The one thing worth knowing
If you are only having a couple of bets a year, the single most useful thing you can do takes no study at all: have them in the smaller races.
Here is why, from every festival race we measured this summer.
| Field size | Races | Runners | Overround | Takeout |
|---|
| 2 to 7 runners | 37 | 6.0 | 12.4% | 11.0% |
| 8 to 15 runners | 136 | 11.5 | 22.3% | 18.2% |
| 16 or more runners | 96 | 19.6 | 36.6% | 26.8% |
Pooled across 9 festivals, 269 races with a measurable book. Overround is the margin over a fair book; takeout is the share of stakes the book keeps.
A six-runner Group race charges you around a third of what a twenty-runner handicap does. Not a little less. About a third. If you are going to the races or having a bet on a big Saturday, choosing the small-field race on the card instead of the giant handicap is worth more than any tip you will read that morning.
It works against instinct, because the big handicap is the one everyone talks about and the one with the most horses to choose from. It is also the one where the market charges most for the privilege.
That is the whole tip, and it does not require you to know a thing about any of the horses.
How much this varies between meetings, and why one summer festival cost 43% more to bet at than another, is set out in why one meeting is dearer to bet at than another.
A word on all of this
None of these pages is a tip, and none describes a way to win. They describe what
betting costs, which is a different and more reliable subject. If your betting has
stopped being fun, BeGambleAware has free,
confidential help, and the National Gambling Helpline is on 0808 8020 133.