StableBet
Professor Furlong and Pascal at the AI Lab
THE AI LAB
Every test we have ever run, in one place. Betting systems, AI tipsters, market quirks. Pick a question and see the numbers.
A few of those were my ideas. The good ones, obviously.
THE AI LAB · STRATEGIES TESTED

Every betting system, tested

Every strategy in this library has been run over real British races and settled the same honest way: industry Starting Price, fallers and pulled-up horses counted as the losers they are. Each card shows who backs the idea, what it is trying to exploit, and what it actually does: search for the ones you have heard about, or browse by kind and follow your curiosity. The full working sits one click in.

24 systems tested · 27,676 races · every result published

Win or lose, the record is the record. Under test this week: Four-fold on favourites (−30.8p per £1 staked).

New to odds? What a price really means. Or read the AI Blog.

Staking systems (2)
Backing & laying strategies (16)
Barry backs this , the favourite-chaserBack the favourite in big fieldsThe contrarian cousin: back the jolly exactly where it is hardest, in the cavalry charges. Bigger prices on the favourite, in exchange for far more ways to be beaten.
Return /£1
−7.0p
Strike
wins 24%
Effort
Popularity
Swings
Read the full analysis →
Barry backs this , the favourite-chaserBack the favourite in handicapsHandicaps exist to make every horse equal, which should be the favourite's worst nightmare. This tests whether the market's pick survives the handicapper's levelling.
Return /£1
−8.9p
Strike
wins 30%
Effort
Popularity
Swings
Read the full analysis →
Carol backs this , the conditions specialistBack the favourite in small fieldsFewer runners, fewer ways to lose. It backs the jolly only when the field is thin, banking on less traffic and less chaos between the favourite and the line.
Return /£1
−7.7p
Strike
wins 46%
Effort
Popularity
Swings
Read the full analysis →
Carol backs this , the conditions specialistBack the favourite on soft groundWhen the mud flies, form is meant to be worth more: proven stamina beats flashy speed. It backs the jolly only when the going rides soft or worse.
Return /£1
−8.8p
Strike
wins 35%
Effort
Popularity
Swings
Read the full analysis →
Barry backs this , the favourite-chaserBack the favourite on the FlatThe same trusted habit, summer edition. Tighter handicaps and bigger fields make the Flat a harsher test of whether the market's first choice earns its billing.
Return /£1
−9.4p
Strike
wins 33%
Effort
Popularity
Swings
Read the full analysis →
Barry backs this , the favourite-chaserBack the favourite over jumpsThe winter staple. Over hurdles and fences, class and jumping are meant to sort the field, so the form should count double. Wins often: the price already knows.
Return /£1
−7.8p
Strike
wins 37%
Effort
Popularity
Swings
Read the full analysis →
Barry backs this , the favourite-chaserBack odds-on favourites onlyOnly bet when the market is near-certain: short prices, high strike, tiny returns. The steadiest ride on the board, and a test of whether near-certainty is priced fairly.
Return /£1
−4.8p
Strike
wins 60%
Effort
Popularity
Swings
Read the full analysis →
Carol backs this , the conditions specialistBack the old stagersThe sentimental system: back the oldest horse in the race, the one that has seen it all. It tests whether experience is underrated or just old.
Return /£1
−27.2p
Strike
wins 8%
Effort
Popularity
Swings
Read the full analysis →
Barry backs this , the favourite-chaserBack the favourite in every raceThe plainest habit in racing: back the market's first choice, every time. It leans on the crowd being right, and the crowd usually is: the question is what being right costs once the margin is in the price.
Return /£1
−8.8p
Strike
wins 35%
Effort
Popularity
Swings
Read the full analysis →
Lorna backs this , the longshot-romanticBack the outsider of the fieldTake the biggest price on the card and wait for the shock. It aims to exploit the days when racing goes mad, and prices in how rarely those days come.
Return /£1
−34.7p
Strike
wins 3%
Effort
Popularity
Swings
Read the full analysis →
Sandra backs this , the contrarian value-hunterBack the second favouriteOne step off the jolly, hunting the horse the crowd nearly loves. The idea is that the favourite soaks up all the attention and the value hides just behind it.
Return /£1
−12.0p
Strike
wins 21%
Effort
Popularity
Swings
Read the full analysis →
Frank backs this , the form puristBack the top-rated horseFollow the official ratings instead of the market: back the horse the handicapper says is best. It tests whether expert judgement holds any edge the prices have missed.
Return /£1
−15.8p
Strike
wins 19%
Effort
Popularity
Swings
Read the full analysis →
Dawn backs this , the social punterPick a horse at randomThe pin, formalised. No reading, no opinion, pure chance: the control experiment every other strategy on this board has to beat before it can claim anything.
Return /£1
−21.5p
Strike
wins 13%
Effort
Popularity
Swings
Read the full analysis →
Frank backs this , the form puristBack the top-rated in handicapsRatings against the handicapper on his own turf. If official figures carry any private edge, the races built on those figures are where it should show.
Return /£1
−16.3p
Strike
wins 16%
Effort
Popularity
Swings
Read the full analysis →
Rishi backs this , the AI-trusterBack only the AI's most confident picksWait for the model's strongest signals and ignore the rest. It tests whether confidence is a filter that finds value, or just a shorter price with better manners.
Return /£1
−0.8p
Strike
Effort
Popularity
Swings
Read the full analysis →
Rishi backs this , the AI-trusterFollow the AI's pick in every raceBack our model's top-rated runner in every single race, no filter, no judgement. The purest test of whether a well-calibrated machine survives the market at full volume.
Return /£1
−11.4p
Strike
Effort
Popularity
Swings
Read the full analysis →
Market mechanics (1)
Bet types (7)
Each-way in the big handicapsThe big-field handicaps pay four, five, sometimes six places. This hunts the corners of the card where the each-way terms are set generously: the rare structural quirk worth understanding.
Return /£1
1 of last 10
Strike
Effort
Popularity
Swings
Read the full analysis →
Aaliyah backs this , the acca-dreamerFour-fold on favouritesFour favourites, one slip, one big number if they all oblige. The acca trades four small edges against you for one large payout: the maths of why is the interesting bit.
Return /£1
−30.8p
Strike
Effort
Popularity
Swings
Read the full analysis →
Aaliyah backs this , the acca-dreamerDouble on two favouritesChain two favourites together and let the winnings roll on. Two likely winners feel almost safe, and the bookmaker collects a margin on each leg of the parlay.
Return /£1
−16.8p
Strike
Effort
Popularity
Swings
Read the full analysis →
Aaliyah backs this , the acca-dreamerFour-fold on random horsesThe lottery ticket dressed as a bet: four random runners in one acca. It exists on this board to show what stacking pure chance actually costs.
Return /£1
−62.1p
Strike
Effort
Popularity
Swings
Read the full analysis →
Aaliyah backs this , the acca-dreamerLucky 15 on favouritesFour picks, fifteen bets: every single, double, treble and the acca, so any winner returns something. Maximum coverage, maximum turnover, and the margin taxes every one of the fifteen.
Return /£1
−17.6p
Strike
Effort
Popularity
Swings
Read the full analysis →
Eddie backs this , the each-way optimistEach-way an outsiderThe Saturday classic: a big-priced runner, each-way, hoping it sneaks into the places. It aims at the gap between a longshot's place chance and what the bookie pays for it.
Return /£1
−30.0p
Strike
wins 7%
Effort
Popularity
Swings
Read the full analysis →
Eddie backs this , the each-way optimistEach-way the favouriteHalf the stake on the win, half on the place, so a near-miss still pays. It trades the top of the winnings for a steady drip of place returns, comfort, at a price.
Return /£1
−8.6p
Strike
places 62%
Effort
Popularity
Swings
Read the full analysis →
Meeting-specific (2)

