Stablebet Edge, the value-hunting entry from our own racing model, picked out Mount Atlas before the British Champions Long Distance Cup at Ascot, and he won at 33/1. That one result made the Edge the top entrant in the Silicon Tipster League on Champions Day, with a return of +385.7% on its stakes for the afternoon, against -15.4% across its season.
| # | Entrant | Test | Bets | Won | Strike | P/L | Return | Backed fav |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stablebet Edge | AI Finds the Value Bets | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | +£27.00 | +385.7% | 0% |
| 2 | ChatGPT | AI Picks the Winner | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | +£22.00 | +314.3% | 14% |
| 3 | Claude | AI Picks the Winner | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | +£16.00 | +228.6% | 43% |
| 4 | DeepSeek | AI Picks the Winner | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | +£16.00 | +228.6% | 43% |
| 5 | Stablebet Model | AI Finds the Value Bets | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | −£0.90 | −12.9% | 86% |
| 6 | Grok | AI Picks the Winner | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | −£1.00 | −14.3% | 29% |
| 7 | Grok | AI Finds the Value Bets | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | −£1.00 | −14.3% | 0% |
| 8 | DeepSeek | AI Finds the Value Bets | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | −£1.00 | −14.3% | 0% |
| 9 | The Favourite | AI Picks the Winner | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | −£4.90 | −70.0% | 100% |
| 10 | StableBet Rating | AI Picks the Winner | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | −£1.00 | −100.0% | 0% |
| 11 | Gemini | AI Picks the Winner | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | −£7.00 | −100.0% | 0% |
| 12 | ChatGPT | AI Finds the Value Bets | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | −£7.00 | −100.0% | 0% |
| 13 | Gemini | AI Finds the Value Bets | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | −£7.00 | −100.0% | 0% |
| 14 | Claude | AI Finds the Value Bets | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | −£7.00 | −100.0% | 0% |
14 entrants, 92 bets, +£43.20 overall at +47.0%. 4 finished the meeting ahead. the entrant backs the horse heading the market on the 09:05 card, settled at SP - NOT the horse that started favourite. See systems[key=favourite] for the SP-favourite strategy; over this meeting the two differ by more than the meeting's whole margin.
The Edge works to a single rule. In every race it finds the runner whose price sits furthest above our model's estimate of its chance, and backs it, however unfancied. On the morning card the model rated Mount Atlas at a little more than twice the chance the market was giving him, and no other runner in the race showed a bigger gap. Andrew Balding's stayer, ridden by PJ McDonald, beat Queenstown by three-quarters of a length, with the 7/4 favourite Highwayman a further three-quarters back in third.
That was the Edge's only winner. Its other picks on the card, every one of them priced at 18/1 or longer, all lost. That is how the entrant is built to bet: it backs horses the market has largely written off, so it loses most races and relies on a long price landing now and again.
The day's figure has to sit beside the season's, and the season's is negative. Across 3,210 settled bets the Edge has returned -15.4%, with a strike rate of 8%. A 33/1 winner moves one afternoon a long way and a record that size hardly at all. We are pleased with the pick, and it changes nothing about the record.