James Maxwell
Founder & Editor · Last reviewed 2026-06-01
Stablebet model output
The model has not yet published predictions for this race (2026-06-20_ascot_1735). Predictions are generated daily at 09:00 BST from declared fields.
See the latest model output for today's races, or our model methodology write-up for what the model is and what it isn't.
Saturday 20 June 2026, 17:35 BST. Ascot Racecourse, Berkshire. 6f straight, Class 2 Heritage handicap, 3yo+, safety limit 30.
The Wokingham Stakes is the single hardest punting puzzle of Royal Ascot week — a 28-30 runner cavalry charge up Ascot's stiff straight six furlongs that has produced exactly one favourite winner in the last decade and an average winning starting price north of 15/1 since 2015 [Racing Post archive; Wikipedia; OLBG; cross-checked 1 Jun 2026]. The race rewards the punter who has done the trends work and punishes the one who has not.
This piece is the trends-and-stats companion to the full Wokingham Stakes 2026 preview. It pulls the fact-checked last 10 winners (2016 to 2025), the five strongest scorecard trends with strike rates over that 10-year window, and a 2026 verdict that defers specific runner picks until 24-hour declarations land on Friday 19 June.
Headline trend signals to know going in:
- Age 4 or 5 has accounted for 7 of the last 10 winners; 3yo and 6yo+ profiles win sparingly
- Returning at 10/1 or bigger has produced 8 of the last 10 winners; only one favourite has obliged in the decade
- Previous Ascot 6f experience is shared by roughly 11 of the last 12 winners per The Stats Don't Lie — close to a prerequisite
- Mid-range weights (9-2 to 9-9) dominate; top-weights carrying 10-0+ have been dead money
- Draw 10+ (or stall 1-2 hard against the far rail) accounts for the bulk of recent winners; stalls 5-9 are the danger zone in a typical 28-30 runner field
The piece is built to be used the morning of declarations, with the scorecard applied as a filter to a shortlist before any pricing or each-way work begins.
For broader context see the Royal Ascot 2026 trends and stats meeting-wide analysis and the Royal Ascot 2026 Saturday preview for the full closing-day card.
The last 10 Wokingham Stakes winners (2016-2025)
The table below is the fact-checked roll of honour for the last 10 renewals, cross-verified across the Racing Post archive, Wikipedia and Sporting Life on 1 June 2026. Ages, weights and starting prices come from the official BHA result and Racing Post race-card archive.
| Year | Winner | Age | Trainer | Jockey | Wgt | SP | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Get It | 4 | Karl Burke | Clifford Lee | 9-7 | 28/1 | 13 |
| 2024 | Unequal Love | 4 | William Haggas | Tom Marquand | 9-6 | 12/1 | [VERIFY at declaration: stall number from Racing Post archive] |
| 2023 | Saint Lawrence | 4 | Archie Watson | Hollie Doyle | 9-4 | 22/1 | [VERIFY: Racing Post archive] |
| 2022 | Rohaan | 4 | David Evans | Ryan Moore | 9-12 | 18/1 | [VERIFY: Racing Post archive] |
| 2021 | Rohaan | 3 | David Evans | Ryan Moore | 8-12 | 8/1 | [VERIFY: Racing Post archive] |
| 2020 | Hey Jonesy | 5 | Kevin Ryan | Kevin Stott | 9-6 | 18/1 | [VERIFY: Racing Post archive] |
| 2019 | Cape Byron | 4 | Roger Varian | Andrea Atzeni | 9-5 | 7/2F | [VERIFY: Racing Post archive] |
| 2018 | Bacchus | 4 | Brian Meehan | Adam Kirby | 9-3 | 33/1 | [VERIFY: Racing Post archive] |
| 2017 | Out Do | 8 | David O'Meara | Jason Hart | 8-13 | 25/1 | [VERIFY: Racing Post archive] |
| 2016 | Outback Traveller | 5 | Robert Cowell | Adam Kirby | 9-2 | 10/1 | [VERIFY: Racing Post archive] |
Sources: Racing Post archive race-cards 2016-2025; Wikipedia "Wokingham Stakes" honour roll; OLBG Wokingham trends notes; cross-checked 1 June 2026. Specific stall numbers for 2016-2024 carry the [VERIFY] flag until the Racing Post archive is matched alongside the 24-hour declaration pull.
What the table tells you in one read
- One favourite winner in ten years — Cape Byron at 7/2F in 2019. Every other winner came at 8/1 or bigger, with four of the ten priced 18/1 or bigger (Bacchus 33/1, Get It 28/1, Out Do 25/1, Saint Lawrence 22/1).
- The 4-5 age band is the sweet spot — seven of ten. Rohaan won at 3yo in 2021 then again as a 4yo in 2022, the first back-to-back Wokingham winner since Selhurstpark Flyer 1997-98 [Wikipedia]. Out Do at 8yo (2017) is the lone "old-horse" winner of the decade.
- The trainer roll has been diverse — ten different yards in the last decade aside from Rohaan's Evans double. The race is not owned by Coolmore, Godolphin or any one operation; the winning yard usually has a single Wokingham raid built around one course-experienced specialist.
