1000 Guineas 2026 Tips: Final Field, Trends Scorecard & Sunday's Verdict

Final 19-runner field

#	Filly	Trainer	Jockey	Best price (28 Apr)	Key form line
1	Precise	Aidan O'Brien	Ryan Moore	9/4F	G1 Fillies' Mile + G1 Moyglare Stud Stakes winner 2025; top-rated 2yo filly on Timeform; unraced 2026
2	Venetian Sun	Charlie Appleby	William Buick	9/2	G1 Prix Morny winner Aug 2025; G2 Lowther 2nd; Appleby/Buick top-yard combo
3	My Highness	Andrew Balding	Oisin Murphy	6/1	G3 Nell Gwyn Stakes winner Newmarket Apr 2026; bred to stay further
4	Venetian Lace	J & T Gosden	Kieran Shoemark	8/1	G3 Prestige Stakes winner Goodwood 2025; 2nd Fred Darling Apr 2026
5	The Prettiest Star	Karl Burke	Clifford Lee	12/1	G2 Lowther Stakes winner York Aug 2025; on first-time-blinkers per declaration sheet
6	True Love	Aidan O'Brien	Wayne Lordan	14/1	G3 Cherry Hinton 2nd Newmarket 2025; Ballydoyle 2nd-string
7	Rose Ghaiyyath	William Haggas	Tom Marquand	16/1	Listed Pretty Polly Stakes winner Newmarket Apr 2026
8	Mubasimah	Roger Varian	David Egan	20/1	G3 Oh So Sharp Stakes winner Newmarket Oct 2025
9	Spicy Marg	Ralph Beckett	Rossa Ryan	25/1	Listed Marygate Stakes winner York 2025; sprint-bred mare
10	Inis Mor	Jessica Harrington	Shane Foley	25/1	G3 Silver Flash Stakes winner Leopardstown 2025
11	Touleen	Hugo Palmer	James Doyle	33/1	Listed Star Stakes winner Sandown 2025
12	Domina Ignis	David Loughnane	Hollie Doyle	33/1	G3 Sweet Solera Stakes 2nd Newmarket 2025
13	Evolutionist	Joseph O'Brien	Dylan Browne McMonagle	40/1	G3 Ballyogan Stakes winner Naas Apr 2026
14	Abashiri	Richard Hannon	Sean Levey	50/1	Listed Dragon Stakes 3rd Sandown 2025
15	Azleet	Saeed bin Suroor	Hayley Turner	50/1	Maiden winner Kempton 2026; lightly raced
16	Darn Hot Gallop	Owen Burrows	PJ McDonald	66/1	Listed Rosemary Stakes 4th Newmarket 2025
17	Silenciosa	Ed Walker	Robert Havlin	66/1	Maiden winner Wolverhampton AW Mar 2026
18	Timeforshowcasing	Ed Bethell	Callum Rodriguez	80/1	Handicap winner Doncaster 2025; outsider
19	True Test	George Boughey	Billy Loughnane	100/1	Stable's 2nd-string after 2000G focus on Bow Echo

[Source: confirmed runners and riders, Racing Post 30 April; aggregator best prices, Coral / Betfred 28 April. Star Sports / William Hill / Bet365 standalone prices need re-verification at race-week.]

The Ballydoyle drop-out story, Sunday edition

At the Monday 27 April confirmation stage, Aidan O'Brien had four declared: Precise, True Love, Diamond Necklace, and Venosa. By Thursday's 48-hour declarations, only Precise and True Love remained.

• Diamond Necklace -- redirected to the Poule d'Essai des Pouliches (French 1000 Guineas) at ParisLongchamp on 17 May. The single-figure ante-post fancy through April had been the Coolmore alternative to Precise, and the redirect signals Aidan O'Brien is willing to take her best chance on softer Longchamp ground rather than fight the Newmarket draw and pace.
• Venosa -- not declared at the 48-hour stage; reasons not formally disclosed [TBC].

The pattern matches Saturday's 2000 Guineas exactly: Coolmore declared four on Monday, declared two on Thursday for the 1000G (and only one for the 2000G). The Ballydoyle Classic-week strategy in 2026 has been to consolidate into single committed runners rather than spread the bet -- a confidence vote on the chosen horse, not a hedge against the field.

