StableBet
Professor Furlong and Pascal at the AI Lab
THE AI LAB
THE AI LAB DAILY · THE CARD FOR SUNDAY, 25 OCTOBER 2026

Sunday 25 October 2026 racing: the card at Wexford, Galway and two more

← Every day·Today's market·Today so far·Results for Wednesday, 4 November 2026

This is the card for Sunday, 25 October 2026, kept as an archive. The latest cards are here.

The card for Sunday 25 October 2026 runs to four meetings and 30 races: Galway and Wexford in Ireland, and Aintree and Market Rasen in Britain. The first race is at Galway at 12:32 and the last is at Wexford at 16:40. Galway presents the longest card of the day, with racing in Ireland and Britain across the afternoon. The feature is the Bet With Tote On Racing & Sports Maiden Hurdle at Wexford, due off at 15:40, and it has the next section to itself. Every runner, with the model's estimated chance beside the market's price, is on the racecards page, and the model's view of the whole day is on the day's predictions; the card was written before the first race, so nothing on it is a result.

The feature: the Bet With Tote On Racing & Sports Maiden Hurdle at Wexford

Stablebet model (pre-race estimated win chances)

Wexford 15:40 · Bet With Tote On Racing & Sports Maiden Hurdle · 2m4f90y

Latest output →

Pre-race estimate. Published 25 October 2026, before the off. This is what the model made of the race beforehand, kept as a record. It was never published as a tip.

The model rated Huntin Boots its most likely winner at 32%, ahead of Square Necker (19%) and Coffeemorninggirls (8%). It read as a clear first choice, but beatable.

HorseSPModel chanceMarketvs Market
Huntin Boots
Jack Kennedy / G Elliott
6.50
32.4%
11.9%Market 20.5pp longer
Square Necker
Donagh Meyler / E Mullins
1.44
19.1%
53.8%Market 34.7pp shorter
Coffeemorninggirls
Alan O'Sullivan / P Nolan
21.00
7.7%
3.7%Market 4.0pp longer
Whelkeen View
Sean Flanagan / P Nolan
7.00
7.7%
11.1%Market 3.4pp shorter
Reilly's Pocket
Ross Berry / P Nolan
21.00
7.7%
3.7%Market 4.0pp longer
Well Friend
Sean O'Keeffe / P Nolan
26.00
7.7%
3.0%Market 4.7pp longer
Vango At Dawn
Phillip Enright / C Motherway
34.00
7.5%
2.3%Market 5.2pp longer
Ballyhoura
Tiernan Power Roche / P J Rothwell
15.00
6.4%
5.2%Market 1.2pp longer
Parisian Dream
Shane Markey / R O'Sullivan
51.00
2.4%
1.5%Market 0.9pp longer
El Bilo
Jordan Gainford / P Nolan
34.00
1.0%
2.3%Market 1.3pp shorter
Misterous Flechois
Kieren Buckley / Ian Donoghue
51.00
0.3%
1.5%Market 1.3pp shorter

These were the model's estimated win chances going into the race, not tips. The model is calibrated to real results (when it says 25%, about 25% win) but it does not beat the market, so read it as an independent second opinion on the race. See how accurate it is →

Model: ensemble-v1.1 · Generated Sun, 25 Oct 2026The LabMethodology

The model and the market prefer different horses in the feature, with Huntin Boots the model's most likely winner and Square Necker the market's shortest price. The card above sets the model's estimated chance for each runner beside the chance implied by the market, and the gap between the two columns is the only thing the Lab claims to measure; it says which horse the model rates highest and nothing about what to do with that. The race is run over 2m4f90y, on ground declared as Soft to heavy (inspection 8am), with eleven priced runners. The course itself is covered in the Wexford guide.

Where the model disagrees with the market

The widest gap between the model's estimate and the market's price on this card is in the COLM QUINN BMW Mares Maiden Hurdle at Galway (14:17), where the model gives Light Up The Dark a smaller chance than the price implies. The race was chosen by the size of that gap and by nothing else.

Stablebet model (pre-race estimated win chances)

Galway 14:17 · COLM QUINN BMW Mares Maiden Hurdle · 2m11y

Latest output →

Pre-race estimate. Published 25 October 2026, before the off. This is what the model made of the race beforehand, kept as a record. It was never published as a tip.

The model rated Simply Natural its most likely winner at 47%, ahead of Holly's Thunder (12%) and Esteio (12%). It read as a standout.

HorseSPModel chanceMarketvs Market
Simply Natural
Keith Donoghue / G P Cromwell
2.75
46.5%
30.1%Market 16.4pp longer
Holly's Thunder
John Shinnick / L Fowler
11.00
12.3%
7.5%Market 4.7pp longer
Esteio
Daniel King / T Cooper
13.00
11.8%
6.4%Market 5.4pp longer
The Two Mary's
Harry Sexton / J J Hanlon
34.00
10.4%
2.4%Market 7.9pp longer
Light Up The Dark
Harry Cobden / J P O'Brien
2.10
8.5%
39.5%Market 30.9pp shorter
Elite Ocean
Aidan Kelly / T Cooper
34.00
4.8%
2.4%Market 2.3pp longer
Darby Hill
Eoin Staples / P Nolan
51.00
2.9%
1.6%Market 1.3pp longer
Sanctity Of Space
Shane Fitzsimons / J C McConnell
11.00
1.6%
7.5%Market 5.9pp shorter
Liath Mor
Mr J R Martin / G P Cromwell
67.00
0.7%
1.2%Market 0.6pp shorter
Cool As A Cat
Patrick M O'Brien / Tom Dreaper
67.00
0.6%
1.2%Market 0.7pp shorter

These were the model's estimated win chances going into the race, not tips. The model is calibrated to real results (when it says 25%, about 25% win) but it does not beat the market, so read it as an independent second opinion on the race. See how accurate it is →

Model: ensemble-v1.1 · Generated Sun, 25 Oct 2026The LabMethodology

A gap is a difference of opinion, and a difference of opinion is all it is: the wide ones tend to fall on runners the model has the least evidence about, as often as on a horse the market has overlooked. The left column is the model's estimated chance, the right is the chance the price implies, and the track record shows how often the model's side of the argument has been right once every pick is settled at starting price.

