's leading contender.

Every runner has a body of form, so the model can read this race in full.

1Spirited Dancerreads the form

21 career runs · 5th last time · won 1 of 9 at the trip · rated 46

Price offered4/1 = 20% chance

Bookie's margin15% of this price

Fair price≈5/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Spirited Dancer has 21 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fifth last time. It has one win from nine attempts at this trip and is rated 46. My model's estimate of 8% is significantly lower than the market's 16%, making it the market favourite despite the model's reservations. (model 8% · fair 16%)

2Doon The Glenreads the form

37 career runs · 4th last time · won 1 of 13 at the course · rated 48

Price offered9/2 = 18% chance

Bookie's margin16% of this price

Fair price≈6/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Doon The Glen has 37 runs in our records since October 2023, with a fourth place finish last time. It has a course win from 13 attempts and is rated 48. My model's estimate of 10% is notably lower than the market's 15%, suggesting the market sees more potential. (model 10% · fair 15%)

3Ellie's De Vegareads the form

16 career runs · 5th last time · won 1 of 6 at the course · won 1 of 5 at the trip

Price offered5/1 = 17% chance

Bookie's margin16% of this price

Fair price≈6/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Ellie's De Vega has 16 runs in our records since October 2023, with a fifth place finish last time. It has a course win from six attempts and a trip win from five, rated 52. My model's estimate of 13% aligns exactly with the market's 13%, suggesting a consensus on its prospects. (model 13% · fair 13%)

4Wee Maryreads the form

33 career runs · well beaten last time · won 1 of 7 at the course · won 2 of 30 at the trip

Price offered6/1 = 14% chance

Bookie's margin17% of this price

Fair price≈8/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Wee Mary has 33 runs in our records since October 2023, though was well beaten last time out. It has a course win from seven attempts and two wins from 30 at this trip, rated 50. My model's estimate of 10% is close to the market's 11%, showing little divergence. (model 10% · fair 11%)

5Pockleyreads the form

45 career runs · 4th last time · won 5 of 25 at the course · won 4 of 33 at the trip

Price offered7/1 = 13% chance

Bookie's margin19% of this price

Fair price≈9/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Pockley has 45 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fourth last time out. It has a strong record at this course with five wins from 25 attempts, and four wins from 33 at this trip, rated 55. My model's estimate of 19% is considerably higher than the market's 10%, making it the model's most likely runner. (model 19% · fair 10%)

6Liquid Cooledreads the form

9 career runs · 3rd last time · won 1 of 5 at the course · rated 49

Price offered7/1 = 13% chance

Bookie's margin19% of this price

Fair price≈9/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Liquid Cooled has nine runs in our records since October 2023, finishing third last time. It has a course win from five attempts and is rated 49. My model's estimate of 12% is slightly above the market's 10%, indicating a shade more confidence from the model. (model 12% · fair 10%)

7Auntie Joreads the form

28 career runs · 7th last time · won 2 of 12 at the course · won 2 of 16 at the trip

Price offered12/1 = 8% chance

Bookie's margin24% of this price

Fair price≈16/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Auntie Jo has 28 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing seventh last time. It has two wins from 12 attempts at this course and two wins from 16 at this trip, rated 54. My model's estimate of 5% is slightly below the market's 6%, indicating a small difference in assessment. (model 5% · fair 6%)

8Aleppo Pepperreads the form

5 career runs · 9th last time · rated 55

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin26% of this price

Fair price≈18/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Aleppo Pepper has five runs in our records since October 2023, finishing ninth last time out. It is rated 55, putting it among the higher-rated horses in this field. My model's estimate of 7% is slightly above the market's 5%, suggesting a touch more optimism from the model. (model 7% · fair 5%)

9Siviezreads the form

9 career runs · 7th last time · rated 47

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin26% of this price

Fair price≈18/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Siviez has nine runs in our records since October 2023, finishing seventh last time. It is rated 47, putting it in the middle of the handicap ratings. My model's estimate of 4% is slightly below the market's 5%, indicating a minor difference in perception. (model 4% · fair 5%)