Return and strike are measured on real races, settled at industry Starting Price. Effort, popularity and swings are our editorial scores from one to five (swings is computed from the £200-a-week money path where one exists). Every card opens the full experiment with the sample, the error bars and the method.

Live · The AI, tested

The Silicon Tipster League →

ChatGPT, Gemini, Grok, Claude and DeepSeek tip every race, settled at SP: one test blind, one with the market shown. Watch five AIs prove themselves live, from scratch.

The kinds of system we test, and how

Five families, five different theories about where an edge might hide. Open any one for what it is trying to exploit and how we put it to the test.

Staking systems

Change the stake, not the horse. Martingale, Fibonacci and friends aim to exploit sequencing: the idea that losing runs must end, so escalating stakes claw everything back.

How we test it: We simulate the actual bankroll on real results, bet by bet, because averages hide the thing that matters: the bust.

Backing & laying strategies

Fixed selection rules, back the favourite, the outsider, the top-rated. Each one bets that some corner of the form book is underpriced by the crowd.

How we test it: Every qualifying race in the record, £1 at Starting Price, fallers and pulled-up horses settled as losses. No cherry-picked seasons.

Market mechanics

Quirks of how prices form: the draw, running styles, how form moves a price. These hunt structural edges rather than opinions about horses.

How we test it: We measure whether the pattern is real first, then the only question that pays: does the price already know?

Bet types

The same horses, different wrappers, each-way, doubles, accumulators, the Lucky 15. The wrapper changes how often you collect and what the bookmaker's margin does to you.

How we test it: Settled from real single-leg results; multiples are computed as analytic expected value, because stacking legs multiplies the margin on every one.

Meeting-specific

Favourite habits pointed at one meeting: the festivals, Royal Ascot. The theory is that the deepest, most-studied races make form more reliable.

How we test it: Same settlement as everything else, on a smaller sample, so we publish the error bars and say so when the noise outweighs the signal.

Everything settles the same way, and the full conventions are on How We Test.

The big questions, answered in full

Not strategies to follow: the comparative reads that make sense of the whole board. Start here if you want the wide view before picking a card above.

More comparative write-ups land on the AI Blog.

Questions about the library

What counts as a betting system?

Any fixed rule that decides what to back or how to stake, applied to every qualifying race with no judgement calls. The library covers selection rules (back the favourite, the top-rated), staking plans (Martingale, Fibonacci), bet types (each-way, accumulators, the Lucky 15) and market-mechanics ideas like the draw.

Where do the return and strike figures come from?

Real British races, settled at industry Starting Price with fallers and pulled-up horses counted as losses and joint favourites split, 27,676 races and counting. The method is published in full on our How We Test page, and every card opens the sample and error bars behind its numbers.

How do you score effort, popularity and swings?

Those three are our editorial opinion on a one-to-five scale: how hard a system is to stick to in real life, how widely it is actually played, and how violent its bankroll ride is. Swings is computed from the £200-a-week money path where we track one. Return and strike are never editorial, they are measured.

Where can I see what these systems cost in real money?

The What Betting Costs page runs the same £200 a week through every system and shows the leak per week, month and year, with the full ranked table and the week-by-week chart. It is the money view of this library.

The money view

What would £200 a week on these actually cost? →

The same weekly stake through every system: the leak per week, month and year, the full ranked table, and how to shrink it.

This is research, not tips. The numbers describe what each system has done over a large, honest sample; they are not a signal to stake. The model is a calibrated read on a race and does not beat the market. 18+, please bet responsibly.