For Precise specifically, Ryan Moore's Sunday booking is the strongest live signal. Moore rides Gstaad on Saturday, then Precise on Sunday. The two horses Aidan O'Brien is committing his stable jockey to are the two horses Ballydoyle thinks can win.

Confirmed non-runners and reroutes

Filly	Reason	Source
Diamond Necklace (A O'Brien)	Redirected to French 1000 Guineas 17 May	Racing Post 28 April
Venosa (A O'Brien)	Not declared at 48-hour stage; reasons [TBC]	Racing Post 30 April
Lake Victoria (Sir Michael Stoute)	Confirmed non-runner; spring setback per yard statement	Racing Post 25 April
Quintessa (J & T Gosden)	Aimed at French Guineas instead	Sporting Life 26 April

Trends scorecard for the 2026 1000 Guineas

The same five trends we applied to Saturday's 2000 Guineas apply to Sunday's fillies' Classic. Each is verifiable against the historical record of recent 1000 Guineas winners. Here's how the leading five contenders stack up against what we can confirm at the 48-hour declaration stage.

The five trends:

1. Won or placed at Group 1 / Group 2 level as a 2yo. Recent 1000 Guineas winners almost universally arrive with at least Group 2 form from the previous autumn -- the Fillies' Mile, Moyglare Stud, Cheveley Park, Lowther, Rockfel are the typical pipelines.
2. Top 3 in current betting. The Guineas is unusually market-faithful for a Group 1 -- the favourite or the second/third in the betting wins around 70% of recent renewals. The fillies' version reads similarly.
3. Trained at one of the season's leading flat yards (Coolmore/Ballydoyle, Godolphin/Appleby, Gosden, Haggas, Burke, Balding-tier). Recent winners including Mawj (2023, Suroor), Elmalka (2024, Varian), Desert Flower (2025, Appleby) confirm the dominance.
4. Has run / worked at Newmarket previously. The Rowley Mile is unique -- horses with course experience handle the dip and the camber better. The Fillies' Mile, Cheveley Park, Rockfel, and Nell Gwyn all run at Newmarket.
5. Group 1-class CV at age 2 or already in 2026. Form quality from the previous season's Pattern races is the strongest predictor of championship miling form for fillies as much as for colts.

The scorecard (top 5 declared contenders)

Trend	Precise (9/4F)	Venetian Sun (9/2)	My Highness (6/1)	Venetian Lace (8/1)	The Prettiest Star (12/1)
1. G1/G2 placed at age 2	Yes (G1 Fillies' Mile + G1 Moyglare winner)	Yes (G1 Prix Morny winner; G2 Lowther 2nd)	Yes (G3 Nell Gwyn winner 2026; 2yo G2-level)	Yes (G3 Prestige winner)	Yes (G2 Lowther winner)
2. Top 3 in current betting	Yes (favourite)	Yes (2nd fav)	Yes (3rd fav)	Borderline (~4th-5th)	No (12/1)
3. Group-1 caliber yard	Yes (Coolmore/Ballydoyle)	Yes (Appleby/Godolphin)	Yes (Balding)	Yes (J & T Gosden)	Yes (Karl Burke)
4. Newmarket course experience	Yes (Fillies' Mile at Newmarket)	Yes (Lowther at York; G2 Rockfel 3rd Newmarket Oct 2025 confirmed)	Yes (Nell Gwyn winner 2026 at Newmarket)	Yes (Fred Darling Newbury 2nd 2026 + 2025 Newmarket nursery 2nd)	Yes (Cheveley Park 4th Newmarket 2025)
5. Group 1 CV by raceday	Two G1 wins at 2	G1 winner at 2	G3 winner only	G3 winner only	G2 winner only
Confirmed passing	5 / 5	4.5 / 5	3.5 / 5	3 / 5	2.5 / 5

Reading the scorecard:

• Precise (9/4F, O'Brien/Moore) is the trends-cleanest filly the format has produced in any 2026 Classic preview so far. Two Group 1 wins at age 2 -- Fillies' Mile and Moyglare -- is the highest-quality 2yo CV in the field by a clear margin. Top of the betting, top yard, Newmarket-tested, Ryan Moore booked. 5 of 5 trends confirmed. The only honest caveat is that no 2026 prep run means the wind-and-tune work is happening on the gallops only, and the Fillies' Mile-to-Guineas pipeline does occasionally produce winter regressions. But the pattern-match is the cleanest the format has produced.