10Dinamoreads the form

11 career runs · 6th last time · won 1 of 10 at the trip · rated 48

Price offered25/1 = 4% chance

Bookie's margin36% of this price

Fair price≈33/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Dinamo has 11 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing sixth last time. It has one win from 10 attempts at this trip and is rated 48. My model's estimate of 5% is higher than the market's 3%, suggesting the model sees more of a chance. (model 5% · fair 3%)

11Moretonsreads the form

18 career runs · 6th last time · rated 45

Price offered33/1 = 3% chance

Bookie's margin42% of this price

Fair price≈40/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Moretons has 18 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing sixth last time. It is rated 45, making it one of the lower-rated horses in the field. My model's estimate of 4% is higher than the market's 2%, suggesting the model finds more in its form than the price implies. (model 4% · fair 2%)

12Harry Whodeaniereads the form

4 career runs · well beaten last time · rated 45

Price offered33/1 = 3% chance

Bookie's margin42% of this price

Fair price≈40/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Harry Whodeanie has four runs in our records since October 2023, finishing well beaten last time out. It is rated 45, on the lower end of the handicap scale. My model's estimate of 2% aligns exactly with the market's 2%, indicating a shared low expectation. (model 2% · fair 2%)

20:30Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Apprentice HFav Woolridge 5/1 17% margin in this price26% across the whole raceread the race ▾

See this race on our Newcastle racecard (runners, form, weights and our columns together)

This apprentice handicap at Newcastle is a wide-open contest with 13 priced runners. The bookmaker's margin of about 26% suggests a generous pricing structure across the field. My model does not align with the market favourite, Woolridge, instead identifying Speeding Bullet as the most likely contender.

Every runner has a body of form, so the model can read this race in full.

1Woolridgereads the form

16 career runs · won last time · won 1 of 2 at the course · won 1 of 11 at the trip

Price offered5/1 = 17% chance

Bookie's margin17% of this price

Fair price≈7/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Woolridge has 16 runs in our records since October 2023, winning its last race. It has a course win from two attempts and one win from 11 at this trip, rated 55. My model's 12% is very close to the market's 13%, suggesting broad agreement on its prospects. (model 12% · fair 13%)

2Mayo Countyreads the form

28 career runs · 3rd last time · won 1 of 10 at the course · won 1 of 11 at the trip

Price offered11/2 = 15% chance

Bookie's margin17% of this price

Fair price≈7/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Mayo County has been busy with 28 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing third last time. It has a course win from 10 attempts and one win from 11 at this trip, rated 60. My model's 9% is under the market's 12%, suggesting the market is a little keener. (model 9% · fair 12%)

3Macedonianreads the form

22 career runs · 2nd last time · won 1 of 17 at the trip · rated 55

Price offered6/1 = 14% chance

Bookie's margin18% of this price

Fair price≈8/1 margin stripped

The AI's read With 22 runs in our records since October 2023, Macedonian finished second on its most recent run. It has one win from 17 attempts at this trip and is rated 55. My model's 7% is notably lower than the market's 11%, indicating a cooler assessment. (model 7% · fair 11%)

4Speeding Bulletreads the form

22 career runs · 2nd last time · won 1 of 3 at the trip · rated 62

Price offered7/1 = 13% chance

Bookie's margin19% of this price

Fair price≈9/1 margin stripped

The AI's read With 22 runs in our records since October 2023, Speeding Bullet finished second last time out. It has a win from three attempts at this trip and is rated 62. My model gives it 12% against the market's 10%, indicating a slightly more optimistic assessment of its chances. (model 12% · fair 10%)