- Get It's 2025 winning time (1:11.40) was the fastest in 20 renewals [Racing Post], underlining how 2025 ran on quick ground with a strong far-side gallop from a high draw.
The cumulative read: the Wokingham is a value-hunter's race, not a fave-backer's race. Each-way and place-only strategies typically out-perform straight win betting on a long-run basis.
For the race-card and race shape see the Wokingham Stakes 2026 preview. For the corresponding straight-mile heritage handicap on Wednesday see the Royal Hunt Cup 2026 preview.
The five-trend Wokingham scorecard
The Wokingham yields to discipline more readily than most heritage handicaps because the same five demands recur year after year. Below are the five strongest filters from the 2016-2025 honour roll, each with the strike rate from the last 10 renewals and the scorecard line to apply on declaration morning. A runner scoring 4 of 5 is a credible each-way contender; a runner scoring 5 of 5 is the trends-led pick of the race.
Trend 1 — Aged 4 or 5
Strike rate (last 10): 7/10 (70%).
Outback Traveller (5, 2016), Bacchus (4, 2018), Cape Byron (4, 2019), Hey Jonesy (5, 2020), Rohaan as a 4yo (2022), Unequal Love (4, 2024) and Get It (4, 2025) all fell in the 4-5 band. Rohaan at 3yo (2021) is the modern exception and Out Do at 8yo (2017) the long-shot outlier. The reading: three-year-olds need a stand-out profile (Group form or a Pattern second) to overcome the weight-for-age dynamic, and six-year-olds-plus are typically over the top.
Scorecard line: 1 point for any runner aged 4 or 5. 0 points for 3yo unless rated 100+; 0 points for 6yo+.
Trend 2 — Returning at 10/1 or bigger
Strike rate (last 10): 8/10 (80%).
Only Cape Byron (7/2F, 2019) and Rohaan (8/1, 2021) returned shorter than 10/1 in the decade. The other eight all came back at double figures — and four came back at 18/1 or bigger (Bacchus 33/1, Get It 28/1, Out Do 25/1, Saint Lawrence 22/1) [Racing Post archive].
Punting takeaway: the market consistently misses the winner. Each-way play out-performs straight win betting because the winning price spread is wide and the average winning SP since 2015 sits north of 15/1.
Scorecard line: 1 point for any runner trading 10/1 or bigger at the off. 0 points for any horse trading shorter than 8/1 — a near-certain trap on the decade's evidence.
Trend 3 — Previous Ascot 6f experience
Strike rate (last 12): ~11/12 (~92%) per The Stats Don't Lie; ~9/10 over the strict 10-year window.
The single strongest filter in the race. Ascot's straight six is unlike any other British sprint track: a chute that joins the round course only after the line, no bend, a stiff uphill last two furlongs, and a slight camber that falls toward the stands' rail. The uphill grind catches out one-paced sprinters from bend tracks and milers stepping back in trip. Course-and-distance winners are over-represented in the honour roll.
Scorecard line: 1 point for any runner with a previous run at Ascot over 6f. Add a half-point bonus for a previous Ascot 6f win.
Trend 4 — Carrying 9-2 to 9-9
Strike rate (last 10): ~7/10 (70%).
Mid-range handicap weights dominate. Outback Traveller (9-2), Bacchus (9-3), Saint Lawrence (9-4), Cape Byron (9-5), Hey Jonesy (9-6), Unequal Love (9-6) and Get It (9-7) all sat in the 9-2 to 9-9 band. Out Do (8-13, 2017) and Rohaan (8-12 as a 3yo in 2021; 9-12 as a 4yo in 2022) are the outliers — one carrying less, one carrying more. Top-weights at 10-0+ have been dead money historically because a lower-weighted runner of equal ability holds a meaningful per-furlong advantage over six uphill furlongs.
Scorecard line: 1 point for any runner carrying between 9-2 and 9-9. 0 points for top-weights at 10-0+.
Trend 5 — Drawn 10 or higher, or hard against the far rail in stalls 1-2
Strike rate (last 12): ~10/12 (~83%) per The Stats Don't Lie.
The Wokingham splits into two pace groups racing up the two rails. OLBG's analysis of 25 recent renewals found 44% of winners were drawn within 4 stalls of either rail, and The Stats Don't Lie's narrower window flags ~83% of recent winners as drawn 10+ OR hard against the inside in stalls 1-2. Get It (drawn 13, 2025) is the most recent example of the high-draw pattern. Stalls 5 to 9 in a typical 28-30 runner field — the centre of the track, with no rail to lock onto — is the danger zone.
This inverts the Royal Hunt Cup pattern (Wednesday's straight mile, where high draws racing up the stands' side are historically favoured): the 6f start sits in a different position relative to where the two pace groups form, and the dominant group at 6f tends to be the far-side group with horses drawn high.
Scorecard line: 1 point for any runner drawn 10 or higher. Half a point for stalls 1-2. 0 points for stalls 3-9.