• Venetian Sun (9/2, Appleby/Buick) ticks four-and-a-half -- the only soft mark is no career win at the absolute championship level (her G1 Prix Morny was at 6f, not the mile). The Appleby + Buick combination has won this race twice in three years (Cachet 2022 not theirs; Desert Flower 2025 was), and the yard has clearly chosen her over Fairy Godmother. 4.5 of 5 trends confirmed.

• My Highness (6/1, Balding/Murphy) is the home-trained alternative with the strongest 2026 prep. The G3 Nell Gwyn win at Newmarket on 15 April 2026 [Racing Post] is exactly the trial-form trends respect -- right course, right time of year, right level. 3.5 of 5 confirmed, missing only the championship 2yo Group form.

• Venetian Lace (8/1, Gosden/Shoemark) has the right yard, the right course exposure, but the form line reads as G2-G3 winner not G1-class. The Gosdens have won the 1000 Guineas (Inspiral was 2nd 2022; they've placed multiple times). 3 of 5 trends.

• The Prettiest Star (12/1, Burke/Lee) is the most-interesting trends-poor pick -- G2 Lowther winner at 2 is the right pipeline, but the Cheveley Park 4th was an honest run-not-finish. The first-time-blinkers declaration is a stable hint they're trying to sharpen her. 2.5 of 5 trends.

What the scorecard is and isn't

This is a transparent pattern-match against the historical record -- not a tip, not a value pick, not a model output. As we've documented in our in-house AI horse-racing model write-up, trends narrow the field but don't beat the bookies. Saturday's 2000 Guineas trends scorecard reads two clear leaders (Bow Echo, Distant Storm); Sunday's 1000 Guineas reads one clear leader (Precise) at a price the market has already acknowledged. Trends, like the model, are an editorial lens, not a profit-printer.

Going forecast and conditions

Newmarket Rowley Mile baseline going for Sunday 3 May: Good, Good-to-Firm in places -- the same description that's expected to hold from Saturday's 2000 Guineas card.

The full picture from the latest verified updates:

• Going Stick readings (Friday 1 May): Straight 8.4, Round 6.9 -- unchanged from earlier in the week [Tony Calvin column 26 April baseline].
• Watering programme: continued daily watering through the week to maintain the description; no rain forecast for Sunday [Met Office Newmarket 1 May].
• Sporting Life ground report (1 May): Going expected to ride identically to Saturday's card; if anything, very marginal drying overnight given clear skies.
• Sunday forecast: dry, light easterly breeze, daytime high 13-15°C [Sporting Life Newmarket forecast]. No rain expected.
• Saturday's 2000 Guineas form will be the best ground guide -- the times, sectionals, and finishing positions on the Rowley Mile 24 hours earlier are the freshest going read available.

Editorial verdict: baseline Good with patches of Good-to-Firm is the most likely description at the off. This profile suits Precise (her Fillies' Mile and Moyglare wins both came on good or better) and Venetian Sun (Prix Morny on good). The runners marked down by drying:

• My Highness -- the Balding filly has shown a soft-ground preference in her 2yo nurseries, and the Nell Gwyn win came on faster ground than ideal. A dry Sunday makes her work harder.
• Any closer / hold-up runner -- the dry sound surface favours sustained pace; gates 1-9 typically have the rail advantage on the Rowley Mile, and on a 19-runner field the draw matters.

How to watch

Off time: 3:35pm BST Sunday 3 May. First race on the Sunday card from approximately 1:50pm. The Pretty Polly Stakes (G3) is the warm-up earlier on the card.

TV: ITV Racing on ITV4 / ITVX -- broadcast window approximately 1:30pm to 4:30pm, free to air with a UK IP. Covers the Palace House Group races on the supporting card, the Group 3 Pretty Polly Stakes, the 1000 Guineas at 3:35pm, and the Group 3 Newmarket Stakes.