5Victory Soundreads the form

20 career runs · 3rd last time · won 1 of 2 at the course · rated 51

Price offered7/1 = 13% chance

Bookie's margin19% of this price

Fair price≈9/1 margin stripped

The AI's read This horse has 20 runs in our records since October 2023, securing third place last time. It has a strong record at the course, winning one of two starts there, and is rated 51. The model's estimate of 12% is a little higher than the market's 10%. (model 12% · fair 10%)

6Ryereads the form

20 career runs · 4th last time · won 1 of 18 at the trip · rated 61

Price offered8/1 = 11% chance

Bookie's margin20% of this price

Fair price≈10/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Rye has 20 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fourth on its most recent outing. It has won one of 18 attempts at this trip and holds a rating of 61. My model's estimate of 12% is above the market's 9% for this runner. (model 12% · fair 9%)

7Lord Abamareads the form

36 career runs · 4th last time · won 2 of 10 at the course · won 5 of 34 at the trip

Price offered8/1 = 11% chance

Bookie's margin20% of this price

Fair price≈10/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Lord Abama has had 36 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing fourth last time out. It has two course wins from 10 attempts and five wins from 34 at this trip, rated 50. My model's 5% is below the market's 9%, indicating the market is more optimistic. (model 5% · fair 9%)

8Sedgemoorreads the form

24 career runs · 6th last time · won 2 of 4 at the course · won 2 of 5 at the trip

Price offered14/1 = 7% chance

Bookie's margin26% of this price

Fair price≈18/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Sedgemoor has 24 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing sixth on its most recent outing. It has two course wins from four attempts and two wins from five at this trip, rated 51. My model's 4% is slightly below the market's 5%. (model 4% · fair 5%)

9Hecticreads the form

27 career runs · 7th last time · won 2 of 16 at the trip · rated 65

Price offered16/1 = 6% chance

Bookie's margin28% of this price

Fair price≈20/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Hectic has 27 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing seventh last time out. It has won two of 16 attempts at this trip and is rated 65. My model's 6% estimate aligns closely with the market's 5% for this runner. (model 6% · fair 5%)

10Wish Thisreads the form

19 career runs · 6th last time · won 1 of 4 at the course · won 1 of 9 at the trip

Price offered16/1 = 6% chance

Bookie's margin28% of this price

Fair price≈20/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Wish This has 19 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing sixth last time. It has a course win from four attempts and one win from nine at this trip, rated 62. My model's 6% is in line with the market's 5% on this occasion. (model 6% · fair 5%)

11Approaching Dawnreads the form

15 career runs · 7th last time · rated 47

Price offered16/1 = 6% chance

Bookie's margin28% of this price

Fair price≈20/1 margin stripped

The AI's read Approaching Dawn has 15 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing seventh last time. It has not won a race at this trip or course in our records and is rated 47. My model's 4% is consistent with the market's 5%, suggesting similar expectations for this runner. (model 4% · fair 5%)

12Jet Warriorreads the form

13 career runs · 5th last time · won 2 of 7 at the trip · rated 58

Price offered20/1 = 5% chance

Bookie's margin31% of this price

Fair price≈25/1 margin stripped

The AI's read With 13 runs in our records since October 2023, Jet Warrior finished fifth last time. It has won two of seven attempts at this trip and is rated 58. My model's 4% aligns precisely with the market's 4% for this runner. (model 4% · fair 4%)

13Pit Bossreads the form

30 career runs · 8th last time · won 2 of 18 at the course · won 2 of 18 at the trip

Price offered25/1 = 4% chance

Bookie's margin35% of this price

Fair price≈33/1 margin stripped

The AI's read This runner has 30 runs in our records since October 2023, finishing eighth last time. It has won two of 18 at the course and two of 18 at this trip, rated 58. My model's 6% is above the market's 3%, suggesting a slightly more positive view. (model 6% · fair 3%)

30 races across 4 meetings. The model is a calibrated read on a race, not a tipping service. Backed blind its picks lose to the starting price, so use these numbers to understand the shape of a race, never as a signal to stake. 18+, please bet responsibly.

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