What the card costs

Every price on the card carries the bookmaker's margin: add up the chances the prices imply and the total comes to more than a whole field, and the excess is what the book keeps whichever horse wins. The table below is the latest published margin for each book the Lab tracks. It is compiled from the previous evening's prices, so it describes the card as it was sold then rather than the morning's board, and the order of the table is a measurement, never a recommendation.

BookmakerRacesOverroundTakeout
1 SmarketsSBK184415.50%13.42%
2 BetTom167423.61%19.10%
3 Bet365233723.99%19.35%
= LiveScore Bet shared feed170224.19%19.48%
= Virgin Bet shared feed170524.21%19.49%
6 William Hill241525.81%20.52%
7 Unibet237326.34%20.85%
8 Quinn Bet239526.97%21.24%
= 7Bet186926.98%21.25%
= Betfred229727.04%21.28%
= Hollywood Bets241427.04%21.28%
12 Paddy Power245327.34%21.47%
13 10 Bet221927.90%21.81%
= Star Sports247028.01%21.88%
15 Midnite241928.62%22.25%
16 Coral shared feed246628.97%22.46%
= Ladbrokes shared feed246629.00%22.48%
= Boyle Sports245629.09%22.53%
19 Bet Victor shared feed173829.73%22.92%
= Betano shared feed173729.81%22.97%
21 Betfair Sportsbook245330.23%23.21%
22 Dragon Bet247930.90%23.61%
= BetWright247930.92%23.62%
24 BresBet21732.04%24.27%
25 BetMGM248134.08%25.42%

First pre-race book of each day, 2026-08-27 to 2026-11-03, across 2483 races every listed book priced in full. Exchanges and spread firms are excluded: they do not quote comparable win odds. Overround is how far past a fair book the prices sit; takeout is the share of stakes the book keeps. On 67 days of data, books marked = are level with the one above rather than behind it. Books marked "shared feed" are one half of a pair that does not price independently, so there are fewer independent books here than rows.

The margin is the reason the Lab's tested strategies lose over time even when a pick is sound; what betting costs has the working, and the Tipster League shows what it does to the AI tipsters over a season.

Elsewhere in the Lab: Every Betting System, Replayed at the Ebor Festival.

Common questions

Which meetings race on Sunday 25 October 2026?

Galway and Wexford in Ireland, and Aintree and Market Rasen in Britain. Every card is on the racecards page with the model's estimated chance beside each runner, and the first race is at Galway at 12:32.

When are the model's estimates published?

Each morning before the first race, from the declared runners, and they are not changed after the off. A card labels itself a pre-race estimate once its race has run.

What does the model's chance mean?

The model's own estimate of how likely each runner is to win, set beside the chance the market price implies. It is an opinion with a published record, not a tip, and the track record is where that record lives.

Why is a horse missing from a card?

Either it was withdrawn after the estimates were made, or the race was one the model did not price. The horse tracker follows any runner on the card to its next entry.

How are the AI tipsters doing?

The Tipster League settles every AI pick at starting price and publishes the running total, losses included.

A word on all of this

None of the above is a tip, and no system the Lab has tested has made money over the whole record. Bet only what you can afford to lose. If gambling has stopped being fun, BeGambleAware has free, confidential help.

Every figure on this page renders live from our published feeds and nothing here is a tip. For whether the model holds any edge, see our track record. 18+, please bet responsibly.

Previous cards

Saturday, 24 October 2026
Saturday 24 October 2026 racing: the card at Doncaster, Cheltenham and two more
Four meetings on 24 October 2026, the model's estimated chance beside every runner, and the margin the card is sold at.
Friday, 23 October 2026
Friday 23 October 2026 racing: the card at Cheltenham, Sligo and three more
Five meetings on 23 October 2026, the model's estimated chance beside every runner, and the margin the card is sold at.
Thursday, 22 October 2026
Thursday 22 October 2026 racing: the card at Newmarket, Clonmel and three more
Five meetings on 22 October 2026, the model's estimated chance beside every runner, and the margin the card is sold at.
Wednesday, 21 October 2026
Wednesday 21 October 2026 racing: the card at Worcester, Navan and three more
Five meetings on 21 October 2026, the model's estimated chance beside every runner, and the margin the card is sold at.
Tuesday, 20 October 2026
Tuesday 20 October 2026 racing: the card at Yarmouth, Curragh and two more
Four meetings on 20 October 2026, the model's estimated chance beside every runner, and the margin the card is sold at.
Monday, 19 October 2026
Monday 19 October 2026 racing: the card at Plumpton, Gowran Park and four more
Six meetings on 19 October 2026, the model's estimated chance beside every runner, and the margin the card is sold at.
Sunday, 18 October 2026
Sunday 18 October 2026 racing: the card at Sedgefield, Limerick and Leopardstown
Three meetings on 18 October 2026, the model's estimated chance beside every runner, and the margin the card is sold at.