Online streaming: ITVX (free, UK), Racing TV Player (paid subscription, full card both days), or any funded UK / Irish bookmaker stream subject to placed-bet conditions.

For our broader broadcast guide for the full Guineas weekend including Saturday's 2000 Guineas, see our Guineas Festival 2026 TV guide and yesterday's 2000 Guineas tips piece.

Sunday's verdict

The 2026 1000 Guineas reads as the cleanest trends-aligned single-horse Classic of the spring: Precise. The Coolmore drop-out drama matches Saturday's pattern (four declared Monday, two declared Thursday), but unlike the 2000 Guineas -- where Gstaad becomes the lone Coolmore runner with a 3/5 trends score -- the 1000 Guineas has the Ballydoyle stable jockey on a 5/5 trends-scoring filly at the head of the market.

Win: Precise (9/4F, A O'Brien / R Moore). 5 of 5 trends confirmed. Two G1 wins at age 2 (Fillies' Mile + Moyglare), top of the betting, top yard, course-tested at Newmarket, the senior Coolmore jockey booked. The trends-cleanest contender the format has produced in any 2026 Classic preview. The honest reservation is the 9/4 price -- this is not a value bet. It's a high-confidence pattern-match priced as such.

Each-way: Venetian Sun (9/2, C Appleby / W Buick). 4.5 of 5 trends confirmed. The G1 Prix Morny winner missed only the championship-mile category at age 2. Appleby + Buick won this race in 2025 with Desert Flower; the same combination on a horse with the right CV is exactly the each-way profile the trends format respects. The 9/2 price gives place-only value if the favourite wins as the market suggests.

Lay / oppose: My Highness (6/1, A Balding / O Murphy). 3.5 of 5 trends. The Nell Gwyn win is the right trial form, but the championship 2yo CV is missing and the going forecast is against her. 6/1 looks short for a horse the trends rate behind two ahead of her in the market.

Sentiment watch: The Prettiest Star (12/1, K Burke / C Lee) is the do-not-write-off outsider. 2.5 of 5 trends, with the strongest single behavioural signal in the second tier -- first-time-blinkers declaration on a G2 Lowther winner from Karl Burke's Spigot Lodge. The yard has been quietly winning Group races through April and the equipment change is the kind of stable-tactical move that occasionally produces Classic-day reversals. Not a recommendation, but a price worth marking before the off.

Where to bet

Independent specialist bookmaker Star Sports continues the strong narrative angle from Saturday's race into Sunday's:

• George Boughey is their ambassador trainer since 2025 and writes Weekend Preview columns for the Star Sports content output -- with True Test (100/1) as his second-string runner on Sunday (Boughey's primary Classic focus is Bow Echo on Saturday).
• Silvestre de Sousa is a Star Sports flat ambassador and features in their "Zoom Room: 1000 Guineas" video previews.
• Simon Nott (Star Sports betting-ring blogger) covers Newmarket Guineas day from the Star Sports pitch.

Important reset for the post-2024 racing market: Star Sports withdrew Best Odds Guaranteed in December 2024 [OLBG 2026; Football Whispers 2026]. Value at the firm now comes through curated Star Boosts on selected runners (not market-wide) plus selective race-day money-back specials. The welcome offer is BET20GET10 -- £20 single bet at evens or greater unlocks £5 free bet on settlement, then a further £5 [Bookies Bonuses February 2026].

For the wider read on Star Sports as an operator -- the Mayfair flagship, the willingness to take large stakes from on-course customers -- see our Star Sports review and the Ben Keith profile. For the cross-bookmaker view of Guineas-specific offers (BOG, NRNB, extra-place specials at the firms that still run them), see Guineas Festival 2026 betting offers.

Responsible note

This piece is a transparent application of the trends-scorecard format to the declared field. It is not a guarantee of profit -- as we've documented in our in-house AI horse-racing model write-up, no model or trend system reliably beats efficient bookmaker prices. A 5/5 trends pattern-match at 9/4 is a high-confidence read, not a guaranteed return. Bet only money you can afford to lose, set limits, BeGambleAware.org.