There are also fewer bookmakers than there appear to be
While measuring the prices we checked something else: how often two brands post
exactly the same number.
| These two brands | Posted the same price | Runners compared | Reading |
|---|
| LiveScore Bet and Virgin Bet | 99.2% | 8,718 | One feed |
| Bet Victor and Betano | 96.5% | 8,664 | Not independent |
| Coral and Ladbrokes | 94.1% | 9,082 | Not independent |
| For comparison: BresBet and Dragon Bet | 88.9% | 2,409 | Closest pair below the line |
Every pair of books compared on every runner they both priced, 300 pairs in all, so a shared feed shows up on its own rather than needing to be known about in advance. The top pair agrees to the penny, matching on every shared runner on 9 of the 23 days measured, which is one price feed under two names. No other pair on the list managed that on a single day. The others are a weaker claim and the table says so: agreeing on 94.1% of the runners they both priced is not one feed, but it is not two firms pricing independently either. They run from 96.5% down to 94.1%, listed highest first.
The top row is the clear case. Identical to the penny, thousands of times over,
and matching on every single runner on whole days at a time, is not two firms
independently arriving at the same view. It is one price feed wearing two names.
No other pair on the list has managed a clean day.
The other two need a more careful sentence, and we would rather write it than
round it up. Agreeing on nineteen runners in twenty is not one feed. It is also
not two firms pricing independently, because the closest pair that sits below our
duplicate threshold agrees on 88.9% of the runners they
both price, measured across 2,409 of them. Those two pairs
sit in a gap of their own, several points clear of everyone else and too close
together for 23 days of data to separate.
This matters for a claim you will see everywhere, including on this site's own
racecards: best price across N bookmakers. If two of those N move together,
the number of independent opinions behind the badge is smaller than the badge
says. We detect these pairs by comparing every pair of books on the
list rather than by keeping a list of known ones, so a new one shows up on its
own.
None of that is a scandal. Plenty of brands buy their pricing in or share a
parent, and nobody hides it. It is simply worth knowing that shopping between
two names on one feed is not shopping around at all.
What any of those books costs you in the end comes back to how much of your stake
the bookmakers keep,
which is the number the whole table is ranked on.
A word on all of this
None of these pages is a tip, and none describes a way to win. They describe what
betting costs, which is a different and more reliable subject. If your betting has
stopped being fun, BeGambleAware has free,
confidential help, and the National Gambling Helpline is on 0808 8020 133.