How to use the scorecard
Apply the five trends out of 5.5 (including the C&D bonus) on the morning of 24-hour declarations:
- Pull declarations, weights and the draw on Friday 19 June 2026
- Apply the five trends to every runner
- Shortlist any runner scoring 4 or more
- Cross-reference with the extra-place specials (most major firms run 5 or 6 places on the Wokingham)
- Stake each-way to the place return rather than the win
The exercise is most powerful as a filter — narrowing 30 runners to a 5-8 horse shortlist before any pricing work begins.
The 2026 field, the trends-clean profile, and the verdict
What the trends point to in 2026
The trends-cleanest profile for the 2026 Wokingham is a 4 or 5-year-old, carrying between 9-2 and 9-9, with at least one previous run over Ascot's straight 6f on the CV, drawn 10 or higher (or hard against the inside rail in stalls 1-2), and returning at 10/1 or bigger. That composite would score 5/5 on the trends scorecard and, on the strength of the last decade, would be expected to go off somewhere between 12/1 and 25/1.
The trends-clean second-string is the Victoria Cup graduate — a horse who has run in or won the Victoria Cup at Ascot in May, who already has the course-and-distance experience the data calls for, and who arrives within the 49-day prep window the recent honour roll has rewarded. Outback Traveller (2016) and Cape Byron (2019) are both Victoria Cup graduates [Wikipedia; Racing Post archive].
The third profile worth the each-way money is the Stewards' Cup type drafted into Royal Ascot ahead of Goodwood — a sprinter who locks onto a rail from a wide draw, holds position from the stalls, and produces a sustained surge from two out. Get It (28/1, 2025, made all from stall 13 in a winning time of 1:11.40) is the most recent template [Racing Post].
Race-week update [VERIFY at declaration]
The named 2026 picks (win, each-way, longshot value, lay) will be added once the 24-hour declarations land on Friday 19 June 2026, when the final 28-30 runner field is confirmed, weights are finalised after handicapper adjustments, the draw is published, and live ante-post prices stabilise [VERIFY: Racing Post ante-post markets and Royal Ascot declarations from week commencing 15 Jun 2026].
The two ante-post signals worth watching in the run-in:
- The Victoria Cup result and any other Ascot 6f handicap winners in May/early June — most years one of these horses ends up on the Wokingham shortlist
- The Royal Hunt Cup draw and result on Wednesday 17 June — the meeting's straight-track going report often resets the Wokingham draw read for Saturday
Headline trends recap
- 7/10 winners aged 4 or 5 — 3yo and 6yo+ winners are rare
- 8/10 winners returned at 10/1 or bigger — one favourite in ten years
- ~11/12 winners had previous Ascot 6f experience — close to a prerequisite
- ~7/10 winners carried between 9-2 and 9-9 — top-weights at 10-0+ are dead money
- ~10/12 winners came from draw 10+ or stalls 1-2 hard against the far rail — stalls 5-9 are the danger zone
For the full picture
For the deep field analysis, race shape, draw bias detail, each-way maths and pricing see the Wokingham Stakes 2026 preview.
For the meeting-wide trends signal — trainer / jockey / sire / draw across all 35 races — see Royal Ascot 2026 trends and stats.
For the rest of the closing-day card see the Royal Ascot 2026 Saturday preview, including the Diamond Jubilee Stakes and the Hardwicke.
For the cross-bookmaker grid of welcome offers, extra-place specials and BOG coverage for Wokingham day see the Royal Ascot 2026 offers page.
Where to bet the Wokingham Stakes 2026
Most major UK firms run 5-place or 6-place extra-place specials on the Wokingham as a flagship Royal Ascot promotion, with Best Odds Guaranteed on the day-of-race at Bet365, William Hill, Coral, Paddy Power, Ladbrokes and Betfred. The Wokingham is one of the few races on the calendar where the place-fraction gap (1/4 vs 1/5 vs 1/6) and the extra-place count materially swing expected value — typically 10-15% on a 14/1 to 25/1 runner before any horse-specific assessment.
Specialist racing operator — Star Sports. Independent specialist bookmaker Star Sports has racecourse pitches at every day of Royal Ascot including Wokingham Saturday. Star Sports withdrew Best Odds Guaranteed in December 2024 [OLBG 2026]. Value at the firm now comes through curated Star Boosts on selected runners each day (not market-wide), selective race-day money-back specials, and the on-course presence that lets them take large stakes from racecourse customers.
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For the cross-bookmaker view of Royal Ascot 2026 offers — Bet365, William Hill, Coral, Paddy Power, Betfred — see our Royal Ascot 2026 offers page for the full grid plus extra-place, NRNB and BOG comparison. All operator welcome offers are subject to standard salient terms (new customers, 18+, qualifying conditions, free-bet expiry). See each operator's review for the full T&Cs. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.
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Calculate your each-way return: Open the Each-Way Calculator →
Responsible note: Heritage handicap each-way betting can deliver positive expected value, but the variance is high — a 14/1 each-way runner that finishes 6th in a 5-place race returns nothing. Trends-clean does not equal certain. Set a budget, use small stakes, and stop when you reach it. Free help: BeGambleAware.org. 18+.
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